Pinned straw:
@Pheadrus , I just watched the recording of the AVA interview. I agree that Mal presented pretty well and generated good enthusiasm. The target growth numbers also look pretty good if they can be achieved. It inspired me to do a bit more digging which has probably turned up more questions than answers.
Next step - listen to the Annual meeting and have a deeper review of my valuation model.
DISC: Held IRL and in Strawman
Quick follow up research on the interview with Mal.
One thing that interested me very much was the name Rod Wilson, the new CTO and head of illuminate of AVA who is currently developing a new product platform base on the Aura Ai technologies.
Rod was the VP of products when he was working for Smith Detection. Mal was the president of that company for about 3 years during that period. Rod's last position was General Manager/CTO at Metrasens.
Basically, our new hire is not just a Phd in Physics. We are getting a well seasoned product manager who has rich experience in developing product linese that generate hundreds of millions of pounds in revenue.
Another fun factm, Rod and Jim, the VP Americas who joined AVA back in 2021 happened to work together at Smith Detection and Metrasens previously. Basically we are getting a whole bunch of new people but not necessarily a new team. Let's see how the chemistry works out in the next 12 months.
I think we are in good hands. Mal is clearly a CEO who understands the technology and has heaps of experience in execution.
My favourite part from this interview is when Mal pointed out why AVA has always been making lumpy sales. The company has to take every market equally serious to build up secured sources of income. Everybody knows AVA needs stronger sales capacity. In fact, the company has been trying since the Rob era without a clear strategy. All they've achieved was some hires in North America, which was okay since we got a couple wins in the energy sector after the arrival of James Viscard.
What Mal brought with him is a structured global gameplan and rich connection to critical hires. Instead of having a strong sales team in North America, we now have sales ececutives that cover the whole planet. Let's give this team another 12 months see how things play out. I think Mal is very confident about the $70M objective. In fact, this goal is only just a starting point for him. Maybe one day AVA will grow into the same size as Rapsican.
As a very commited shareholder, I'm keen to watch this growth story in the next 5 years.
Also, a big thank to Andrew for asking so many good questions.
haha, i 100% agree @Pheadrus I'm a sucker for a smooth talking CEO...
I do think that it takes time for a new leadership team to make their mark (just look at Catapult), and Mal's been there only 6 months -- a period where he turned over 65% of the workforce!
He seems to have the right focus, and glad to hear him say that this is largely about execution from here. The technology base is sound, and now it's a matter of converting prospects.
Was encouraged he batted back a couple of softball questions, and he really didn't seem eager to make ASX announcements unless legally required. I thought he was very restrained in terms of things like AI and industry tailwinds etc. And the response to the AuraIQ was very reasonable to me.
Also good to hear that acquisitions aren't part of the strategy and it seems like he's brought on some competent and well connected people.
All that being said, as I mentioned, we need top line growth in the order of 35%pa+ in the coming years. As Mal said, this is off a small base, but if that looks to be overly optimistic i'll definitely be re-thinking things. If it's on track, i suspect shares will re-rate rather significantly at some stage.