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#36
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#1H FY26 Results
Added a month ago

Sales and profit grew, dividend increased... but gross margin compression (Microsoft incentive changes) explains the weak share price reaction.

Key Metrics (1H FY26 vs 1H FY25)

  • Gross Sales: $1.54bn (+9%)
  • Revenue: $423m (+8%)
  • Gross Profit: $144m (+0.3%) → essentially flat
  • NPAT: $23.2m (+3.7%)
  • EPS: 14.95c (+3.6%)
  • Interim Dividend: 13.5c (+3%)
  • Margin on Gross Sales: 9.3% (down from 10.2%)
  • Net Debt: Nil (cash $125m)


What Drove the Result?

Software Solutions

  • Gross sales +9%
  • Gross profit -4.6%
  • Margin 3.5% (down from 4.0%)
  • Impact from Microsoft incentive program changes (as expected by management)

Infrastructure Solutions

  • Gross sales +18%
  • Management profit +105%
  • Driven by Windows 11 refresh, AI-enabled devices, data centre demand

Services

  • Managed Services & Consulting improving
  • Project Services & recruitment softer


Management Framing

  • Result “in line with expectations”
  • Microsoft impact concentrated in 1H
  • Expect Software GP to rebound in 2H
  • Full-year Software GP expected to be consistent with FY25
  • Earnings typically 2H weighted (May–June peak)


My Thesis Check

The core story (device refresh → AI/cloud/security → managed services annuity) is intact.

But:

  • Profit growth came from cost discipline + Infrastructure leverage.
  • Gross profit quality weakened.
  • Microsoft concentration risk has now moved from theoretical to observable.


What I’m Watching (Next 6 Months)

  1. Does Software GP actually rebound in 2H?
  2. Does total margin recover back toward ~10%?
  3. Does recurring mix move meaningfully above ~70%?


If yes → thesis intact.

If no → premium valuation (27–30x PE) becomes harder to justify.