Not all companies need a tailwind to be successful. In fact I'm sure the best companies are those that are successful regardless of the economic cycle, social trends or other factors that influence the environment in which they operate. However; a tailwind can result in a good company delivering an excellent return and an average company delivering a good return.
Noni B seems like a company with a plan that they are quietly delivering on. I haven't done a huge amount of research, but the plan seems to be: buy brands that appeal to a common demographic (I think this demographic likes 'nice-ish' looking clothes, but not overly fashion sensitive - I'm thinking my Mum here) where a common support function can be leveraged to reduce the cost of doing business across the group.
At this stage it is a bit early to say how successful they will be with this strategy. Revenue has increased by 140% thanks to the acquisitions, but like-for-like sales are down 3.1% compared to last year (although they called out that December trading was a modest 1% better than last year). In my mind the decline in organic sales is systematic of an industry in structural change. Certainly no tailwind here that will cushion the business if the strategy doesn't play out as planned.
Noni B have a brick and mortar network of 1,419 stores and are competing with businesses that have a brand footprint that enables significant online conversion (as opposed to a bricks and mortar footprint). If there is a tailwind for the business it is the general online thematic with the company quoting online growth for each of the last 6 quarters that is significantly stronger than the growth in fashion online in general. However; considering the acquisitions done I am not sure how fair this comparison is.
I look forward to watching how the strategy plays out and would like to see the business succeed because frankly it is depressing to see so many traditional clothing businesses struggle. However; I don't think I would invest in this sector and I certainly don't see success as a given for these guys; I think it will be a hard slog for them.