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My observations from the Sep 2022 4C.
I'm watching the next 4C with keen interest. If the growth trajectory doesn't resume and the cash burn doesn't reduce, I'm out. Market not impressed so far.
Disc: Held.
Missed this last week.
Yojee signs two year contract with Hawk Logistics a Refrigeration haulage company delivering out of NSW, Brisbane and South Australia.
A 2-year agreement has been signed with Hawk providing access to Yojee’s Platform and includes a minimum monthly spend. In addition, a variable fee is charged based upon the number goods movements. Hawk can opt out in line with Yojees standard terms.
Yojee-Signs-Agreement-with-Hawk-Logistics-in-Australia.PDF
https://www.hawklogistics.com.au
Disc hold IRL and SM
Yojee has really flown under my radar, but having spoken with the MD I must confess my interest is piqued.
At first glance, you have a cash burning business, being sustained via repeat capital raises, using terms like AI and Blockchain and generating a measly $1-2m in revenue -- and trading on market at (at best) 30x sales! It also came about via a reverse listing after a gold prospecting company decided on a pivot... It also seems to share a few things in common with GetSwift.
So, yeah, a few red flags.
On closer inspection, though, that seems like a fairly unfair characterisation.
The logistics market is highly fragmented, especially outside of the US, with a lot of separate entities responsible for delivering your package from producer to your door. It's a very complex chain, and the well known names (Wisetech, DHL, SAP etc) tend to operate within specific areas. Yojee focuses at the intersection of enterprise forwarding, last mile delivery and 3rd party tracking. Here they are the only player of scale and are used by 4 of the 10 largest 3rd party logistics provides (soon to be 5 by the sounds of it)
The company is very much focused on the SE Asian market -- an area responsible for 50% of the world's logistics. In terms of their tech, they plan to broaden more into an IoT (internet of things) offering, but outside of that want to remain focused on their existing niche. They have no ambition to move into the US, with Ed saying they have the potential to be a multi-billion company even if they just win in this region.
They seem to have spent a good deal of time on refining the offering, and the focus going forward will be ramping up sales and marketing (likely a growth in headcount of 4-6 people). Implementation for their offering has been reduced to weeks, where it was previously months.
Ed talked a bit about network effects, which I think could be significant. The more operators using the platform, the more valuable it is -- especially as there are marketplace features (eg i could add my two truck delivery company to the platform). I think having some big name partners also helps a lot.
A key value prop is that it allows users to invoice and get paid sooner, as well as streamlining operations and improving efficiencies.
They have a very small base of revenue, but are regularly posting 100%+ rates of growth YoY at each quarter. I expect cash burn to remain around $5m or so per annum, especially with an increased S&M spend, but at least they have a decent cash balance and they should be able to avoid another raise for another couple years (excluding any major spend or acquisition).
Like I said, 30x sales is waaay up there. Especially in this market. But the company is still at the very start of ramping up and these metrics can be deceptive when you're growing from a tiny base.
Honestly, with a $60m market cap, as I said in the chat, a takeover doesn't seem off the cards. As Ed said, this seemed to be hinted in the AFR recently. (not that you'd invest on that basis!!!)
I don't have shares, and as a matter of principle I don't buy within a few weeks either side of a Strawman meeting, but i'll add it to my watchlist. If they can sustain high rates of sales growth, win some big contracts with significant players, manage costs and cash burn well, then it really does the potential to be a much larger business in the years ahead.
Keen to hear what others think.
?Hub Expansion Strategy on Track
Highlights:
Yojee noted Q2 FY2022 Revenue of AU$531k - implying a ARR of AU$2.12m. The Dec quarter represents a YoY growth of 160% and a 58% increase on the prior quarter (Q1 FY22). 14 Hubs are now live, which is 14% of their planned 126 hubs. Transactional volume was down from 680,000 'planned deliveries' in Q1 to 366,139, which they attribute to "movement types and patterns" - this is something I'd like to investigate more.
Overall reasonable announcement, nothing to blow your socks off; growth is large yes, but coming off a small base, this growth will 'slow' as more hubs are implemented so will be interesting to see how the market reacts to this, as I believe this is factored into thir current price. Hub implementation is something I'll keep an eye on in the lead up to their annual.
Disc: Held.
Yojee signs another global top 10 logistic group:
Yojee Signs 4th Global Top 10 Logistics Group
HIGHLIGHTS
? Yojee signs CEVA Logistics in Singapore on a multiyear agreement
? The first logistics hub deployment in Singapore is expected to be live in August
? Supports the provision and usage of Yojee’s software and network capabilities nationwide
Yojee announced that it has signed agreements with CEVA Logistics Singapore Pte Ltd, to deliver its solutions, in Singapore. The agreements support the provision for, and usage of, Yojee's leading network capabilities for domestic logistics nationwide. Implementation of Yojee’s solutions is planned to commence in August. The agreements are for an initial term of 2 years. Yojee's charges are broadly in line with the fee structure presented in the Investor Presentation dated 8 July 2021. CEVA Logistics, a world leader in third-party logistics, provides and operates transportation and supply-chain solutions for large- or medium-size national and global companies. CEVA Logistics offers a broad range of services in both Contract Logistics and Freight Management thanks to its approximately 78,000 employees and 1,000 facilities in more than 160 countries. CEVA Logistics is part of the CMA CGM Group, a world leader in shipping.
The more logistics groups Yojee adds, the stronger their network effect becomes. I belive this is strengthened even furter given it is focused on the Asian region where road-rail-ship freight is more difficult to track and trace.
March 2021: Euroz Hartleys: Yojee (YOJ): Speculative Buy: Dec’Q Update
Analyst: Seth Lizee - Associate Research Analyst, +61 8 9488 1414
Target Price: $0.50/sh, Recommendation: Speculative Buy
Dec’Q Update
Investment case
YOJ recently provided an update on its December quarter. We remain pleased with the company’s progress on rollouts in addition to receiving its first expansion order from an existing client during the Q. Revenue and volumes growth (%QoQ) were broadly flat as a result of recent rollouts occurring in the final weeks of the Q, in addition to unprecedented weather events and COVID-19 lockdowns occurring in the Philippines which was the only live enterprise country during the Q. Notwithstanding, going forward we look towards significant transaction volume growth in coming quarters from recent and coming rollouts. In parallel, YOJ continues to provide commentary on a strong pipeline of additional opportunities to expand existing agreements (as has recently occurred last month) and sign potentially new ones all together. The business remains well funded for growth, boasting a solid balance sheet.
The Global logistics industry accounts for +US$9 trillion annually, parcel movements alone are forecasted to surpass 100 billion this year and double to 200 billion by 2025. Industry wide changes are creating new demands and issues driving rapid increases in digitisation. YOJs comprehensive cloud based logistics SaaS platform is well placed to solve these issues. YOJs recent agreements show growing demand for the platform, securing agreements with three major global logistics companies who have $100 billion in combined revenues. The YOJ investment case is predicated on the rollout of its logistics platform with Geodis, Kuehne+Nagel, and Maersk’s in parallel to signing new SaaS agreements, thereby growing revenue scale through rapidly increasing market share.
We Maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation and $0.50/sh. Price Target.
Key points
Yojee Ltd - Year End: 30 June
Click on the link above for the full report, or open the attachment below.