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Company Report
Last edited 3 years ago
PerformanceCommunity EngagementCommunity Endorsement
ranked
#289
Performance (40m)
0.8% pa
Followed by
12
Straws
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#Bear Case
stale
Added 3 years ago

AMP on an asset fire sale mode:

  • $430 million on 27/4 for the domestic infrastructure and real estate business to Dexus
  • $699 million today for international infrastructure equity business
  • Approximately $20 million tin transaction costs post tax


Took profits today as this was never meant to be a long term hold. It was fun, but it almost seems like the business is selling its jewels. Ostensibly the capital will be returned to shareholders so it may be interesting again in the future.

#ASX Announcements
stale
Added 3 years ago

Divestment of Infrastructure Debt platform to Ares Management.

  • Cash consideration of $428 million
  • To be used to strengthen the capital position of AMP Group
  • Transaction expected to complete in Q1 2022
  • AMP's simplification and spinoff strategy on track.


A welcome bump of 6% in the share price today.

Disclosure: Held IRL and Strawman.

#ASX Announcements
stale
Added 3 years ago

Delisting from NZX

AMP has announced it will delist from the NZX to a single listing on the ASX. Monday 7 February 2022 being the first day it will trade soley on the ASX.

I see this as a potential for the share price to go lower - more stocks on the market and no doubt there will be NZ shareholders wanting to get rid of AMP shares. Either way, my investment thesis still intact.

Disclosure: Held.

#Bull Case
stale
Added 3 years ago

Has the worst already passed tomake this a smart punt?

My bull case:

  • Upcoming demerger: AMP Limited as a retail wealth manager in Australia and New Zealand, and PrivateMarketsCo as a global manager of infrastructure and real estate investments with a growing focus on international institutional clients.
  • Regal Funds Management going long on this stock.
  • Net debt is positive, and actually has revenues
  • Alexis George appointed as the "turnaround" CEO in August.


Why this is not a long term hold, but a short term punt stock:

  • A paltry divvy yield of under 1% for 2021 but nonetheless still paying out something. My strategy for this is not income but for the potential upside in share price instead.
  • Negative net change in cash for 2020
  • In the financials space MFG would be the better pick (actually has funds inflows and reputation-wise so much better).
  • It's AMP. Enough said.


Disclosure: pending order, hopefully a buyer today!