Pinned straw:
Great uptick in the price for Hazer but I don’t understand the vale of the bullish sentiment from the market.
the Whyalla steelworks is under a competitive market process and there is no guarantee that M resources will be the successful buyer and work flows to Hazer.
M Resources are predominately a trading firm with no background in running a steel plant. While their proposal might sound great especially teaming up with KBR, it would be pretty risky from the SA government to award a contract to an unproven operator given how things went under the previous owner and how desperate the Premier is for a win in Whyalla.
Im sure there are many local companies with a substantial track record that would be competing in this process who are looking to pick up some assets at a discount.
Disc: not held but watching in interest as a local sa resident
Discl: Held IRL 2.08% and in SM
@Bear77, absolutely welcomed pop this morning, more so as I topped up at 41.5c earlier this week ... BUT I am a bit cautious on this win.
Positives
- Its a binding MOU from the start vs the “normal trajectory” of non-binding in the initial period, then binding once it gets serious
- The KBR Alliance is in play outside of the alliance exclusitivity industry scope of ammonia and methanol - in all other sectors, the alliance will be “working closely in other sectors” - that this was won with KBR is a good positive data point on the tightness of the KBR Alliance.
- Adds to HZR’s domestic Australian credentials
- Looks like regardless of the outcome of the Whyalla bid, KBR, M Resources and HZR have agreed to jointly explore opportunities for the deployment of the Hazer technology in the Middle East and the US - this can't hurt at all as a worse-case outcome ...

The “Not As Positives”
- While it is a binding MOU with M Resources, M Resources is only one of the bidders for Whyalla Steel - on a quick Google, there is another BlueScope/JSW Steel/Nippon Steel/POSCO rival bid
- The MOU lapses if M Resources does not win the Whyalla bid
- Not sure how much the positive benefits of the HZR technology will tilt the favour to M Resources
So while this is hugely positive, there is still a 50% chance this might not follow through if M Resources’ bid for Whyalla is not successful.
But will take the win for now and come what may thereafter!