Pinned straw:
@Arizona Overall, I agree the $BIO result is good with the very strong growth in cash receipts, signficantly stronger than the 1Q revenue growth (That said, quartlerly cash flows are often lumpy, and the PCP looks like it was soft - a likely explanation for the positive comparison).
Futhermore, seasonally, 1Q tends to be relatively weak for cash receipts, so that's another positive.
HOWEVER, the MD LTIP payment of $1.0m is a big number contributing to pushing Operating Cashflow back into negative territory, at -$1.233m, which I wasn't expecting. Even without the compensation payment, OpCF would have been negative. Again, 1Q looks to be a weaker quarter eyeballing the last few years.
A larger negative change in the cash balance was partially offset by receipts from exercise of options. But these share based compensation arrangements are effectively, progressively diluting shareholders. (My graph below doesn't show this offset, because receipts from options is a financing line, and in my standard cash flow tracker I ignore financing flows because my focus is on understanding the evolution of operating economics.)
Just look at the trend graph below - the payments is a large blip on an otherwise good progression.
So, ahead of the AGM, I think I need to pay closer attention to the Remuneration Report. (I'm not sure Blair has earned Rockstar status yet!) Don't get me wrong, I want Blair and his management team to be well-incentivised for delivery. But to justify this kind of dilution to the overall results demands that top line growth remains strongly in >50% territory, in my view. I don't want to be part of a party where managment reap rich returns, with mediocre rewards for Shareholders.
Bottom line - I am happy with the progress $BIO is making and with the updated strategy. However, for now I am going to maintain a modest position size of around 2% RL, as the business and Blair have quite some distance to run to prove that they are building a long term winner here.
I've never been one to overreact to one outlier quarter. However, it intensifies the scruitiny I will bring to bear on the next couple of reports.
Disc: Held