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Added 2 years ago

EMR has made a takeover bid that has been recommended by the Bullseye Mining board.

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Valuation of $1.200
Added 2 years ago
12 month price target = $1.20. They're getting up towards 90 cps today on the back of news that they've ramped up to better than nameplate capacity at Okvau, so are now in full production with no significant issues to address. They closed yesterday at $0.815, so my price target is almost 50% above that level, however they've already been up to $1.10 in early June - which is when Okvau began being commissioned, and the plant is now fully commissioned and flying. The only difference is the gold price and sentiment towards gold companies. I believe Okvau is an excellent project with high grades and low costs and the team there (who have enjoyed a heap of success previously with other gold companies) will continue to make smart decisions and run the company effectively and efficiently. The main risks are (1) the most obvious one: exposure to the gold price, (2) they are currently a one-mine company, and (3) sovereign risk - their project is located in Cambodia. I personally don't see as much risk with the Cambodian government as I do with the governments of Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, most of north and west Africa, and a great deal of South America, but then I'm basing that on limited information and most of that is what I've heard from the guys running Emerald Resources who appear to have developed a strong relationship with the Cambodian Government who seem to be very supportive of this project. To summarise, there are risks, and I'm happy to accept them. The last one, the perceived sovereign risk actually has a flip side which is that projects that are located in areas considered to be more risky will have an additional discount applied to their market valuation (i.e. SP), so such companies tend to trade at a discount to their peers, particularly those peers whose gold mines are located in Australia or North America (including Canada). So you can buy them for a lower price, if you're happy with the risk profile, and the returns can be better if the risks don't end up impacting the company in a negative way. That's my take on it anyway. I mostly like my gold miners to be mining their gold here in Australia, however I do make occasional exceptions, and this is one of those.
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#Full Gold Production @ Okvau
Last edited 2 years ago

21-Sep-2021:  Okvau Gold Mine Ramps Up to Full Production


  • Commissioning of the Okvau gold plant complete with ramp up of operations to full production
  • Over 19koz gold produced to date including ~12koz gold poured
  • Gold shipments to the refiner commenced in July 2021
  • Gold production to end of Quarter 2021 on track for ~23koz (inclusive of gold in circuit)
  • Process plant throughput 10% above DFS targeted nameplate rate of 2.0Mtpa
  • Sulphide ore production for the first 15 days of September has averaged 420 ounces per day recovered, confirms plant is capable of +100koz p.a. gold production
  • Grade control and mill production showing a strongly positive reconciliation to reserve for fresh rock sulphide ore and oxide ore
  • Sulphide ore gold recoveries consistent with expected recoveries for the areas mined (~82%). Life of mine recoveries remain in line with the DFS of ~84%
  • Mining operations are on schedule and in line with milling requirements, meeting all ore and waste feed requirements
  • AISC materially on budget with guidance for remainder of FY2022 in line with DFS forecasts at 25-30koz per quarter at cash costs in a range of US$720 – US$780/oz

Emerald Resources NL (ASX: EMR) is pleased to advise that it has completed ramp up activities at its 100% owned 2.0Mtpa Okvau Gold Mine. The management team will continue to focus on optimising the performance of the Okvau Gold Mine.

Emerald’s Managing Director, Morgan Hart, said:

“It is pleasing to announce that we have achieved the successful ramp up of operations to full production at the Okvau Gold Mine which now places Emerald in the ranks of a 100,000+ ounce per annum gold producer."

"Importantly we are either meeting or exceeding the Okvau Gold Mine DFS1 which is a testament to the skill and quality of our staff and contractors in light of the significant challenges of the global pandemic and commissioning and ramp up activities during the recent wet season."

"We look forward to positive cash flows from the Okvau Gold Mine providing the opportunity to grow the Company through exploration and acquisition. Notably with environmental approvals recently granted at the Memot Project, our exploration is scheduled to commence on a maiden drilling campaign in the near term.”

--- click on the link at the top for the full announcement, with photos ---

Disclosure:  I hold EMR shares in RL and in my SM portfolio.  They have some impressive experience and prior track records in terms of management, key personnel and their board, and they have MACA (MLD) doing their contract mining for them - I also hold MLD shares.  I don't normally go for gold producers with a single mine, especially if it's located outside of Australia.  Okvau is in Cambodia.  However, I'm backing the management and board in this case. 

The ramp-up has been excellent - with no real issues having impeded it.  Their costs should be world-class (i.e. low).  This is shaping up as an excellent project, and one that I think a few larger gold producers would now be casting an eye over in terms of Okvau being a possible bolt-on acquisition for them at some stage.

I think we're in for a period of consolidation within the industry, so I'm expecting M&A, I just don't know who and when.  But if you hold shares in the best producers, both established and emerging, it's a good start.

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#Okvau Maiden Gold Pour
Added 2 years ago

24-June-2021:  Maiden Gold Pour at the Okvau Gold Mine

Emerald Resources NL (ASX: EMR) (“Emerald”) is pleased to advise that it has commissioned the gold room and poured first gold at its 100% owned 1.14Moz Okvau Gold Mine.

Two gold bars weighing a combined 8.6kg were produced during the three day commissioning of the gold room.

Emerald’s Chairman, Simon Lee AO, said: “I share absolute pride and the sense of achievement with our unwavering staff, trusted contractors and suppliers in Australia and Cambodia who have battled unprecedented challenges to remain categorically focused on meeting our target of commissioning and first gold production from the Okvau gold mine on time and on budget.”

“This could not be achieved without the leadership of our experienced executive and management team led by Managing Director Morgan Hart and Executive Director, Mick Evans and the support from the Government of Cambodia and its people. We are truly lucky to operate in a country steeped in traditions and wonderful people.”

Emerald’s Managing Director, Morgan Hart, said: “The first gold pour is a major milestone for both the Company and for Cambodia as the project becomes the first modern large scale mine to operate in the country. This marks the creation of a new industry for Cambodia bringing opportunities and benefits for the people of Cambodia.”

“Construction activities have remained on budget and the first gold pour has remained on schedule despite the logistical challenges brought on by the global pandemic. It is a testament to the skill and experience of the team we have assembled on site throughout this process."

"First gold doré production at Okvau is a significant achievement for Emerald, as whilst it continues commissioning activities ramping up to full production, it has successfully transitioned to the ranks of an international gold miner.”

Project Update

Commissioning activities at Okvau are well advanced and have initially focussed on the processing of oxide ore from crusher to the SAG mill, and through the CIL tanks, stripping circuits and detox circuit. The focus will now shift to commissioning the fine grind float circuit and adding higher grade sulphide ore to the process plant over coming weeks as the Okvau Gold Project ramps up to full production.

The Company maintains its guidance that the production at the Okvau Gold Project is forecast to be 100,000oz to 110,000oz per annum in line with the Company’s Definitive Feasibility Study releases on 1 May 2017 and subsequently updated on 26 November 2019.


[I hold EMR shares.]

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#Okvau Wet Commissioning
Added 2 years ago

8-June-2021:  First Ore Feed and Commencement of Wet Commissioning of Okvau Gold Plant

- Crushing Circuit and Processing Plant in start-up wet commissioning phase in advance of maiden gold pour this month


  • Crushing circuit commissioned and stockpiling crushed ore
  • First ore feed to the processing plant and wet commissioning commenced
  • Okvau substation energised and fully operational
  • Tailings Storage Facility (Stage 1) completed and ready for tailings discharge
  • 245,000 tonnes of ore on the ROM
  • Ramp up of gold in circuit allowing for maiden gold pour this month

Emerald Resources NL (ASX: EMR) is pleased to advise that it has commenced crushing activities, delivered the first ore feed to the Mill and has commenced wet commissioning of the Processing Plant at the Company’s 100% owned 1.14Moz Okvau Gold Project in advance of the maiden gold pour this month.

Emerald’s Managing Director, Morgan Hart, said:

“The first ore feed and commencement of wet commissioning of the Okvau Gold Project is a significant milestone for the Company and represents the exceptional efforts by our experienced construction and development team with co-operation from our quality contractors and global suppliers.”

“The Project has remained on budget and on schedule despite the logistical challenges brought on by the global pandemic and is a testament to the skill and experience of the team we have assembled on site throughout this process.”

“Construction activities are nearing practical completion and open-pit mining has delivered over 245,000t of predominantly oxide ore on the ROM pad. The oxide feed is being used to wet commission the SAG Mill and leaching circuit for the first few weeks of operation allowing a ramp up of gold in circuit in advance of the maiden gold pour this month. Hard rock, sulphide feed will be added to the circuit in the coming weeks to commission the float regrind circuit.”

[I hold EMR shares.]

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#Quarterly Activities Reports
Added 2 years ago

30-Apr-2021:  Quarterly Activities Report

Quarterly Report for the period ended 31 March 2021


Development Activities - Okvau Gold Project

  • Okvau Gold Mine Development continues to be “On Time-On Budget”;
  • Overall project construction is nearing practical completion;
  • Aspects of project commissioning expected to commence in May 2021;
  • First gold production expected before the end of current Quarter;
  • Earthmoving activities continued in line with project schedule with first ore delivered to ROM and first blasting during the Quarter.  [MACA (ASX:MLD) have the earthmoving and mining contract at Okvau]

Exploration – Near Mine and Regional Licences

  • Okvau Gold Project - High grade intersections continue to support structural feeder zone interpretation;
  • Environmental assessment progressing on highly prospective Memot Project. Preliminary rock chip sampling undertaken including 40.4, 27.3, 23.6 and 13.7 g/t Au;
  • Significant gold-in-soil Auger soil sample results from infill programme on the previously announced O’Kapai Prospect (O’Kthung Licence) including 1,000 and 434 ppb Au.


  • Consolidated cash at 31 March 2021 was approximately A$47 million;
  • Emerald remains fully funded to develop the Okvau Gold Project with additional contingency.


  • The commitment and dedication of the Company’s construction and operational workforce has limited the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic to a level that to date has not delayed the project from forecast or increased costs materially;
  • Travel between Australia and Cambodia continues to be restricted but is being managed through longer rosters and regional sourcing and the dedication of key employees on site at Okvau;
  • Uncertainties around international freight have now been largely overcome with in excess of 95% of all equipment on site, approximately 4% in transit and less than 1% remaining to be shipped.

Commenting on the Quarter ended 31 March 2021, Emerald’s Managing Director, Morgan Hart, said:

"The global pandemic has continued to present challenges during the Quarter. However, our suppliers, logistics team and construction crew have worked safely and efficiently so that we are now in the final stages of construction of the Okvau Gold Project and expect to deliver first gold production prior to the end of the current quarter.”

“The expected first gold production will mark a significant milestone for Emerald and herald a new chapter for the Company as a +100,000 ounce per annum gold producer with an average LOM AISC of US$754/oz. First gold production at Okvau represents the first step in the Company's stated strategy to become a multi-mine gold producer."

--- click on the link at the top for the full report ---

[I hold EMR shares.  I have shares in a number of gold producers, plus a small handful of project developers, and Emerald Resources is the ONLY gold project developer I hold who has a project located outside of Australia.  I am backing their very experienced and well-credentialed management team, who have sensibly partnered with the Cambodian government to ensure favourable treatment in-country (or at least to hopefully ensure they do not get seriously rogered).  Their grades at Okvau are outstanding.]

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#Okvau GP On Track
Added 2 years ago

09-April-2021:  Okvau Gold Project On Track For Commissioning 2Q of 2021

Emerald Resources NL (ASX: EMR) is pleased to advise that its 100% owned 1.14Moz Okvau Gold Project is tracking on-time and on-budget for commissioning and first gold pour in 2Q21 [i.e. the current June Qtr].

Emerald’s Managing Director, Morgan Hart, said: “Our dedicated team in country has advanced the development of the Okvau Gold Project significantly in recent months to be on schedule for the successful commissioning of the process plant and deliver first gold production prior to the end of the current quarter.”

“This represents an exceptional effort given the logistical challenges brought on by the global pandemic and done whilst maintaining first-class protocols to ensure the continued health and wellbeing of staff, contractors and stakeholders.”

"The expected first gold production will mark a significant milestone for Emerald and herald a new chapter for the Company as a +100,000 ounce per annum gold producer with an average LOM AISC of US$754/oz.

--- click on the link above for the full announcement ---

Also, recently:  05-March-2021:  121 Mining Conference APAC Presentation

Disclosure:  I hold EMR shares.  It is an exception to my rule of not owning shares in gold mining companies whose mine (or majority of mines) is/are located outside of Australia.  There is sovereign risk associated with operating in Cambodia for sure, but it's a very small position for me, and the low projected AISC and pedigree of their management and board are enough to get me to make that exception.  High risk, high potential return.  But only with money I can afford to lose.  You don't bet the farm on companies like this.

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Added 3 years ago

Attched is a research note on EMR, which gives an overview and potential valuation ranges on the stock.

View Attachment

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Valuation of $1.510
Added 3 years ago
DFS metrics have been heavily sandbagged with upside from grade, recoveries and milling rate. At spot, valuation assuming upside to DFS metrics prove correct is ~1.51/sh.
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