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Last edited 3 years ago
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#Bear Case
stale
Added 3 years ago

·      Covid (If countries lockdown again it would lead to reduction in flying/ servicing of aircraft, engine overhauls etc)

·      Loss of approvals or regulator risk – loss of approve from a local regulator could impact revenue and earnings.

·      Competition – increase competition could lead to reduction in margins.

  • General aviation mass adoption of different turbine engine or even in future Electric engine (low probability of mass adoption any time soon).
#Bull Case
stale
Added 3 years ago

·      Large addressable market with over 25,000 PT6 engines in world-wide circulation

·      High barriers to entry – aviation highly regulated often needing approvals from local regulators (e.g., CASA, FAA, EASA)

·      Leverage to recovery in global aviation (increase flying hours will lead to increasing servicing requirements, engine overhaul, parts replacement etc)

·      Focus on two very common engine types and should benefit from scaling leading improved margins (PT6, TPE331).

·      Pricing Power on parts - Similar comparison to the likes of Burson group, when the engines in for servicing, overhaul or repair, price increase can be passed on to operators will very little back lash.

#Business Model/Strategy
stale
Added 3 years ago

Pacific Turbines Brisbane (PTB) was established in 2001 and provides aviation maintenance services to a diverse customer base throughout the world including Australia, North and South America, Europe, Asia and the Pacific islands. It specialises on two turboprop engines PT6 and TPE331. Currently PTB are the largest non-OEM aligned PT6A/T maintaince, repair and overhaul in the world.

Background behind Pratt Whitney PT6

Pratt Whitney PT6 is a turbo prop engine that has been around for over 50 years and is quite commonly found in a lot of general aviation turboprops. It will most like be around for at least another 50 years in greater numbers. The PT6 is a very reliable and versatile engine but due to safely and regulations often needs maintence and servicing roughly ever 100/200 flight hours  with a complete overhaul of the engine ever 4000hrs depending on the operator maintence schedule. There are number of PT6 models most have subtle differences mainly different shaft horsepower outputs, due to the fact it fitted to a variety of aircraft with different sizes, weight, configurations etc (Essentially all PT6 engines models are very similar they often share the same core but may for example differ in the number of turbines in the hot section of the jet engine for power output).

PT6 engine is found commonly in the following aircraft types Cessna 208 Caravan, All Kingair Models, Airtractor (crop duster), Pilatus PC-12 (main aircraft in RFDS), PAC 750, Twin Otter and many more. 

Brief Note TPE331 Garrett

Not as common as the PT6 engine but still a fairly common turboprop engine. From researching the CASA register there are approximately 238 Garrett engine in active service in Australia. Most commonly found on Metroliner (Death Pencil), Cessna 441, Dornier 228 and CASA 212. From my research maintenance on a Garrett engine is cheaper for a number of reasons, which is a real positive for PTB that they are there more PT6 engines in service than Garrett’s. The major reason is engine overhaul time for a Garret is every 7000 hrs compared to a PT6 4,000 hrs. A PT6 engine overhaul also costs slightly more because the engine has more accessories. Without getting to detail this reflects the difference designs of the engines a PT6 is a two-shaft engine versus the TPE331 single shaft design.

Large Addressable Market

According to Pratt and Whitney there are more than 25,000 PT6 engines that currently flying (50,000th engine rolled off the production line Dec 2020.) According to PTB in there 2021 Annual report they estimate there are over 10,000 PT6 engines in circulation in the United States. Searching the CASA aircraft register there are currently 759 examples of PT6 in Australia (not including Australian military). In the Maldives which makes up a significant part of PTB revenue there are over 130 PT6 (assumed at least 65 Twin Otters in Maldives could be more).