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#Bear Case
stale
Added 3 years ago

Great valuation @PeregrineCapital

my only question is around the viability of gym memberships in a recession/downturn.

Having lived through a few of these, it would seem

likely that the number of member subscriptions will reduce significantly. Gym memberships are one of the first things to get axed by the subsection of punters that might be classed as “the well intentioned non-attender. “

Im unclear of the fraction of gym memberships that might fall into this category but I think it’s not insignificant. Admittedly a lot more people are regular gym goers than in previous years. And might hang onto a their membership longer. But gyms have traditionally fared badly in downturns.

regards

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Valuation of $3.50
stale
Added 6 years ago
Valuation is somewhat arbitrary being a newly listed with an aggressive focus on both organic and acquisition growth. Cash flow positive. Beat prospectus guidance for FY19. Member numbers rose 8% organically, and 52% overall thanks to greenfield sites and acquisitions. Management has outlined an acquisition pipeline of 24 sites, all on the eastern seaboard. An added bonus will be dividend payments expected to commence FY20
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