I have sold my PushPay shares (in real life and the order has been placed on Strawman for today).
Selling today at about $1.15 represents about a 5% discount on what I'd get if I waited for the takeover to proceed ($1.21 at current FX rates) -- so why sell now?
Well, the time value of money is a real thing. This money is tied up until the sale finally goes through, and this wont be until the second quarter of calendar 2023. I suspect the actual cash transfer will take even longer. I don't want to wait (potentially) 6 months or so for a measly 5%, especially as the deal could potentially fall over, or the NZD/AUD exchange could move against me.
(Yes, a higher offer could also materialise, although that seems unlikely, and the exchange rate could move in my favour -- but this would be pure speculation).
The idea will be to deploy the funds in something else that has better risk/return potential.
All told, it's been an ok investment. Not great, not terrible.
I first bought in 2017, and in real life managed a 11% CAGR over the period. Here on Strawman it'll be closer to 9% CAGR (both in money weighted terms to account for the various buys/sells). It would have been better if I sold in the heady days of 2020, but we're all geniuses with the benefit of hindsight! :)
I agree with other members that the company had some solid long term potential, and despite a few missteps from management I would have been happy to hold for another 5 years.
C'est La Vie
I really hope it's NOT a takeover.
I feel this has a quite a runway moving forward.
Hold IRL & SM
I assume the trading halt is due to an aquisition announcement, either them being aquiried (IMO most likely) or them making an aquisition.
It is too early for their Half Year report and that shouldn't require a trading halt anyway.
I'll be disappointed if this takeover offers goes through.
Private capital firms are using the current market conditions to go bargain hunting.
Anything they offer will most likely be severely undervaluing the company.