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Last edited 3 months ago
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#FY25 Results
Added 3 months ago

Hard to know where to start with this one, so I’ll let the charts and graphics do most of the talking.

The FY25 results reinforce RTH’s trajectory as a fast-growing business since listing in mid-FY22. What stands out is that the top-line expansion has been almost entirely organic, with the only exception being around $1m of revenue and ARR contributed in FY25 from the Hong Kong publications acquisition.

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At the same time, RTH has been investing heavily in the UK market and in building out its wagering technology segment. Both are now starting to hit their stride, contributing significantly to overall growth.

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They’ve also reached the inflection point for profitability and free cash flow. The chart below probably does them a slight disservice, as I’ve stripped out the R&D grants, but it highlights the underlying trend more clearly.

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And there are plenty of irons in the fire. The key ones are continued growth in Europe, further success in Wagering Technology, and the push into Hong Kong and Singapore following the recent acquisition.

With 80% gross margins and a 1.6x pro-forma EV/S multiple, there’s a lot to like.

#Business Update
stale
Added 6 months ago

Racing and Sports released a business update yesterday: https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250528/pdf/06k5m6sc79qt9s.pdf

Overall, they're executing well with both new business wins and expansion of contracts with existing customers. Organic ARR grew 9.3% in the past 5 months.

Here is management's ARR graph:

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I like mine better:

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#Bull Case
stale
Last edited 7 months ago

A quick disclaimer: this company won’t be for everyone. Racing and Sports (RAS) works closely with wagering companies in the horse and greyhound racing industries. If that doesn’t align with your personal ESG standards, you may wish to stop reading here.

@Wini wrote an excellent article about the company recently, which covers the background of the company, investment case and the risks in detail. I recommend reading this first: https://www.merewethercapital.com.au/blog/backing-a-microcap-software-winner-in-the-global-horse-racing-wagering-industry/

RAS Technology is interesting because it has grown and executed exceptionally well since its IPO in late 2021. It shares many traits with high-quality software businesses, yet the current share price suggests the market remains highly skeptical — both of the quality of the business and whether even a moderating growth rate can be sustained over the medium to long term.

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The growth over the past three years has been impressive across a few dimensions:

  1. It’s been entirely organic — winning more clients and larger contracts.
  2. The key goals of listing was to expand internationally and grow the wagering technology division. Since IPO, these areas have achieved top-line growth of 2.1x and 4.1x, respectively.
  3. Opex needed to scale quickly to support the expansion - growing geographically, establishing a wagering operation, and “corporatising” the business beyond its heavy reliance on its two founders. Despite this investment, the company only burned $4.8m over three years and is now inflecting back into profitability, with free cash flow to follow.


Strong organic growth is evident. But even more important to my bull case - I don’t see Racing and Sports being too dissimilar to other recurring revenue software companies with sticky tier 1 customers.

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Today, the revenue split is 63% Data and Content, 29% Wagering Technology, with the remainder from Media revenue.

Data and Content revenue are multi-year subscription contracts signed with wagering customers. The data is used to power the consumer facing apps and websites - form guides, race history, and other tools to help end users make better-informed decisions.

The Wagering Technology division provides back-office software and operations functions. This can range from data used to inform the pricing of bets, to software that facilitate trading, risk management and customer management to complete turnkey solutions that allow customers to completely outsource their entire wagering operations. These contracts are also multi-year and generate a combination of subscription and transactional (percentage of betting volume) revenue.

These are all recurring revenue streams that are not dissimilar to those of an enterprise software company. The data and software are deeply integrated - they are sticky products that are a pain to replace. Management notes churn is very low, and in 26 years, they’ve never lost a tier 1 customer.

Finally - I get the sense the company simply knows what they’re doing. They understand what customers want and execute technically, which has allowed them to expand quickly both internationally and into new verticals. Meanwhile, key competitors have struggled. BetMakers (ASX:BET), the main competitor in Australia, has found it difficult to grow without aggressive acquisitions and heavy cash burn. PA Media, the incumbent in the UK and Europe, has lost several contracts to Racing and Sports.

So to recap. Strong organic growth (37%pa CAGR over 3 years), high gross margins (~80%), now inflecting into profitability, a business model with strong recurring revenue characteristics, and led by operators who know what they’re doing.

And it’s currently priced at an EV/S of around 1.35x. The market clearly doesn’t agree with a lot of what I’ve just said.