My thinking...
A lower iron ore price could potentially reduce BHP revenues from the MAC royalty… so... in order for BHP to try and maintain total revenue I expect renewed focus on increasing volumes. The results presentation, in August, says to expect growth to 2.4x volume - ‘in the future’ (this was before the latest drop in iron ore price). With higher volumes PLUS capacity payments I expect the iron or price to have less impact on DRR. I would expect production to be increased at a faster pace - where possible.
Given a probable lack of royalty based acquisition opportunities (until later - when all turns to mush), DRR intends to pay the royalty (less their party time fees) to shareholders as an increasing dividend. The dividend is already large - comparatively.
Change of director's interest:
Jennifer Seabrook purchased $100k ish of DRR shares Mid-September. She doubled her direct holding (direct holding is now about ½ of her total holding).
Hold IRL