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Valuation of $0.400
stale
Added 5 years ago
I pretty much agree with AlphaAngle's assumptions. I will assume ~20% top line growth over next few years, with net profit of $2m in FY23. Will give that a PE of 35, assume 115m shares on issue, and discount back by 15% pa to get a valuation of 40c
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#Q4 2020 Report
stale
Added 5 years ago

Key takeaways:

1) Unaudited revenue for the FY of $7.4M (up 55%)

2) Poistive EBITDA and cashflow in H2 2020.  

3) 112k users on the platform (up 40%)

4) Strong pipeline reported.  

5) ARPU grew to $65, up from $54 in FY2019.  

Ok, solid results.   However, gross margins remain low, due to publisher payments.   Publishers have the whip hand, and Readcloud do not have any leverage to increase their share of the pie.  My concern is it will be hard for readcloud to achieve decent profit margins when the publishers are taking the cream off the top.   

Improvements made to platform are encouraging, and management are confident strong growth will continue, driven by the digital transformation of schools.   I just think they need to expand the platform beyond eBooks to achieve their full potential.  

 

 

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#Jobtrainer tailwind
stale
Added 5 years ago

$500 million announcement to offer free VET courses for school leavers. Its subsidiary, https://aiet.edu.au/, should be a beneficiary.  However, the funding is contingent on co-operation of the state governments, and is light on in detail.

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Valuation of $0.320
stale
Added 6 years ago
RCL Released an update. Confirming: - ARPU grew 20% over the 2020 financial year. - ARPU is $65 per student, a tiny portion of the annual cost to educate a secondary student ($13-18k). - As at May, revenue for FY2020 is $7.3 million. Presumably, nearly all invoices have been issued, so expect FY2020 revenue to be close to $7.3 Million. - No indication given that Readcloud will pursue wider ambitions for their platform. With 116 M shares and options in the money, I have adjusted my valuation, based on FY28 revenue of $32 M, and margins of around 15%. So, based on a PER of 20, and a discount rate of 12%, I come up with a valuation of 0.27 per share. I have lowered my revenue forecast, as I don't think management will execute the expansion of their offering, and I have reduced the discount rate as Read cloud will now begin to be cashflow positive, reducing investment risk.
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#Podcast
stale
Last edited 6 years ago

I run through some thoughts on Readcloud in this podcast.

Have time stamped the link so you should jump straight to the relevant segment by clicking here

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