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#Founder meeting
Added 6 months ago

The recording for today's meeting is up, but here are some notes:

Botanix Pharmaceuticals, founded in 2016, spent a bunch of time and money looking for suitable applications of the Permetrex drug delivery technology, and relatively recently hit upon an treatment for primary axillary hyperhidrosis (excessive underarm sweating) -- a product called Sofdra that has just got FDA approval and for which there are 10 million estimated sufferers in the US alone.

For those affected, there aren't a lot of good options (existing options range from antiperspirants to invasive procedures like Botox and nerve surgery.)

But this product, which needs a script from a dermatologist, and for which should have minimal cost for (insured) patients, has the potential to be a bit of a game changer.

The company is now looking to gear up to meet expected demand (FDA approval of marketing materials, distribution setup, and launching a patient experience program etc) and expects first revenues later this calendar year.

Targeting early 2025 for sales force deployment. The company is hoping to bypass a lot of traditional pharmacy challenges with direct-to-patient distribution. And aiming for minimal out-of-pocket expenses for patients through insurance negotiations.

BOT is projecting market share of 30% for diagnosed patients and targeting undiagnosed patients through digital and telemedicine efforts.

Focus is on the US market due to high pharmaceutical spend. But exploring partnerships for other markets (e.g., Japan, Australia, Europe).

The team behind the company appears to have serious form, with people like Vince Ippolito (Executive Chairman) and Howie McKibbon (CEO) demonstrating successful track records in dermatology product launches and exits.

Execution on current plans while exploring additional product opportunities.

Potential for expanding Sofdra™'s use to other body parts.

When asked about the potential financials, Matt provided the following insights:

  • In the US, there are 10 million people with underarm hyperhidrosis.
  • 3.7 million have been diagnosed in the last 12 months.
  • A typical new product aims for a 30% market share of diagnosed patients within a few years.
  • Targeting 1% of the remaining 6.3 million undiagnosed or non-recently diagnosed patients through digital and telemedicine efforts.
  • Each patient using the product 12 times per year.
  • A target net revenue of $500 USD per patient per month


In his words, that's a "very big number" -- if my math's is right about US$7billion per year (of which some will be taken by contract manufacturers and other counterparties.)

Matt referenced the following notable exits during the interview and expressed confidence in Botanix's potential to achieve similar outcomes:

  • Anacor Pharmaceuticals (Vince Ippolito, the Executive Chairman of Botanix, was the lead commercial officer at Anacor) developed several products, and was acquired by Pfizer for $5.2 billion.
  • Medicis Pharmaceutical (Vince was also a senior commercial officer here) was sold for $2.4 billion.

 

Matt said the team would be disappointed if they didn't achieve a similar outcome.

Of course, there's a lot of execution risk still present, but it does seem like the company is positioned well.