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#Bull Case
stale
Added 2 years ago

Lots of acquisitions (about 10) by NXD which made me avoid this.

Plus I noticed the previous straws

Looks like NXD has proved us wrong ... for now.

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Valuation of $0.250
stale
Added 2 years ago

iCollege is a combination of 11 private tertiary education organisations. In 2021 iCollege acquired RedHill Education with a view of streamlining operations. There are some strong tailwinds behind iCollege with the return of international students post-COVID.

Extrapolating the cashflow from the last quarter where enrolments have significantly increased compared to the previous quarters of the financial year. I estimate a yearly cash flow of $20 million, giving this a 12x multiple and adding in cash I get a valuation of 25c.

I need to see the next quarter's results to be sure the 4Q results wasn't just a one-off yearly peak and if my estimates are actually reasonable and accurate.

One to watch... Just need a bit more insight into what the actual longer-term potential is.

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Valuation of $0.130
stale
Added 4 years ago
The release of iCollege's (ICT) 4C has prompted me to relook at my valuation of this company.  I started looking at this six months ago and had a valuation well below the share price.  My brief comment to myself was "Probably worth a lot more but I don't want to own it".  However, every time I relook at this one it gets better and has me questioning my inherent bias against education providers. They look like they're sustainably cashflow positive and are growing at an impressive clip. I may need to look at doing a deep dive on this one. The DCF valuation is still pretty conservative relative to their current rate of growth with revenue growth averaging around 15% p.a. and 8% in the terminal year. ICT made an offmarket takeover offer for Redhill Education (RDH) and I don't yet have a view on that but would obviously need to before making any kind of investment. [Not held]
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