Following the call, I expect tomorrow's result will not be good.
Brian McNamee made repeated references to the words "performance", "commercial performance", "execution", "portofolio", "sense of urgency".
Basically, my reading of this is that in the engagement between Paul McKenzie and the Board since the AGM on the priorities communicated at the AGM, the Board (and maybe Paul too) have concluded that the company is just not making fast enough progress across its priorities, as it required to restore shareholder value.
Strengthening the portfolio (i.e. new products) is a key requirement, and perhaps the Board has lost confidence that Paul M has the capability to succeed on that.
When you get to that point, a change has to happen, and it looks like it has.
So, I think we should expect a weak result tomorrow, and I am not sure Gordan will be offering much in the way of solutions. So, my guess is that he will commit to an update and a recovery plan in 100 days ... or next quarter.
How the market reacts is anyone's guess. Probably badly if the result significantly undershoots expectations.
Those hoping for an early recovery might capitulate, which will create volumes looking for an exit. Equally, some might be encouraged that the Board is willing to take tough decisions to instill a sense of urgency and get things back on track.
As long standing CFO in the glory days, Gordan Naylor has some credentials including the Sequirus turnaround.
In summary, anyone holding on to $CSL needs to decide whether they are prepared to buckle down for a few years. This ship was never going to turned quickly.
Let's see just how bad tomorrow's result is.