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#quarterly
stale
Added 2 years ago

EVN also released its Quarterly yesterday.

full announcement here

the headline results are fine:

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Production is up a bit (both for gold and copper) and cash flow has improved

Brilliantly, AISC reduced massively. But....

2c82eee7902abb1813c229070cf53cb14a5e24.png

The future of EVN rests on Red Lake, and things there are continuing to go from bad to worse. The only reason the headline figures are any good is because of this:

937a9a8a22c05522121b8adfa642d4c696b600.png

The AISC from Ernest Henry has created a weirdo -$3748.

I think in a previous post @Bear77 explained the reasoning behind this which has to do with the contract with Glencore for copper sold, when EVN bought the mine. Anyhoo, it is a big masking agent for Red Lake which is not going to plan.

In the report though, there are good reasons why it isn't going to plan just now, but will improve shortly:

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And even though this is apparently, entirely normal, expected and nothing to see here:

32b1b93b1bfcfcb3d7f3fcabddb715d5c83880.png

So, heads have rolled. There have been many quarters of disappointment regarding Red Lake

I have now lost faith in EVN. I think that "the great white hope" of Red Oak is not going to eventuate and will be selling out completely tomorrow.

Bit sad, after nearly 20 years or so of holding EVN from a penny stock.

But..never fall in love with a stock, and always re-assess in the light of new evidence.


#Business Model/Strategy
stale
Added 3 years ago

I would seem market does no approve of investing for medium term growth and suspect there will be a consequent hit to the dividend policy.

For me, this is just what I want the company to be doing. Management continue to invest in "best in class" mines that have the lowest AISC in the industry, guaranteeing future profitability throughout all phases of the commodity/gold cycle.

Bought more in my Super on this dip.