Pinned straw:
Hi Rick,
I've invested in Kinatico IRL and in SM.
There's a recent meeting with the CEO in Strawman, but also I'd review a few recent presentations they've done over the last 12 months. I think this business is at an inflection point, with R&D/development expenses for their core product coming off in next few years and revenue growing (the CEO talks about this in a previous presentation) - to me this makes the bottom line a lot stronger from FY26 onwards and as a result, my view is you can ignore FY25 multiple and take a more optimistic view than the FY26 analyst view. I get a forward multiple more like 25 for FY26, based on this view and therefore something much more reasonably valued. I like the CEO, but I really like the Chief Marketing guy - absolutely across his brief and very cogent on the product opportunities. In many ways the management team is a bit overpowered for this size company given their background, but it confirms to me they are thinking about the business on a much broader scale than it is today. I'm seriously considering increasing my allocation here based on the fall today.
Rich