Pinned straw:
Well things can change fast! Three months ago I commented that the 1Q24 update from PRO was poor, but that one bad quarter is not a problem and realistically should be expected every now and then. Still true, but it is nice when a company can recover from a poor quarter with a great quarter the next one.
The headline numbers are solid, $11.6m revenue, up 29% on last half. Not unexpected, PRO started the year with a healthy unearned income balance to unwind into reported revenue:
The cost base has been ~$11m the last two halves suggesting PRO is now scaling and will be approaching profitability, but I expect a modest loss with general business growth and inflation pushing costs slightly higher.
But it was the recovery in ARR that really makes this a strong result. After a weak 1Q where headline ARR went backwards with legacy software starting to roll off and Snare maintenance revenue reducing as well, slower than expected growth in "true" ARR couldn't offset at only $900k incremental ARR.
2Q was much stronger however, with headline ARR up $2m despite the remaining legacy software revenue rolling off with as a $400k headwind. The $2.3m true incremental ARR is PRO's best since winning Humana as their largest customer two years ago.
Speaking of Humana, the commentary was that they and Airbnb (another large customer) had upsells to their ARR through the quarter, significantly de-risking concentrated customer churn.
At a $41m market cap with $10m cash in the bank and $22m true ARR PRO looks very cheap on an ARR multiple for a software business rapidly approaching scale.