Pinned straw:
Agree with the above and one could add that the operational cashflow in 2H will assist to cover the kitting out of these extra aircraft. But I do have concerns about wet leasing them. Todays Weekend Australian had a big article on QAN and their rapid improvement in on time flights to mid 70%
Pfft! AQZ regularly year in year out run at 95%, but I guess it is an improvement on QAN’s 55% just after Covid. Whilst the article spruiks efficiency gains, absolutely no talk of extra routes or flights. In fact, the inflation scenario and the high interest rates might soften demand for internal flights. Great having an additional 12 money making machines, but expensive to just have them sitting on the tarmac.
Longer term it’s good that we will probably get vendor finance for the remainder of the fleet to be acquired after 1 Jan 2025. Definitely the return to dividend status will get kicked further down the road.