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#pricingpower
Added 5 months ago

Telstra increasing prices $2-4 per month per mobile customer

Equivalent of adding $800-900m PA based on current users circa 22-24mil

4-6% growth in mobile users


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Valuation of $4.00
Added 5 months ago

I have decided to take RL position in TLS based on the following valuation. The earnings guidance market sell off triggered my interest to take a closer look

Sitting in my view a 10% discount with a current grossed up FF yield of between 6-7% on offer pa i feel TLS is ripe for a re-rate. Its under its 200SMA and based on its latest earnings guidance should... payout 9-10cents dividend. If they hit their targets, those dividends should lift to 20c and above in the next coupe of years. At this price that's a fwd FF yield of nearly 8% for a monopoly telco.

Fundamentally the T25 strategy looks on track, I am happy with the simplification of the business and the mobile business continues to grow. Combined with the infrastructure business and scale back of the enterprise business and cost cuts. They have the option to sell off infrastructure like they did previously but essentially my thesis is banking on the mobile monopoly that exists and the scarcity of any nearest competitor that can take away their market share.

Defensive monopoly business with a high yield

Will add a position to SM today

JW

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#Telco Update
stale
Added 3 years ago

Spent some time with Telstra last week.

Thought I might share some insight, I believe (hope) all of the below is public information, but thought I would summarize in the one place.

Disclosure: I am heavily involved in Telco but do not invest in the sector

Telstra, have finalized and organized the management teams of the three new divisions and the edges have been sharpened. They are also waking up form covid and finally returning to work, albeit slowly.

We have Andy stepping down and Vicky tacking over. It would seem she is highly motivated to continue the current trajectory.

Fiber

They have there new dark fiber offering, this is the first time this has been made available.

They are completing a complete new duel fiber run nation wide (due for release 2025). This new fiber is specifically designed, it is ultra fast with less repeaters. It may even prove quick enough for us to remove expensive datacenters in Perth for real time applications. More importantly. As is the case now, Telstra will be clipping the ticket of most Telco's to use it.

And price incentives for ethernet/fiber to premises has been extended to continue to compete with market share from NBN Co

Telstra Home

I think they have realized that perhaps they are loosing some of this market share of loyal "Telstra Home Users" we saw -

the acquisition of Fetch.

Teaming up with security vendors

And again heading for the new year software and security integration into many new products

There is also a lot of development into gadgets and IOT in the pipeline.

Towers

We have the new arrangement with TPG for spectrum space.

Wholesalers are about to get access to the 5G spectrum

Other Business

The are back in the DC space (after leaving many years ago).

Heaps of IOT and GPS tracking ideas/devices/wholesale.

Most of the copper has now been removed from the ducts. There is a lot of real-estate here and Telstra is keen to rent it.


That's about the crux of it, feel free to msg me for any in depth info, happy to share what I can.

Ultimately the wheels are still grinding away there at Telstra. Although they are harder to turn than the titanic and have the reputation of @$$% they are still a formidable company in this space. And remember if investing in this sector, Telstra is clipping the ticket of every telco.










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#Bear Case
stale
Added 3 years ago

Media reporting

Australia's consumer watchdog, the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, is taking Telstra, Optus and TPG to court, alleging they misled consumers over NBN speeds.

The ACCC alleges the companies made false or misleading representations with respect to promotions. It is also alleged they all wrongly accepted payments from customers when they were not provided with promised speeds.

Link to article. 

As a holder of ABB, I would be lying if I said I wasn't a little relieved that they also haven't been implicated (touch wood). I will be surprised if this doesn't have an impact on TPG and Telstra share prices when the market opens tomorrow. 

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#To delist from NZX 26/3/21
stale
Added 4 years ago

Telstra Corporation Limited – Delisting from the Main Board of NZX Limited and letter to Shareholders

The Telstra Board has resolved to delist from the Main Board of NZX Limited (“NZX”), and move to a sole listing on the Australian Securities Exchange (“ASX”). NZ RegCo has approved the delisting, subject to Telstra meeting certain conditions. The trading of Telstra shares on NZX will cease at the close of business on Wednesday 16 June 2021.

NZX shares will be transferred to the ASX, and there will be no NZX trading, on Thursday 17 June and Friday 18 June 2021. Telstra will be delisted from NZX from the close of business on Friday 18 June 2021. The sole listing on the ASX will commence at the opening of the next trading day on Monday 21 June 2021.

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