Pinned valuation:
Valuation deleted
I have put together my thoughts about the current situation: https://www.growthgauge.com.au/p/pwr-holdings-asxpwh-business-overview
This is where different valuations are fascinating. I have fiddled (and then some) with a quick and dirty DCF tonight and I get an intrinsic value around 300m based on cash flow growth of 10-15%. I had a fiddle with a revenue projection and got something similar.
I will get more in the weeds at some point this week and see where I land. Has anyone else had a crack at a valuation of PWH of late? Would be interested in where others land.
Using a more traditional revenue multiple, the trailing revenue multiple is around 5x -- and management have guided for revenue to actually decline further on FY24 revenue (by 5-10% -- was 63m in H1). Their forward P/E is around 42x. Certainly not cheap, and that is after the share price decline of more than 40% over the previous 12 months.
Granted high-quality stocks on the ASX will command a premium, and no doubt this is one of them.