Forum Topics NAN NAN FY25 AGM, Share Buy Back

Pinned straw:

Added a month ago

Discl: Held IRL 2.43%

NAN held their FY2025 AGM today. Only 2 things of note from the materials:

FY26 Guidance Unchanged but 1HFY26 Margins May Take a Temporary Hit

Doesn’t look to be a biggie, but good to have it flagged upfront.

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Share BuyBack Announced

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NAN is probably the first company that I hold that has an On-Market Share Buy Back Program and so this will be a good opportunity to have a detailed look as to how the buy back will actually benefit shareholders.

  • At $161m with $32m cash generated in FY2025, clear plans on CORIS commercialisation and probably no immediate plans to acquire anything given the focus on CORIS, the $20m for the buy back program, as an absolute amount, looks sensible
  • A simple back-of-envelope impact on the shares on issue doesn’t feel like this will make too much of a dent to reducing the volume of shares on issue, reducing supply and hence increasing EPS.


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I conceptually get how I should benefit, but as I do not receive any direct tangible payment from it, I do still struggle to fully internalise and appreciate the “benefit”.

Am thus, a bit lukewarm on the buy back other than the potential for it to support the share price if there is sustained selling pressure. It does feel like management is throwing money into “nothing”, but this is admittedly potentially a naive and ill-informed view ..

Appreciate if anyone has any views on buy backs and whether this is a good or meh thing ...

UncleWally
Added a month ago

I'm a bit ambivalent on this buyback too @jcmleng although not a large amount of money in the scheme of things I wonder if this is the best way to return funds to shareholders.

I'd be more positive about it, if it was done at a lower share price. Maybe a higher dividend would have been better.

The boys at Stocktake recently discussed Buybacks on their October 30th POD - so before this announcement was made and they made some interesting comments.

The general consensus seemed to be that if the a company valuation was high it wasn't likely to provide much, if any benefit to the shareholder and visa versa - maybe management think the share price is cheap, I don't know!

You can listen in at the 18 min mark.

https://open.spotify.com/episode/4bcAygFjOHt9Mljns1owho

I hold a small parcel of NAN IRL

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jcmleng
Added 4 weeks ago

Thanks @UncleWally , the points raised in the podcast made sense, particularly the comments that a buyback makes sense when the share price is "undervaluing the company relative to intrinsic value". I just posted a quick valuation for NAN to check on this.

With my simplistic valuation, and having re-read the Buy Back announcement - there was no clear mention of "undervalued share price" at all, the undervalued share price probably wasnt a major consideration.

All said, I still don't think this was a great move in terms of (1) making a dent on the SOI to raise EPS (2) boosting an undervalued share price.

But to be fair, with that much cash, ongoing cash generation, no debt, CORIS commercialisation needs are met, no imminent M&A, management thought it had to be seen to be doing something. Its a great problem to have, but a problem nevertheless!

I think I would have prefered a dividend or a capital return - thats tangible dollars back in my pocket ...

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UncleWally
Added 4 weeks ago

I agree with you @jcmleng

I think I would have prefered a larger dividend or maybe a special dividend given there may be more in the pipeline but like you said, Its a nice problem to have. Who knows where NAN will be in 5 years time, they might be gushing cash by then.

In the meantime I'll continue with my 2.7% IRL holding and we'll see if managements confidence is justified.

Thanks for your great reports @jcmleng I enjoy reading them.


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