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Gemini's thoughts on today's news release that was 30+ pages!!
For an investor evaluating Victory Metals (VTM), this news can be characterized as great due to the record-breaking grades and the clear path it establishes toward a high-confidence "Measured" resource. While many clay-hosted projects struggle with low grades, these results place North Stanmore in an elite global tier.
The following salient points highlight why this announcement is significant:
The standout feature is a peak intersection of 11,565 ppm TREO.
The project is highly enriched in critical heavy rare earths (HREE) that are currently dominated by Chinese supply.
Several factors suggest lower future capital (CAPEX) and operating (OPEX) costs:
This drill program was not just for exploration; it was "infill" drilling designed to upgrade the resource.
Victory Metals Limited (ASX:VTM) ("Victory" or "the Company") is pleased to announce outstanding first-pass sighter flotation test-work results from its 100% owned North Stanmore regolith-hosted Heavy Rare Earth Element Project in Western Australia.
These exceptional results have delivered a remarkable 48x upgrade in Total RareEarth Oxide (TREO) concentration from the raw ore, confirming the potential for asimple, low-cost physical beneficiation circuit.
By pioneering a new method of extraction for these rare earths that separates them from the rest of the ore mass early in the process, Victory Metals is establishing a significantly faster and less costly path to market.
Importantly, the tests successfully concentrated a representative 1,251 ppm TREO head grade, in the vicinity to Victory’s high grade shallow zone, to a peak concentrate grade of 5.9 wt.% TREO, while achieving rapid flotation kinetics and preserving the deposit’s premium 38% HREO/TREO ratio.
• First pass sighter flotation on representative composite successfully upgraded a TREO to a peak concentrate grade of 5.9% TREO (59,467 ppm).
• These outstanding results demonstrate that VTM hydrometallurgical plant will be in the vicinity of ~5tph, a fraction of the size of initial engineering designs.
• Rougher flotation achieved 81.5% TREO recovery. Subsequent cleaner flotation, conducted on a high-grade rougher concentrate captured in the first 7 minutes of a bulk rougher float, achieved an 83.6% stage recovery.
• The simple, conventional flotation circuit achieved these results without the need for front-end desliming, preserving valuable fines.
• Critical HREO ratio 38% HREO/TREO delivering premium Dy, Tb, Y basket value matching the in-situ ore ratios.
• Quantitative Automated Mineralogical Analysis (TIMA) confirms >99% of Yttrium (proxy for HREE) is hosted in discrete, well-liberated secondary phosphates (rhabdophane and churchite), which are highly responsive to standard froth flotation.
• The ability to physically reject >95% of the ore mass upstream provides optionality to substantially reduce the plant sizing and CAPEX in the upcoming Pre-Feasibility Study (target release Q2
Quarterly Activities Report – 31 December 2025
Victory Metals (ASX:VTM) (Victory or the Company) is pleased to report on its activities and the Appendix 5B for the quarter ending 31 December 2025 (Quarter, Reporting Period).
HIGHLIGHTS
Victory Metals Delivers Global Outstanding Leach Results
Victory Metals Limited (ASX:VTM) ("Victory" or "the Company") is pleased to announce that the Company has received kinetic leach results showing a major reduction in leach time for the North Stanmore Project with ~80% of rare earths leached in 30 minutes compared to the 4-hour assumption used in the Scoping Study.
The rapid leach kinetics confirm a clear pathway to a smaller leach circuit, lower reagent consumption and improved process efficiency.
HIGHLIGHTS
Victory’s Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director Brendan Clark commented: “These results represent a major breakthrough for the North Stanmore Project. Achieving ~80% rare earth recovery in just 30 minutes compared to the 4-hour test work used in our Scoping Study demonstrates the unique mineralogy of our system and highlights a clear pathway.
As Victory has been transitioning into the development phase, the Company has significantly strengthened its technical capability, now comprising a team with more than 100 years of combined rare earths experience, an expertise base that has directly contributed to achieving these exceptional results.
The rapid leach kinetics position North Stanmore as a genuine global outlier, especially compared to peer projects requiring 24–36 hours of leaching. This advantage is expected to translate directly into great project economics as the PFS progresses.
With growing strategic demand for defense critical heavy rare earths such as Dysprosium, Terbium and Yttrium, where Yttrium has seen a demand driven recent price surges of more than 4,400%, North Stanmore continues to demonstrate its status as one of the most technically advanced and globally significant heavy rare earth clay-hosted regolith deposits outside China.
These results will be fully incorporated into our ongoing engineering and metallurgical programs, and we look forward to updating the market as the PFS advances.”
Quarterly Activities Report – 30 September 2025
Victory Metals (ASX:VTM) (Victory or the Company) is pleased to report on its activities and the Appendix 5B for the quarter ending 30 September 2025 (Quarter, Reporting Period).
Highlights
Victory Engages President Donald Trump’s Former Deputy Chief of Staff
Victory Metals Limited (ASX:VTM) ("Victory" or "the Company") is pleased to announce the appointment of Emma Doyle as Senior Advisor for U.S. Strategic Engagement, providing the Company with direct insight into U.S. policy and government affairs at a pivotal time for the rare earths sector.
Emma Doyle served as Principal Deputy Chief of Staff to the President of the United States where she directed core West Wing functions and advised the President and his senior leadership team. She also held senior roles at the White House Office of Management and Budget and in the Office of First Lady Melania Trump.
Her engagement comes in the wake of the landmark agreement between President Donald J. Trump and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, where the U.S. and Australia announced billions of dollars in joint investment to build allied rare earth and critical minerals supply chains. Victory Metals' position as Australia’s largest clay hosted heavy rare earth project aligns directly with this new geopolitical framework.
Victory’s Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director Brendan Clark commented:
“I met with Emma earlier this year in Washington and was inspired with her energy, passion and knowledge. Emma’s engagement signals that Victory Metals is not just participating in the critical minerals race, but leading it. With direct White House experience and unparalleled networks across Washington, Emma gives Victory Metals the advantage to ensure our project is front and centre in the U.S. Administration’s critical minerals and defence supply chain agenda.”
About Emma Doyle
Emma Doyle is a former senior Trump White House official with fifteen years of experience at the highest levels of Republican politics and policymaking.
Emma served as White House Principal Deputy Chief of Staff between 2018 and 2020, where she managed key strategic functions of the West Wing, including the Office of Public Liaison, Office of Intergovernmental Affairs, Office of Presidential Personnel, and the Office of Political Affairs. She subsequently served as Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy to First Lady Melania Trump.
Prior to the West Wing, Emma spent two years as Chief of Staff of the Office of Management and Budget, the largest component of the Executive Office of the President with responsibility for coordinating policies, programs, and regulations across the entire federal government. In addition to her role at OMB, Emma was the first political appointee to serve as Chief of Staff of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
Before joining the Administration, she lobbied for Ford Motor Company, worked for Republican Members of Congress in both the House and Senate, and served as a member of the Republican National Committee's Official Proceedings team for multiple Republican party conventions.
Ms. Doyle is engaged through her Washington-based consulting firm, Marble Arch LLC, as an external advisor to Victory.
Click here to view the full ASX announcement
Victory Metals Limited (ASX:VTM) ("Victory" or "the Company") is pleased to report that simple, low-cost size-by-fraction separation (-10.8 µm) on ore from the North Stanmore Project located in Western Australia has delivered substantial grade improvements in three critical elements directly linked to China’s latest bans on defence and high-tech supply chains: Terbium (Tb), Dysprosium (Dy) and Scandium (Sc).
HIGHLIGHTS
Victory’s Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director Brendan Clark commented:
“This is an incredible outcome at a time when the world’s understanding of the importance of these critical and strategic minerals is rapidly growing. With a simple and low-cost size fractionation step, we’ve delivered significant grade increases in three of the world’s most strategically important elements, Terbium, Dysprosium and Scandium.
As governments move to secure non-Chinese supply amid China’s proposed export bans on these elements due to their important role in military, projects like North Stanmore become even more critical. Our results show we can concentrate the value upfront, potentially lowering operating costs and boosting payables.”
Positive Factors:
Significant HREE Resource: Victory Metals has Australia's largest indicated heavy rare earth element resource at its North Stanmore Project. HREEs are particularly valuable and crucial for technologies like electric vehicles and renewable energy.
High HREO/TREO Ratio: The resource boasts a high proportion of heavy rare earth oxides (HREO) to total rare earth oxides (TREO), indicating a potentially high-value deposit.
Gallium By-Product Potential: Recent announcements highlight a major gallium resource as a by-product, which could add significant value to the project.
US Government Funding Interest: The company has received a Letter of Intent (LOI) for US$190 million in financing from the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) to advance the North Stanmore project, signaling strong government interest in securing non-Chinese critical mineral sources.
Strong Share Price Momentum: The share price has shown substantial positive momentum, with significant gains over the past week, month, and year. This suggests growing investor confidence.
Strategic Importance: The project aligns with the strategic goals of Australia and its allies to diversify critical mineral supply chains.
Negative Factors and Risks:
Negative Earnings: The company is currently loss-making, which is typical for exploration and development stage companies.
Limited Revenue: Revenue is currently very low, highlighting the reliance on future project development.
Shareholder Dilution: There have been instances of shareholder dilution in the past year, which can negatively impact existing shareholders.
Exploration and Development Risks: Mineral exploration and project development inherently involve significant risks, including geological uncertainty, technical challenges, permitting delays, and funding requirements.
Market Volatility: The rare earth elements market can be volatile, influenced by global demand, supply dynamics, and geopolitical factors.
My basic thoughts on Valuation:
Obviously being an exploration company means trying to attribute a valuation using PE is not viable. As Gemini AI says, given the significant potential of the North Stanmore project, the strategic importance of HREEs, and the recent positive developments (including potential US funding), Victory Metals presents an interesting opportunity for investors with a higher risk tolerance and a long-term investment horizon.
I'll be taking some profits at $1.00 and hope for further gains (with less exposure) past that point.
16/07/2024
LARGEST AUSTRALIAN INDICATED HEAVY REE RESOURCE CONFIRMED
Rapidly emerging as Australia’s premier heavy REE and critical defence minerals supplier
Victory Metals Limited (ASX: VTM) (Victory or the Company) is pleased to announce an updated Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE) for its North Stanmore Heavy Rare Earth Elements (HREE) dominant Project (North Stanmore).
Key Highlights:
– 79,200t contained Indicated MRE Total Rare Earth Oxides (TREO)1
– 28,000t contained Indicated MRE Heavy Rare Earth Oxides (HREO)2
– 3,010t contained Indicated MRE Dy2O3 + Tb4O7.
21/07/2023
ADDITIONAL FUNDING, HERITAGE SURVEY & JORC RESOURCE
Highlights:
Quarterly Activities Report – 31 December 2022
Highlights:
Victory Metals (ASX:VTM) (“Victory” or “the Company”) is pleased to report on its activities and the Appendix 5B for the quarter ending 31 December 2022.
US$10 Million secured from Saudi Arabia’s Sovereign Wealth Investment Arm
Victory Metals Ltd (ASX:VTM, "Victory" or the "Company") is pleased to announce it has received board approval and a Letter of Committment from Sanabil Investments LLC (“Sanabil”), a globally respected sovereign investment firm which is wholly owned by the Public Investment Fund (PIF) of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, to provide a US$10 million loan facility. The funding will not only strengthen Victory’s financial position but it aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 and its push into downstream critical minerals. It marks a major step forward in advancing North Stanmore as a strategic source of rare earths for global supply chains.
HIGHLIGHTS
Victory’s Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director Brendan Clark commented: “This is a defining milestone for Victory to secure funding from Sanabil, one of the world’s most respected sovereign investment institutions, and speaks volumes about the scale, quality and global relevance of our North Stanmore Project.
Sanabil’s support goes far beyond capital. They bring a funding pathway for North Stanmore to development, deep international networks, geopolitical reach, and alignment with Saudi Arabia’s 2030 vision of becoming a global leader in critical minerals and industrial technology.
We are proud to be one of the very few Australian companies selected for this level of strategic backing, and we look forward to working with Sanabil to realise the full potential of Victory and the broader rare earths opportunity.”ick here to view the ouncem
Victory Metals Limited (the Company) hereby requests that its securities be placed in a trading halt and provides the following information in accordance with ASX Listing Rule 17.1.
With all of the talk surrounding the potential upcoming meeting between Albo & Trump at the G7 summit in Canada and possible pawns to trade over tariffs, I thought I'd have a play with ChatGPT to see some risk/reward analysis, after feeding it what I knew.
Ticker: ASX:VTM
Sector: Critical Minerals – Rare Earths (Clay-hosted)
Project: North Stanmore, Western Australia
Investment Thesis Summary:
Victory Metals offers high-risk, high-reward exposure to the rare earths sector — specifically the rare, clay-hosted heavy REE deposits outside China. Its success depends on proving up its resource, navigating technical and funding milestones, and attracting strategic or government partnerships aligned with US-Australia critical mineral interests.
Reward Drivers (Upside Potential):
1. High-Grade Clay-Hosted HREEs: Rare and highly valued for their heavy magnet REE content (Dy, Tb), essential in defense & EV sectors. Cheaper to extract than hard rock.
2. Tier-1 Jurisdiction: Western Australia is low-risk, mining-friendly, and geopolitically aligned with US/EU.
3. Strategic Supply Chain Value: As China tightens REE exports, VTM's deposit could become part of a new Western supply chain.
4. Government Support Potential: Eligible for grants, loans, and infrastructure support via CMF and DPA-aligned programs.
5. Low Market Cap / Early Entry Point: High leverage to good news: drilling, partnerships, or metallurgical success could trigger a large re-rating.
6. Peer Takeovers & Consolidation Trend: Juniors with clay-hosted or HREE potential are increasingly acquisition targets.
Risk Factors (Downside Considerations):
1. Early Stage / No JORC Resource Yet: VTM is still exploratory. No declared resource = high geological and valuation risk.
2. Metallurgical Uncertainty: Processing ionic clays outside China is still experimental in Australia.
3. No Strategic or Offtake Partner (Yet): Unlike peers, VTM lacks a confirmed end-user or investor.
4. Funding Required: Capital-intensive development path, with potential equity dilution.
5. Market Volatility in REEs: REE prices subject to supply/demand shocks.
6. Execution Risk: Management must deliver results in a competitive field.
Risk/Reward Balance (Score 1–5):
- Geological Potential: 4
- Jurisdiction: 5
- Project Stage: 2
- Funding Position: 2
- Strategic Fit: 4
- Execution Track Record: 2
Investment Outlook:
- Short-term (0–6 months): Neutral-Speculative
- Mid-term (6–18 months): Positive Potential
- Long-term (18m+): High Upside (if de-risked)
Final Assessment:
Victory Metals is best suited for speculative investors or strategic mineral watchers seeking early exposure to a rare, clay-hosted HREE discovery in a top-tier location.
$4M Placement Backed by Leadership, Industry and Top 20 Shareholders
Victory Metals Limited (ASX:VTM) ("Victory" or "the Company") is pleased to announce it has received firm commitments to raise $4 million before costs in a strongly supported placement of new fully paid ordinary shares in the Company ("Placement Stares") to professional and sophisticated investors, and directors and management of the Company priced at $0.73 per share, representing a 15% discount to last traded price of $0.86 per share prior to the trading halt on 26 May 2025 ("Placement").
HIGHLIGHTS
Funds raised under the Placement will be used to accelerate the Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) and the development of Victory’s flagship North Stanmore Project – Australia’s largest clay-hosted Heavy Rare Earth deposit, strategically located on the Great Northern Highway in Cue, WA, and for general working capital.
The Placement comprises the issue of 5,136,986 Placement Shares to professional and sophisticated investors ("Investor Participation"), and 342,466 Placement Shares to directors and management of the Company, subject to approval by the Company's shareholders ("Director Participation").
The Company will also issue 1,800,000 unlisted options with an exercise price of $1.30 and a two-year exercise period ("Placement Options") to unrelated parties under the Investor Participation. No Placement Options will be issued under the Director Participation.
Victory’s Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director Brendan Clark commented: “This raise will fast track our PFS and marks a pivotal moment for Victory with such strong support. North Stanmore is emerging as one of the world’s most advanced heavy rare earth clay projects and is already Australia’s leading heavy rare earth project. Our MREC test work has successfully recovered seven strategic metals currently under Chinese export restrictions, including gallium and the full suite of critical heavy rare earths. We are building a globally significant critical minerals platform and are proud to be leading the charge. I thank existing shareholders for their continued support, and we welcome our new shareholders.”
Click here to view the full ASX announcement
I'm a bit confused about $VTM requesting the current trading halt for capital raising purposes, when they already had an LOI (previous announcement to market) with US Government for up to $190M to help develop their biggest mine opportunity at North Stratmore.
Anyway, watch this space for market reaction once further information is available and shares are trading again.
Victory Metals Limited (the Company) hereby requests that its securities be placed in a trading halt and provides the following information in accordance with ASX Listing Rule 17.1.
China has announced a crackdown on the smuggling of critical minerals, coming just one day before trade talks with the U.S., in which rare earth restrictions could be on the table.
Chinese authorities--including ministries of commerce, public security and state security and customs--convened a meeting in the southern port city of Shenzhen on Friday. According to an official readout, the agencies pledged to step up the enforcement of export controls on strategic mineral resources
Investor Presentation - Sydney RIU
Victory Metals Limited (ASX: VTM) (“Victory” or “the Company”) is pleased to provide the presentation that CEO and Executive Director, Brendan Clark, will deliver at the RIU Resources Round-Up being held in Sydney this week.
Click here to view the full presentation
Victory Metals (ASX:VTM) (Victory or the Company) is pleased to report on its activities and the Appendix 5B for the quarter ending 31 March 2025 (Quarter, Reporting Period).
WRITTEN BY Adam Orlando
Victory Metals (ASX:VTM) has completed a Scoping Study for the North Stanmore Rare Earth Project in Western Australia, which looks poised to be a “long-term, low-cost” supplier of critical minerals.
With a 31-year mine life and 72% of the resource being in the indicated category and 28% in the inferred category, the project has an estimated net present value (NPV) across multiple pricing scenarios including $1.212 billion (post tax) with 52% internal rate of return (IRR) and $1.777 billion (pre-tax) based on Adamas Intelligence downwards forecast.
https://mining.com.au/victory-metals-engaging-advisors-amid-north-stanmore-scoping-study-completion/
Trading halt announced at opening of trade on Friday 7/03. Like all trading halts, this could go either way (n.b. I've no crystal ball or inside info).
But.... the last trading halt in December 24 was to announce an offtake MOU with Sumitomo.
Just saying!!
Quarterly Activities Report – 30 September 2024
Victory Metals (ASX:VTM) (“Victory” or “the Company”) is pleased to report on its activities and the Appendix 5B for the quarter ending 30 September 2024 (“Quarter”, “Reporting Period”).
Highlights:
Announcement of a share swap funding arrangement today attributed to an approx 9% fall in the share price today, but allows $VTM to quickly progress to the next critical drilling phase.
Aircore drilling program set to further expand the world-class North Stanmore HREE deposit
Victory Metals Limited (ASX: VTM) (Victory or the Company) is pleased to announce the planned commencement of an expansion drilling program at its North Stanmore Heavy Rare Earth Elements (HREE) Project (North Stanmore Project or North Stanmore) in Western Australia
To support its upcoming drilling activities and working capital (including costs of the offer), Victory has received binding commitments from professional and sophisticated investors for a Placement to raise $1,500,000 (“Placement”) through the issue of 4,545,455 fully paid ordinary shares at $0.33 per share (“Placement Shares”). The Placement shares are to be issued under the Company’s existing Placement capacity in accordance with ASX listing Rule 7.1.
The issue price of $0.33 per Placement share under the Placement represents an 8% discount to the 15-day VWAP prior to 15 August 2024. This equity injection ensures Victory’s ongoing strong financial position, allowing funding of these expansion drilling activities in parallel with rapid advancement of the North Stanmore Project.