Top member reports
No meetings
Consensus community valuation
The consensus valuation is for members only and has been removed from this chart. Click for membership options.
Contributing Members
Content is delayed by one month. Upgrade your membership to unlock all content. Click for membership options.
#Bull Case... milking it
stale
Added one year ago

I note there are zero people interested in Fonterra. I have just a bit of a look into them on valuation basis.I only chose the title for the miserable bovine related puns. I apologise. I am not particularly bullish, but there are a couple of points I would like help clarifying

This is their quarterly719df57c35b0b2e6c3fa3aaa1601b1dd1043ea.png

Which all looks rosy.

Yet later their NOT-normalised FCF looks abysmal:

36ac695a83d5d62023952c11a56bbc75cc478a.png

As OPEX and cost of goods sold is significantly less than revenue, where is the -ve FCF coming from? Is this because of their Share buy back?

Secondly, they have announced the sale of their Chilean business for $NZD 1bn and their Brazilian business for $NZD 210m. They have not announced how this will be returned to shareholders. They currently already have a share buyback in process.

I'm trying to work out whether this represents an opportunity to benefit from a significant capital return in an otherwise robust but cyclical agricultural business, that does not appear expensive on headline metrics.

Thanks for any help on this.

C

Read More