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March 2021: Euroz Hartleys: Yojee (YOJ): Speculative Buy: Dec’Q Update
Analyst: Seth Lizee - Associate Research Analyst, +61 8 9488 1414
Target Price: $0.50/sh, Recommendation: Speculative Buy
Dec’Q Update
Investment case
YOJ recently provided an update on its December quarter. We remain pleased with the company’s progress on rollouts in addition to receiving its first expansion order from an existing client during the Q. Revenue and volumes growth (%QoQ) were broadly flat as a result of recent rollouts occurring in the final weeks of the Q, in addition to unprecedented weather events and COVID-19 lockdowns occurring in the Philippines which was the only live enterprise country during the Q. Notwithstanding, going forward we look towards significant transaction volume growth in coming quarters from recent and coming rollouts. In parallel, YOJ continues to provide commentary on a strong pipeline of additional opportunities to expand existing agreements (as has recently occurred last month) and sign potentially new ones all together. The business remains well funded for growth, boasting a solid balance sheet.
The Global logistics industry accounts for +US$9 trillion annually, parcel movements alone are forecasted to surpass 100 billion this year and double to 200 billion by 2025. Industry wide changes are creating new demands and issues driving rapid increases in digitisation. YOJs comprehensive cloud based logistics SaaS platform is well placed to solve these issues. YOJs recent agreements show growing demand for the platform, securing agreements with three major global logistics companies who have $100 billion in combined revenues. The YOJ investment case is predicated on the rollout of its logistics platform with Geodis, Kuehne+Nagel, and Maersk’s in parallel to signing new SaaS agreements, thereby growing revenue scale through rapidly increasing market share.
We Maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation and $0.50/sh. Price Target.
Key points
Yojee Ltd - Year End: 30 June
Click on the link above for the full report, or open the attachment below.
The ASX released two new updates from Euroz Hartleys on Yojee on Friday (26-Mar-2021):
Latest: 04-Mar-2021: Business Update: Further Rollouts, Value add Demonstrated
And: 22-Jan-2021: Business Update
Analyst (for both): Seth Lizee - Associate Research Analyst, Euroz Hartleys, +61 8 9488 1414
From the latest (04-Mar-2021) Note:
Business Update: Further Rollouts, Value add Demonstrated
Key Points
YOJ has provided a business update:
Investment Thesis
YOJ continues to deliver on its platform rollouts, announcing 2 enterprise countries have entered revenue generating ‘go-live’ phase, this brings the total to 6, 5 more than December 2020. Going forward we look towards continued rollout successes and significant transaction volume growth in coming quarters from these recent and coming rollouts. In parallel, YOJ continues to provide commentary on a strong pipeline of additional opportunities to expand existing agreements and sign potentially new ones all together, the company stating they are in advanced discussions with multiple potential new enterprise clients. The business is funded for growth, boasting a solid balance sheet. The Global logistics industry accounts for +US$9 trillion annually, parcel movements alone are forecasted to surpass 100 billion this year and double to 200 billion by 2025. Industry wide changes are creating new demands and issues driving rapid increases in digitisation. YOJs comprehensive cloud based logistics SaaS platform is well placed to solve these issues. YOJs recent agreements show growing demand for the platform, securing agreements with three major global logistics companies who have $100 billion in combined revenues. The YOJ investment case is predicated on the rollout of its logistics platform with Geodis, Kuehne+Nagel, and Maersk’s in parallel to signing new SaaS agreements, thereby growing revenue scale through rapidly increasing market share.
Yojee Ltd (YOJ):
--- click on the 1st link at the top for the full report ---
25-Sep-2020: Euroz: Yojee Ltd (YOJ $0.20): Speculative Buy
Euroz Analyst: Seth Lizee, 25th September 2020, Speculative Buy, Price Target: $0.50/sh (up from $0.43/sh)
20m Equity Raise – Funded for Growth
Investment case
YOJ has successfully completed a $20m placement. This raising places YOJ in a strong position to grow its transactional volume and expand its overall market share, through existing and new agreements. Our Price Target increases as a result of the capital injection serving to derisk YOJs financial capacity to secure and roll-out its platform into new markets. To that end, the opportunity is huge.
The Global logistics industry accounts for +US$9 trillion annually, parcel movements alone are forecasted to surpass 100 billion this year and double to 200 billion by 2025. Industry wide changes are creating new demands and issues driving rapid increases in digitisation. YOJs comprehensive cloud based logistics SaaS platform is well placed to solve these issues. YOJs recent agreements show growing demand for the platform, securing agreements with three major global logistics companies who have +$100 billion in combined revenues. The YOJ investment case is predicated on the rollout of its logistics platform with Geodis, Kuehne+Nagel, and Maersk’s in parallel to signing new SaaS agreements, thereby growing revenue scale through rapidly increasing market share.
We maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation with an increased $0.50/sh.
Price Target.
Key points
Analysis
However, the investment thesis for YOJ is more about market penetration and growing market share into a massive and growing global logistics market.
New agreements and roll-outs into new countries will exponentially grow transactional volume and with it the implied revenue run-way.
Price Target
Our new $0.50/sh. Price Target has increased post equity raising, we see this justified as a result of de-risking funding and providing runway for growth. Similarly our Price Target per the analysis requires YOJ achieving the level of growth we describe, achieving ~A$49.5m in annual revenues within 3yrs time. As discussed we see further potential upside should YOJ expand these agreements beyond the constrains of our assumptions or win new SaaS agreements altogether. The factors surrounding these assumptions further drive our Speculative Buy recommendation.
--- click on the link at the top for the full Euroz Securities Report on YOJ, including their disclaimer ---
10-Sep-2020: Euroz: Quick Comment: Yojee Ltd (YOJ $0.27) Speculative Buy, Platform Update – The Growth Continues
Analyst: Seth Lizee, 10th September 2020, Price Target: $0.43/sh., Recommendation: Speculative Buy.
Platform Update – The Growth Continues
Key Points
Investment Thesis
Today’s announcement continues to show the solid progress being made. The company today announcing +1 million deliveries in the first 2 months of the financial year, this a leg up from the ~200k announced in July following the first 30 days from its go-live back in late June. The growth continues to build on the platforms stability and scalability. If YOJ can continue to show volumes growth, we can see the potential for significant revenues being generated in time. We highlight YOJs strong growth position, with major clients still due to go live in the coming months in parallel to major upcoming eCommerce campaigns ahead. The YOJ investment case is predicated on driving material revenues through the rollout of its logistics platform with the likes of Geodis, Kuehne+Nagel, and Maersk’s in parallel to signing new SaaS agreements. We maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation and $0.43/share Price Target.
--- click on link above for more ---
07-Sep-2020: Euroz: Yojee Ltd (YOJ: $0.205): Speculative Buy: "YOJ Signs Agreement with A.P. Moller - Maersk"
Analyst: Seth Lizee, 7th September 2020, Price Target: $0.43/sh (up from $0.21/sh)
Investment case:
YOJ has signed a SaaS agreement with Siam Shoreside Services (SSS), a subsidiary of shipping giant A.P. Moller – Maersk. Maersk is the world’s largest overseas cargo carrier, responsible for one in five of all global sea freight. This agreement follows recently announced scope extension with top 10 logistics company Geodis.
The global logistics industry is immense, globally logistics cost an estimated US$9 trillion annually. Global parcel movements are estimated to surpass 100 billion in 2020 and forecasted to reach +200 billion pa by 2025. Over the last 12 months YOJ has secured agreements with three major global logistics and shipping companies. The YOJ investment case is predicated on driving material revenues through the rollout of its logistics platform with the likes of Geodis, Kuehne+Nagel, and Maersk’s in parallel to signing new SaaS agreements.
We maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation with an increased $0.43/sh. Price Target
Key points
Analysis
A.P. Moller - Maersk Agreement
--- click on link above for the full report ---
31-Aug-2020: YOJ - Appendix 4E and 30 June 2020 Annual Report
LEADERSHIP IN NUMBERS
SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK
FY 2021 will be a year of focus. As an organisation we now have the clients we need to show the clear pathway to profitability and the team required to deliver it.
We will continue to prioritise customers and use continuous feedback and engagement to ensure our customers are engaged, happy and generating genuine efficiencies and savings from our technology.
Logistics is a referral business, and the Yojee name is growing stronger and stronger every year. We are already experiencing referrals from our multinational clients which is the best possible result and validation.
In 2021 we look forward to a year where that volume growth translates into sustainable recurring revenue growth and a growing global presence.
We encourage all investors to take the time to understand the significance of our technology and capabilities, as there lies the value in our business and the reason we are attracting such significant clientele.
We will keep our investors updated as and when appropriate and invite new investors on our journey.
Ed Clarke, Managing Director, Yojee Ltd.
--- click on link above for MUCH more ---
24-Aug-2020: Euroz: Quick Comment: YOJ Extends Agreement Scope with Geodis
Analyst: Seth Lizee, Recommendation: Speculative Buy, Price Target: $0.21/sh
19-Aug-2020: Euroz: The Emerging Opportunity: Yojee
Analyst: Seth Lizee, 19th August 2020, Speculative Buy, PT: $0.21/sh (up from $0.13/sh).
Investment case
YOJ is a logistics software company; its cloud based SaaS platform solves key issues increasingly demanded by the logistics industry across the entire supply chain and is unmatched by its competitors .
The global logistics industry is immense, globally logistics cost an estimated US$9 trillion annually. Global parcel movements are estimated to surpass 100 billion in 2020 and forecasted to reach +200 billion pa by 2025. Over the last 12 months YOJ has secured agreements with two top 10 global logistics providers and has indicated they’re in discussions with a further three. The YOJ investment case is predicated on driving material revenues through the rollout of its logistics platform with the likes of Geodis, Kuehne+Nagel and others in parallel to signing new SaaS agreements.
We maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation and increase our Price Target to $0.21/sh.
--- for the full report, click on the link above, or open ("View") the file attached below ---
23rd July 2020: Euroz: Quick Comment: Yojee Ltd (YOJ $0.11): Speculative Buy
29th July 2020: Euroz: Quick Comment: Yojee Ltd (YOJ $0.12): Speculative Buy
Euroz's call: SPECULATIVE BUY, PT: $0.13/sh. (under review)
June Quarter Update
Key Points
Key June Q Highlights:
Investment Thesis
We remain very pleased with the commercial successes achieved by YOJ during the Q, highlighting the K+N agreement signing and rapid rollout accomplished. We remain focused on the heightened and increasing transaction volume being achieved by YOJ; these being indicators of the platforms scalability and stability. If YOJ can continue to show volume growth, we can see the potential for significant revenues being generated. The YOJ investment case is predicated on driving material revenues through the rollout of its logistics platform with the likes of Geodis, Kuehne+Nagel and others in parallel to signing new SaaS agreements. We maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation.
--- click on links above for the full reports ---
[this was an excerpt from the 2nd - and latest - report, but is not the full report]
24-June-2020: Euroz: Quick Comment: Yojee Ltd (YOJ): YOJ Goes Live in Philippines
Euroz call on YOJ: Spec Buy, PT: $0.13/share. [not held by me]
June 2020: Euroz: Yojee Ltd: Spec Buy
Share Price: 0.049 A$/sh (0.051 on 12-June-2020)
Price Target: 0.13 A$/sh
Valuation (DCF): 0.12 A$/sh
WACC: 11.0%
Terminal Growth: 3.0%
Shares on issue: 923.6 m, diluted
Market Capitalisation (Fully diluted): 49.6 A$m
Enterprise Value: 44.3 A$m
Debt (Mar’20, inc AASB16): 0.3 A$m
Cash (Mar’20): 5.5 A$m
Euroz Analyst: Seth Lizee
Investment case
The logistics landscape is fast evolving with increasing pressure to build efficiencies and meet growing customer demands – YOJ continues to be well positioned with their end-to-end solution. We continue to see the blue sky opportunity present. Although revenues have not met our earlier expectations for a number of reasons (including COVID-19) we still see them emerging in time. We further acknowledge the solid wins YOJ has made in recent times – topped by the recent Kuehne + Nagel (K+N) agreement signed, K+N is a world leading logistics company. The YOJ investment case continues to be predicated on signing new commercial SaaS agreements, and top 10 global logistics provider Geodis driving material revenue in the medium term.
We maintain our Speculative Buy Recommendation and $0.13/sh. Price Target.
Key points:
--- click on link above for more ---
01-May-2020: Euroz: Client Note: Quick Comment (March Qtr Results): Yojee Ltd (YOJ): Speculative Buy
Analyst: Seth Lizee, Price Target: $0.13/sh (Under Review)
Mar’Q Results
Key Points
Investment Thesis
The Mar Q has highlighted the mixed impact of COVID-19 on the business, despite the pandemic YOJ have continued to add news customers and grow sales, although travel restrictions have slowed YOJs ability to roll out its cross border network solution in SE Asia for a major MNC client. However we see potential new opportunities emerging beyond COVID-19 as the logistics industry begin to re-asses their supply chains and possibly accelerate digitisation and technological adoption, all of this would benefit YOJ who is well placed with their end-to-end offering. The YOJ investment case continues to be predicated on signing new commercial SaaS agreements, and top 10 global logistics provider Geodis driving material revenue in the medium term.
Yojee Ltd (YOJ) [01-May-2020]
--- click on link at the top for more ---
YOJ closed at 2.6 cps today (15-May-2020).
10-Sep-2019: Euroz Securities: Yojee Ltd (YOJ $0.09) Speculative Buy - Initiation of Coverage - https://www.asx.com.au/documents/products/yoj-10sep19-initiation.pdf
Disclosure: I don't hold YOJ shares.
27-Mar-2020: Strong Funding Position and Cash Runway Maintained
The market liked this one!
YOJ up over 30% as the All Ords gives up early gains to drop into negative territory. [Unbelievably - after being up as high as 2.4 cps (+50%), YOJ finished the day flat - unchanged - at 1.6 cps - they can't take a trick!]
31-Oct-2019: Euroz Securities: Yojee Ltd (YOJ $0.074) Speculative Buy - Sep’Q Update - https://www.asx.com.au/documents/products/YOJ-quick-comment-31Oct19.pdf
Disclosure: I don't hold YOJ shares.
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