Pinned straw:
@PortfolioPlus, I just had some time to look at this announcement in a bit more detail and its not quite as good as I thought on my first read through. The headline $83M PBT is great relative to last years $53M. The problem is that the underlying flight business hasn't improved as much as I had hoped for. Much of the jump in profit is mostly due to the sale of the 5 E190 engines for $25m. This is a great outcome and a good return on investment given the purchase price of each of these planes has been $7-12m and the ones parted out are probably the $7m ones, so selling each engine at $5m is a great outcome. This is a solid part of the business, but it could be a bit of a sugar hit for this financial year and I'm not sure if we should be considering this as more of an abnormal event or not? Alternatively given that they expect 11 of the 33 planes from Aercap to be parted maybe we should be expecting parts sales to be a larger contributor to the bottom line over the next 3-4 years? No real point here just thinking aloud. The extra cashflow is good timing though and further removes some pressure from funding the extra purchases to come.
If we strip out the $25m parts sales from the $83 PBT and assume 30% tax rate then we get a NPAT of $40.6m vs $36.6m for last year. EPS has increased from 22 to 25 cps, so it is solid 10% increase and next year should be better again given more planes will be flying.
This is definitely on the right trajectory and I am happy to keep holding. Agree fully with your assessment of this atypical aircraft company.