Forum Topics NDQ NDQ Bear Case

Pinned straw:

Last edited 2 years ago

Up 25% for the past 12months and approaching all time highs....

Would love to know anyones thoughts.

No one knows the future but surely trees don't grow to the sky.

Strawman
Added 2 years ago

It's got to have been the most bearish bull market I can remember @topowl

At a guess it may just be expectations for a Fed pivot and a return to a more accommodative stance? Also, lots of excitement for the potential with AI. It's really only a small handful of stocks that are driving the index higher, so that could explain it. Maybe?

A look at the Schiller PE ratio suggests things are hardly cheap

a537e8d6e18ee2c8b8ff05aac2901fd9ded4fc.png

But for the ASX, the (trailing) PE is bang on the long run average:

b4a32d59d92fbb491bc2969f9eb10a74712979.png


Who knows! I'm more a "bottom up" guy, but the big picture view is interesting.


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