I’ve been thinking really hard about why I’m investing, and more specifically about what I’m investing for. I’ll use FDV to illustrate my thoughts.
I’ve gone pretty hard on FDV IRL and watch the share price regularly, but I tell myself I’m a long term investor so what does the share price mean? I feel that FDV is about to get a boost as the inflexion point of positive EBITDA gets fully absorbed, but what will I do with that? Have I invested for the share price boost, or the long term potential dividend income as the business matures and starts to pump out cash?
I’m currently working and earning reasonable money, so I’m always looking for things to invest in. The other side of that coin is that if I want to buy something, I don’t have to sell something. I might have to wait a bit to buy, but I don’t have to realise a CGT event to redeploy. And at the moment, a CGT event may take up to 25% of any profit if I’ve held for 12 months or nearly half if it’s a shorter term turnaround, so that means anything that I reinvest into has got to be killer! But if I hold, which is my natural tendency anyway, then once I retire (which isn’t looming large, but is visible on the horizon!), then I slip down the tax brackets which gives extra oomph to any potential gains I’ve made. And gives real time for the thesis to play out and compounding to take hold. It’s also at a stage when I’ll actually be looking for income rather than looking for places to deploy income. Has my investment gone from a 5 bagger to a cash cow?!?
So why do I love looking at the daily share price and patting myself on the back. TPW is another one. I’ve watched it 4x from my lowest RL entry point over the last few months (and 2.5x from my SM entry) but do I get out now and take the tax hit while patting myself on the back, or stick with why I really invested in it which is that I believe that Australia’s online purchase adoption lags the rest of the world, and coming from someone who lives in rural Australia, you either drive an hour to a shop and buy the (insert item) they have on the show room floor, or you jump online and choose something you really like.
Thesis aside, I’m using that to illustrate my internal conflict between watching daily share price movements and my belief that I’m a long term investor with a buy to hold mentality.
Love to hear others thoughts on this one.