Episode 9: Integrated Research, Xref and Mailbag

““We mostly just sit around reading, thinking and waiting.” — Stanley Druckenmiller Like all the best investing quotes, this one manages to cram a lot of wisdom into a single line. In some ways it feels obvious, but it’s also easy to overlook. Especially in an era where many seem to think success means having eight monitors hooked up to […]

With shares up over 300% this year alone, has this horse already bolted?

Ben Hunt, former hedge fund manager and creator of Epsilon Theory, once wrote that a bet is a tax on bullshit. It is a sharp and accurate reminder that opinions are free, narratives are endless and forecasts cost nothing to produce. Talk demands nothing. A bet, however, demands everything. It requires sacrifice. It forces you to risk something you value […]

Everyone loves a good stock chart. Up and to the right, all green candles and glory! But that is rarely how things play out in the real world, at least not over any meaningful time frame. What the latest research from Michael Mauboussin and Dan Callahan makes painfully clear is this: if you are aiming for outsized returns, you will […]

Why is it that, despite all the benefits of technology, we’re still working as much as ever to secure a decent life? I don’t have have any groundbreaking insights, but it’s fun to ponder. Plus, it’s somewhat relevant for anyone managing their own capital, particularly if you’re looking to account for any long-term, technology driven structural shifts. Here’s my take. […]

Kiwi breast imaging software specialist Volpara (ASX:VHT) has confirmed it is on track to meet its target for NZ$17.1 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) for the 2020 financial year. That compares with an ARR of NZ$6.6 million in the previous year, with the recent acquisition of MRS Systems expected to contribute around NZ$6.7 million to the total. At the […]

Is there more upside to come?

They say that in investing, being too early is the same as being wrong. There’s a lot of truth to that — especially when it comes to things like shorting — but I’m not convinced it applies to growth investing. At least, that is, when the potential upside is large enough. If, after buying a stock, it goes sideways for […]