Episode 7: Envirosuite, ooh Media and Rocket Lab

Extraordinary returns come from extraordinary mis-pricings. And those only happen when most people hold a deeply flawed vision of the future. The trouble is, the dominant view never feels unreasonable at the time. It usually seems obvious — self-evident, even. That’s precisely why so many people, including the seasoned pros, buy into it. And let’s be honest: it takes a […]

In preparing for this week’s update, I was considering rehashing an older piece I’d written a few years back. Why not? All the big ideas in investing are timeless and as relevant today as when they were first conceived.  (More to the point, I was running desperately short on time and — as usual — was struggling to think of something original […]

Consisting of over 2100 individual companies, the Australian share market has a few interesting features. One of the first things a curious investor might notice is the significance of the major banks. There are only 21 businesses on the ASX classified (loosely) as banks, but the ‘Big 4’ — CBA, NAB, ANZ and Westpac — are the clear standouts. Combined, […]

With the latest half-yearly reporting season now over, it’s a good time to reflect on our investments. At least, that is, in a more considered way than is possible in the heat of the moment. The spray of numbers, often coming from multiple companies on the same day, can be extremely hard to digest. It’s like drinking from a fire […]

There’s no such thing as a free lunch…

Is there more pain to come?

We tend to judge a decision’s quality by its outcome rather than by the information available when it was made. It’s a bias professional poker player and author Annie Duke calls “resulting.” It’s an easy mistake to make, and a dangerous one. Especially in the game of investing where it’s not uncommon to see bad decisions rewarded, and good decisions punished. […]

Ian Cassel absolutely nails it with this tweet On the ASX alone there are over 2,000 individual stocks. There’s something like 10,000 across all US equity markets. It’s impossible to have a thorough understanding of every single one. The good news is, you don’t need to. In fact, you shouldn’t even try. Having a take on every company doesn’t make […]