Forum Topics NDQ NDQ Bear Case

Pinned straw:

Last edited 10 months ago

Up 25% for the past 12months and approaching all time highs....

Would love to know anyones thoughts.

No one knows the future but surely trees don't grow to the sky.

Strawman
10 months ago

It's got to have been the most bearish bull market I can remember @topowl

At a guess it may just be expectations for a Fed pivot and a return to a more accommodative stance? Also, lots of excitement for the potential with AI. It's really only a small handful of stocks that are driving the index higher, so that could explain it. Maybe?

A look at the Schiller PE ratio suggests things are hardly cheap

a537e8d6e18ee2c8b8ff05aac2901fd9ded4fc.png

But for the ASX, the (trailing) PE is bang on the long run average:

b4a32d59d92fbb491bc2969f9eb10a74712979.png


Who knows! I'm more a "bottom up" guy, but the big picture view is interesting.


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