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Last edited 8 years ago
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#Bull Case
stale
Last edited 8 years ago
  • Industry tailwinds as Government and Private Health Insurers push for more community based (as opposed to  more expensive acute/hospital based) healthcare
  • Large Govt funding initiatives- CDC (community directed care), NDIS
  • Fragmented industry with few players of scale- ability to scale up and provide service to end clients who are themselves consolidating e.g. aged care industry
  • Demographics- aging population. Large shortages of allied health to high-dependency aged care facilities
  • Acquisition/roll out strategy to drive cross selling of services e.g. co-location of GPs with Physios/OT/podiatrists. Mobile podiatry business to service Homecare facilities, provision of further allied health services to current aged care podiatry clients
  • Experienced Chairman and CEO with healthcare background and roll up/out business model
  • Business vendors maintain equity in combined business to align interests
  • Relatively low capex intensity, high cash generating business, modest P/E
  • Ability to scale- 7.5-10% organic growth plus acquisitions
#Industry/competitors
stale
Added 8 years ago

Primary Care/GPs: Primary Health Care, Sonic, 

Allied Health Care: Healthstrong, Generation Health, 

Homecare: APM, Uniting, Bupa

#Risks
stale
Added 8 years ago
  • Pay too much for acquisitions- potential to lead to write down of large intangible balance
  • Continual large dilutive capital raises to fund acquisitions
  • Integration risk of large number of acquisitions and ability to cost-out e.g. IT, Admin/finance, consumables 
  • Increasing competition for businesses, particularly homecare from Private Equity and large competitors e.g. Medibank Private new Health Solutions division: Healthstrong
  • Inability to break into Primary Care (GPs) in NSW to build community based model (lack of supply/price restrictions)
  • Changes to Govt funding models- CDC, NDIS, medicare