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#ASX Announcements
stale
Added 2 years ago

Australian Vintage provided their HY results today.

AVG HY.pdf

AVG HY Presentation.pdf

Key highlights include:

  • NPAT down 25% to $10m.
  • Total revenue down 7% to $138m
  • Cashflow from operating activities negative $0.80m due to build-up of working capital and higher logistics.


Overall not a great report.

They have been impacted with additional logistic costs, temporary cellar door closures and reduced SGARA

They did presented that NPAT would be up 7% to $14.2m if not for the one-time events identified above.


44712060281b52a94b6207b296fcbc095cce57.png


They are forecasting FY22 NPAT at $17-$18m .

This represents a forward P/S of 0.69 and PE of 10.74

The company seems fairly valued with this level of growth.

I don't expect to see any major movements in the share price and am not looking to get in until they demonstrate growth in sales of their four pillar brands.

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#Comparison
stale
Added 2 years ago

Just doing a bit of a comparison between Treasury Wine Estates (TWE) and Australian Vintage (AVG)

Admittedly these are very different sizes companies. However, it's interesting comapring the key metrics; in particular the PE, price/sales and net profit.

I started looking into AVG after receiveing a free sample of their Zero Alchohol (low sugar) Mcguinans Wine in my Woolworths online order. The sample was great (McGuinan Zero Pinot Grigio) which led me to start researchin the company.

Its still early days, but this is what I found:

  • Multiple wineries in NSW and SA
  • Focusing on sustainabilty and reducing their carbon footprint. Their wine processing facility in NSW is powered by 100% wind and solar energy sources including an onsite solar farm
  • Their main sales are to UK & Europe; followed closely by Australia.
  • They are not focusing on China sales due to high tarrifs. However, they do have a foot in the door with Jiang Yuan (founder of yesmywine - chinas largest online retailer) having a controlling interest and member of the board of AVG.
  • Dec 2021, company directors have been buying shares at aroun $0.78


Below is a table comparing TWE and AVG.

853725b19f37059d9953b4297b12d7de7e64c1.png


TWE is trading at a premium with P/S of 3.4x (PE of 35x) compared to AVG 0.65x (PE 9x).

There net profit is similar as a percentage.

TWE debt/equity is 35% (increased from 11% to 55% between 2015 and 2021)

AVG debt/equity is 15% (reduced from 35% to 15% between 2015 and 2020)


Its still early days in my research.

Holding a small parcel in strawman but not in my real portfolio.


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