Straws are discrete research notes that relate to a particular aspect of the company. Grouped under #hashtags, they are ranked by votes.
A good Straw offers a clear and concise perspective on the company and its prospects.
Please visit the forums tab for general discussion.
Thought I would wait a few weeks after earnings season to publish a Straw on AR9. ArchTis is one of those companies that will be an overnight success that was many years in the making. I’ve attended a few earnings calls, the management team is strong and recently boosted by a very sensible sounding CFO.
They have a great suite of Information Security products, really decent revenue growth, strong cost management and cashflow has turn positive! When the quarterly 4C Cashflow report for a micro-cap turns to infinity because they aren’t burning cash anymore, that’s an exciting time to get on the next overnight success story.
https://www.archtis.com/archtis-asx-ar9-investor-relations/
Held IRL & SM... although for some reason my entire order didn’t get filled on SM.
Altocrypt device is a USB hardware device that allows secure access to data remotely. A problem that has previously been hard to solve and they have partnered with archTIS via PENTEN.
https://www.penten.com/solutions/secure-mobility/altocrypt-stik/
Using Kojensi, could this be the link needed to secure the entire data of the Aus defence?
Potential:120,000 Aus DoD staff. Consider expansion into MOD UK and US DoD.
Kojensi $65/ user / month
nc protect $1-$5/ user / month
(pending scale discounts)
A 1000 user base for Kojensi could yield $780,000 per year in ARR for licenses once a proof of concept has been Serviced. That is what is happening under the hood now.
NC Protect for the entire Aus DoD (120,000) could yield anything from 1.5m to 4.5m ARR for licences.
That's one niche in one territory and includes nothing within the DIB (Defence industrial base). Map that against the potential of this company around the world and within ministries of defence, DIB, other verticals (finance, accounting, law, critical infrastructure)
I don't want to come across as a kook. I think my valuation understanding was misinterpreted by myself.
The current MC stands at 29-31m on the daily volatility. I see 50m as a reasonable valuation given the underlying sticky contracts with govt and a $4m Proof of concept currently underway that aims to uplift the security posture of the Australian govt and defence to meet AUKUS stringent requirements for cyber security in order to trade btw UK and US. The ITARS, CMMC requirements are coming into play, it is inevitable.
This article outlines where and how archTIS assists:
https://www.archtis.com/microsoft-365-gcc-high-guide-for-dod-contractors/?utm_campaign=Blog%20Update&utm_content=266777770&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&hss_channel=tw-1040120963520581633
My new valuation is based on what the company's IP, Certification, relationships, goodwill, contracts, technology and any POCs that are spoken of in company announcements as well as a sprinkle of speculation but not as outerworldly as my previous $1 valuation. I'm getting the hang of this the more I learn.
Perpetual Beta ????
Product/geopolitical and need thesis:
This article outlines the challenge.
Will Regulatory Poison Pills Render AUKUS Dead on Arrival
https://thediplomat.com/2023/09/will-regulatory-poison-pills-render-aukus-dead-on-arrival/
This article outlines the solution.
Senators want a special government unit to help small businesses with cyberattacks
https://www.scmagazine.com/news/bipartisan-bill-would-create-special-government-unit-to-help-small-businesses-with-cyber-attacks
Archtis have a connection with KPMG, SAP, NETAPP, MICROSOFT, many of the Defence Industrial Base companies (leidos, BAE, Northrop Grumman) as well as branching into european demographic with bank of Finland and DHL.
The use case has been proven.
From my research, the only way small businesses can operate while protecting their data and sovereignty is through a govt funded marketplace. One that is destined for Australia's systems with archtis walking hand in hand through department of defence and govt who currently use their products and if you check austender, you will see many solutions outlining my thesis naming archtis as a provider supplier applying for the tender.
Dyor
SAP collaboration
https://www.archtis.com/sap-secures-sensitive-government-and-regulated-industry-data-with-kojensi/?utm_campaign=Blog%20Update&utm_content=231535253&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&hss_channel=tw-1040120963520581633
SAP cloud secure space
https://itbrief.com.au/story/sap-s-sovereign-cloud-capabilities-available-in-anz
The work is done behind the scenes before securing critical infrastructure and SLACIP become a prerequisite to securing sovereign information. Australia is ahead of the world in this space and although technology is constantly adapting and changing, as it stands, archtis have world leading technologies that protect data and are certified to the highest level of protection. Every deal they have secured in the last 18 months have been sole sourced.
https://www.homeaffairs.gov.au/reports-and-publications/submissions-and-discussion-papers/slacip-bill-2022
The quarterly is today and although it may not have any surprises, the uptrend is continuing with 10m of revenue locked in for this coming year already 23-24 less than a month into the new FY.
A nice contract win for Archtis.
The contract is to be delivered this financial year.
There are a couple of important aspects to this contract.
Obviously a nice win and they are clearly strong in AUS Defence. It's a bit of a stretch to include GST and the ARR is over 2 years - so the ARR kick is $1.56M - which is a really good boost.
I think the future of the company is with their NC Protect in the US. They have a partnership agreement with Microsoft for joint marketing and MS have introduced them to sales. That product now on a general purchase list for US Govt. No significant announcements for sales for a while though.
archTIS Continues to Expand Customer Base with Key Global Wins
Highlights
archTIS Delivers Strong 1H FY2021 Results
1H FY2021 Financial Performance and Operating Highlights