I think the buybacks are helping raise the price of MGF units @edgescape - they have been VERY active with the buybacks - most of the traded units on most trading days seem to be MFG buying back MGF units - however I also think that setting a timeline of the June quarter of 2024 (just after the MGFO options expire in March) as the period in which the closed class MGF units will be converted into open class units (see: Decision-to-proceed-with-Conversion-Proposal.PDF) - which will trade at NAV - is causing the gap between the MGF units and the MGF NAV to close gradually as we approach that conversion, due to the arbitrage available, assuming the NAV doesn't fall between now and then to below prices paid for MGF today - which is of course the most obvious risk to that "arb" strategy, and why I wouldn't be interested in playing that game.
Here's how the gap has been closing:
Date, NAV, Closing Share Price, Discount to NAV in the share price:
30-Dec-2022, $1.6986, $1.415, 16.7%
30-Jun-2023, $1.9704, $1.65, 16.3%
29-Sep-2023, $1.8716, $1.65, 11.8%
01-Dec-2023, $1.9940, $1.86, 6.7%
08-Dec-2023, $2.0123, $1.88, 6.6%
Those NAVs (Net Asset Values per unit) are straight from the MGF announcements, and the closing prices are from Commsec's Trade History data, so it should all be correct, and there's definitely a trend apparent there of a reducing discount to NAV in the share price.