Forum Topics DUR DUR FY24 Results

Pinned straw:

Added 3 months ago

Asset remediation and maintenance specialist $DUR announced their FY24 results.

ASX Announcement

Their Headlines

  • Record Revenue of $555.8m (up 13%)
  • EBITDA of $47.6m (up 22.6%)
  • NPAT of $21.4m
  • Gross profit 17.3%, up from 16.7% in FY23
  • Strong cash on hand of $65.2m, with a cash conversion of 84% in FY24
  • Annuity style contracts of $145.8m, making up ~26% of revenue
  • Improved order book with quality tender opportunities continuing to grow
  • Early Contractor Involvement (ECI) presenting significant opportunities across the business


My Analysis

The result was well-guided to at the end of May.

NPAT growth of 11.6% is well below what we've seen in recent years/underwhelming, but meeting expectation. Note: the analyst TP is about +21% ahead of the market, so room for SP to continue to advance (if you believe that means anything!)

Net Margin % of 3.9% the same as FY23 - so managing costs and commercial exposures well. (And better than FY21 3.0% and FY22 2.5%)

I include the updated picture on pipeline - slight increase in order book. The continuing build in Tenders bodes well for the year ahead. "Pipeline" is more a "whatever you want number" - but being high means they have line of sight to lots of work, and therefore can be selective in bidding for jobs that play to their strengths.

Joining the call at 11am.

Overall looks good.

Disc: Held in RL and SM

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Karmast
Added 3 months ago

Agreed @mikebrisy . And the firmer picture on increased defence spending and a couple of specific Defence projects also was good to see, given this channel is about 40% of the Duratec business.

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mikebrisy
Added 3 months ago

@Karmast I found the results call very helpful - and it clearly turned sentiment in the day on the market.

In addition to your point, I think the segment results show increase diversification, which is good. And growing MSA is really good (given that it is outside the pipeline).

The initial drop reflected (I suspect), superficial reaction to NPAT growth plus an uncertain market opening, and maybe a read across from $JLG yesterday from holders who don't understand the business? Plus also liquiidity hitting those trying to get out? Who knows, but I wasn't bothered as it didn't seem rational to me.

I'm on my side hustle this afternoon/evening, and will probably jot down a few insights tomorrow. Certainly, today's call strengthened my thesis on this one ... I am still new to this particular party and learning fast.

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Karmast
Added 3 months ago

I will try and get over to their AGM this year especially as they don't do an online format. Let me know if you have any questions you'd like asked.

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edgescape
Added 3 months ago

Rather strange reaction this morning. Feels similar to what happened to another services company I was watching in the US. Only just slight miss and price tanks before rallying on management reiterating positive outlook.

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Karmast
Added 3 months ago

Significant short term volatility such as this is becoming quite helpful to well prepared investors like all us Strawpeople!

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