Forum Topics BAP BAP Trading halt

Pinned straw:

Added a month ago

Unlikely to be positive. Maybe more inventory / ERP and accounting issues, otherwise it’s hard to comprehend how trading has further deteriorated for a business that has long stated how much of its goods are non-discretionary.

If I’ve read the announcements correctly, there should be a market update on the trading and financials before the Wednesday 1H26 results.

After today’s update from Adrad, I wonder what could Adrad take advantage of in their distribution division while Bapcor bleeds out?

ApplePark
Added a month ago

Potential capital raise announcement.

No talk of private equity circling, which I’m taking as a bad sign.

I can’t look away. It’s a dumpster fire but they have market leading positions in multiple categories and vehicles must be serviced and repaired. There’s a price worth paying here but the risk is going way up if I suspect debt covenants have become an issue. I can’t see why else you’d raise.

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Randy
Added a month ago

Hi @ApplePark

Looks like some of the terms of Bapcor's cap raise have leaked, as well as a little about the further business deterioration that's necessitated the raising.

Been watching Bapcor for a little while now, but just couldn't find satisfaction they'd 100% stabilised some of the business issues enough to be a safe buy.

Number of sophisticated fundies and super funds have been burned on this one - think its going to be a pretty painful return to the bourse.

Will reserve opinions until after tomorrow's results to better understand where the latest deterioration has come from, and just hpw much they've had to discount to get the raise away.

Feel for shareholders of BAP - has been a torrid couple of years for them.

@Randy. Disc: Not Held

******************************************

From THE AUSTRALIAN

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John Wylie backs Bapcor’s $150m-plus raising as super funds baulk at discount deal

Bapcor is believed to be finalising plans to raise between about $150m and $200m, with John Wylie’s Tanarra Capital believed to be among the investors backing the deal.

However, DataRoom understands that some of Bapcor’s major super fund investors have opted not to participate.

Tanarra Capital owns about 15.7 per cent of the stock, while AustralianSuper owns 15 per cent.

Other major investors include Australian Retirement Trust, Host Plus and Yarra Capital.

The raise is expected to be deeply discounted after shares were suspended from trade on Monday, and is expected to be led by its adviser, Macquarie Capital.

Well-informed sources say Bapcor may tell the market that the forecast for the second half of the 2026 financial year is shaping up to be about 20 per cent lower than expected.

Some sources said investors would back a deal because the new chief executive, Chris Wilesmith, was well regarded and would build a solid team for the business after Bapcor had lost a number of staff to competitors.

Bapcor had earlier said it had stripped out about $20m in costs and that underlying net profit for the first half was expected to be $14m to $18m.

Guidance for the 2026 financial year was expected to be $40m to $50m, excluding impairments, while underlying net profit before a non-recurring item was expected to be $51m to $61m.

Lenders have already waived debt covenants for the group and may only continue to do so on the condition that the company taps the market.

Bapcor’s share price is down more than 57 per cent over six months and its market value is currently $580m.

DataRoom reported in November that market experts believed Bapcor was at risk of breaching its debt covenants, prompting the board’s appointment of a high-profile restructuring specialist, Lachlan Edwards, to take on the role as chairman.

Sources at that time played down any possibility that the company could wind up insolvent following a prolonged period of underperformance, saying the covenant breach would be temporary before it turned the corner.

Bapcor issued a profit downgrade in October as it slashed about 80 staff from its head office.

Bridget Carter

DataRoom Editor

https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/dataroom/john-wylie-backs-bapcors-150mplus-raising-as-super-funds-baulk-at-discount-deal/news-story/1a981ae28a5458556956aeae68556b99


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ApplePark
Added a month ago

June 2024, the board rejected a $5.40 cash offer per share.

just…. Wow.

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