Episode 11: Audinate, Volpara, Dicker Data, locality Planning and listener mailbag

“It’s the mark of a charlatan to try and explain simple things in complex ways, and it’s the mark of a genius to explain complicated things in simple ways.”— Naval Ravikant I don’t think many of us would disagree with Naval’s sentiment. But if we’re honest with ourselves, most of us are still drawn to sophisticated-sounding speech. Big words, technical […]

I bought my first shares in November 1985, the 40th anniversary is here!!—here’s what I learnt since, sometimes the hard way! Through the various cycles, events and characters, the journey and outcomes have been an intriguing, rewarding and interesting way to spend time. Below, I have attempted to avoid, firstly, pointing out stocks you should have bought, as there are […]

Are shares still good value?

Charlie Munger once said “show me the incentive, and I’ll show you the outcome“.  A great example comes from 1860s, when the British contracted ship captains to transport convicts to our sunny shores. Back then, the survival rate of those poor souls was a miserable 40%. Human rights weren’t exactly a high priority, but most still felt that allowing 6 […]

Is it time to take profits?

Extraordinary returns come from extraordinary mis-pricings. And those only happen when most people hold a deeply flawed vision of the future. The trouble is, the dominant view never feels unreasonable at the time. It usually seems obvious — self-evident, even. That’s precisely why so many people, including the seasoned pros, buy into it. And let’s be honest: it takes a […]

In a 2014 interview, Lloyd Blankfein, then CEO of Goldman Sachs and part-time Bond villain lookalike, was asked a simple question: How far into the future can you see? Now, given Goldman’s reputation for spotting market trends before most, you’d expect a confident answer.  Instead, Blankfein deadpanned: “I don’t think I could see four inches into the future.” Not exactly […]

Is there more pain to come?