I'm trying to understand where Amplia's drug candidate sits in the pack of current solid tumour treatment candidates. I'll spare you the details of my research, however, it's apparently in a good position.
In short, it's interesting because it's potentially a simple 'amplifying' addition to existing and any future treatments, rather than a complex new drug combination. It acts to break down the protective shell of some solid tumours (it's an FAK inhibitor) and shows signs of improved survival and response rate for one of the main chemo protocols. Thankfully, that's pretty easy to understand.
For all parties involved, if it continues in larger trials to add a few extra months to life on average compared to the existing treatment, while also giving some lucky patients a complete response at a remarkable rate, then who wouldn't want it assuming the same safety and tolerability seen so far?
There are plenty of other candidates out there, but they are apparently mostly more complex, so have to 'replace' existing treatment which is a higher bar.
As with all trial drugs, a lot can go wrong between now and approval, however, a lot can go right too. With more frequent dosing in the next pancreatic trial (now that they are confident about tolerability), and an ovarian trial to start soon too, there's room for positive surprises.
I have no idea when exactly a big pharma buyer swoops in to pick it up, and couldn't say when the best time to invest is, but it's an interesting candidate to track. I got in when it was neglected and cheap, then a happy surprise came and now I'm just along for the ride.
Disclaimer: Not a doctor.