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#Resources Rising Stars Point
Added a month ago

Just picking up on a point @SudMav made in his comments from the Resources Rising Stars event in https://strawman.com/forums/topic/4503#post-42943 as it relates directly to SXE and reposting in the SXE folder:

  • The demand for grid integrated power or renewable energy infrastructure is likely to increase over the coming years for mining operations.

That is good validation that SXE's staying in Mining and focusing on renewable energy infrastructure is absolutely the right thing to do/be focused on!

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Valuation of $3.20
Added a month ago

Initial valuation for SXE ranging from $1.53 to $4.32.

Baseline FY25 PE is 15.3x

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#SXE 1HFY26 Results
Added a month ago

Discl: Held IRL 1.27%

Wrapping up my SXE deep dive with the 1HFY26 results. Apart from the WestConnex arbitration debacle, I really like:

1. How the rollup acquisition strategy makes sound sense in terms of carefully expanding SXE's adjacent capability around its core electrical expertise, has come together nicely and showing up in revenue and in providing SXE with a multi-disciplinary capability that seems to be resonating with its customers.

2. The impact of the structural tailwinds of (1) Data Centres (2) Infrastructure (3) Renewables (4) Electrification clearly showing up in revenue and the growth outlook ahead - there are many ways to win and SXE is well positioned in each.

3. The spreading out of the order book in terms of geography, sector and discipline, reducing dependence of a single instance of these dimensions.

REVENUE

  • Translating into revenue growth
  • 1HFY26 revenue is 12.2% down from pcp as activity from the Collie Battery and Western SYD airport projects winding down
  • Force Fire was consolidated in full and continues to perform strongly

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Infrastructure - down 33.8% as project ends were offset by significant ongoing revenue contribution from Shoalhaven, Shellharbour Hospital and Data Centre projects including NEXTDC SYD03 Artarmon

Commercial - up 44.2% from Force Fire industrial warehousing and commercial building projects, ongoing Coles, Woolies works by SJ Electric, Heyday’s SYD/ACT projects including the Atlassian Building

Resources - marginally down, ongoing SCEE works for BHP, RTO, Sino Iron and SEME Solutions minesite and accomodation village security upgrades

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GROSS PROFIT

$65.9m, a record half-year result, up 30.3% on pcp

Underlying EBITDA and EBIT rose30.8% and 25.5% from pcp, excluding the impact of the WestConnex debacle

$46.1m was written off from WestConnex, resulting in Net loss of ($12.8m) vs NPAT of $16.2m pcp

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Gross margin percentage 18.9%, significant jump from pcp 12.7% and 2HFY25 13.2%

Driven by (1) successful outcome of the CBESS project (2) more favourable mix of Heyday commercial building projects (3) contribution from Force Fire

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CASH

  • $58.8m, down from $88.6m end 2HFY25
  • Includes settlement of WestConnex, dividend payout $13.3m, unwinding of $12.2m CBESS advance payments, deferred consideration payments $4.7m for Force Fire and MDE acquisitions
  • Debt free

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ORDER BOOK

  • Consistent steady rise since FY22, up 6% from pcp
  • Infrastructure is the largest component at 65%
  • 85% of the Order Book is now on the East Coast
  • Over $200m of the orderbook is in the adjacent non-electrical disciplines
  • Ability to provide multi-disciplinary offerings is gaining traction with clients as evidenced by recent rewards, growing proportion of tendering pipeline composed of multi-disciplinary offerings

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OUTLOOK

  • Increased underlying FY26 EBITDA guidance to at least $72m, up 31% on FY25 EBITDA
  • Growth expectations underpinned by strong exposure to structural tailwinds of the growth in (1) Data Centre construction (2) Infrastructure investment (3) renewable energy projects and (4) electrification
  • Data Centre revenues expect to be similar to FY25 of $120m, with significant growth in this sector in FY27, tendering on NEW DC projects with over $1b of work for SCEE over construction period
  • As Western Sydney Airport Stand Alone Facilities project is now underway, expecting long-term pipeline of works with further airport expansion and development of the surrounding Aerotropolis region, particularly industrial warehousing construction for Force Fire and Heyday
  • High confidence of future awards on the SYD Metro West station developments, following award of St Mary’s Station Project
  • Positioning around major hospital developments in NSW and ACE in the medium term
  • Tendering for multiple battery and wind farm developments across the country and expect to announce further battery projects this year
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#SXE Deep Dive - Part 3
Added a month ago

Discl: Held IRL 1.21%

WestConnect Arbitration Fail

Following @GazD and @Colflan's comments 4 months ago, had a closer look at the WestConnex Arbitration failure as the fallout from a trend perspective in FY26 was pretty stark.

Having been directly involved in an acrimonious software-related arbitration before, the mindset going into arbitration prep was very simply akin to going to war. You prep to go into combat firing your best shots and you prep to defend what will be the enemy’s best shots. 

I thus find the commentary that SXE “expected from the conduct of CDSJV ... that the time-bar provisions would not be strictly enforced” as one of the basis for pursuing the claim, completely diabolical. No wonder they got their butts kicked and more. Not succeeding in the extra claim is one thing, paying back what had already been received is quite another - the price of being greedy, really.

But based on the CFO’s commentary in the last SM meeting, this should be a one-off event. Lessons have been learnt, policies and procedures have since been put into place, so it should be all good from here. 

My buddy Chat keeps banging on about project risk being one of the key risks for SXE. I am not overly concerned with this given the sheer volume of projects that SXE has been, and is currently, involved in. Shit happens, but hopefully the new processes implemented since this debacle will mitigate the risk of future legal stuff ups like this. 

Apart from the blip in the price on the day the Arbitration decision was announced, the SXE price just kept going as if nothing had happened - a good sign that the market saw this as a one-off, with all the promise of SXE growth still very much intact

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#SXE Deep Dive - Part 2, Contra
Added a month ago

Discl: Held IRL 1.21%

I wanted to get a better understanding of SXE’s contracts as part of my due diligence process. I started by asking my buddy Chat to summarise all contract announcements since 1 Jan 2024, by date, then customer, type of contract, type of work, summary of scope. It was a frustrating process as Chat got too cute for my liking, went all over the show, chewing up valuable usage credits etc. 

I gave up and worked through the contract award announcements myself. It was worth the time as it gave me a really good feel of the nature of the contracts and how it has evolved in the last 2 years.

SXE Contracts CY2024 to 7 Apr 2026.pdf

I then asked Chat the following:

ChatGPT prompt: This is a spreadsheet which summarises the contracts won by ASX: SXE since 1 Jan 2024 to today. I was not impressed by the to-and-fro yesterday, so I went and did it myself. Can you analyse the contracts and point out any trends around: (1) repeat customers (2) repeat contracts (3) mix of contracts (4) type of contracts (5) any other emerging trends (6) any other observations that should be taken into account in the investment thesis.

The outputs below were a pretty good summary, with supporting examples, of what I was sensing when I worked through the detail of each contract announcement. Chat’s one-liner summaries, highlighted in bold italics, were quite insightful, I thought.

Overall Takeaway

My overall takeaway is the growth, customer, sectors and evolving nature of the contracts is very much aligned to SXE management strategy, acquisition strategy and commentary. This gives me good confidence on the reliability and quality of the revenue and hence, the broader trajectory of the company, which has increased my conviction in SXE.

1. Repeat Customers (VERY strong signal)

Clear Tier-1 repeat clients

Data centres

  •  Multiplex (NEXTDC SYD03) → 6+ awards
  •  J Hutchinson → multiple packages across same site
  •  Taylor Construction → follow-on packages 

This is not “winning projects” — it’s being embedded in a multi-year build program.

Mining

  • BHP → multiple contracts in a single announcement (3 separate scopes) 
  • Rio Tinto (via Hamersley Iron) → ongoing work 
  • Newmont → 30-year relationship, 4th extension 
  • CITIC Pacific Mining → MSA since 2015, renewed again 

This is decades-long client stickiness, not cyclical project exposure

Infrastructure / Utilities

  • Synergy → multiple contracts (BESS + switchyard) 
  • Energy Queensland → multi-year extension 
  • ACCIONA Construction → repeat manufacturing work 
  • WeBuild → multiple project involvement 

SXE’s real moat is not capability — it’s repeat access to Tier-1 clients across multiple scopes and years. This is extremely valuable and underappreciated.

2. Repeat Contracts (Even more important than repeat customers)

This is where things get interesting.

Data centre example (critical)

SYD03: 

  • 4th award (Mar 2024) 
  • 5th award (Apr 2024) 
  • 6th award (Dec 2024) 

That’s a multi-phase, multi-year revenue stream from ONE asset

Western Sydney DC cluster

  • Hutchinson + Taylor: 
  • 2 packages → 6 packages → 10 packages 

This is effectively“framework-style contracting without calling it a framework”

Mining example

BHP: 

  • Charging infrastructure 
  • Transformer install 
  • Comms + solar hybrid 

Same client, different scopes, same asset base

SXE is not bidding job-by-job — it is landing on-site and expanding scope over time. That dramatically reduces (1) bid costs (2) risk (3) volatility.

3. Mix of Contracts (Clear strategic shift)

Let’s simplify your dataset:

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SXE is actively upgrading its revenue mix toward (1) higher margin (2) longer duration (3) more defensible segments.

4. Type of Contracts (THIS is the biggest change)

You now have 4 distinct contract types:

1. EPC / D&C (traditional) - Still core, but no longer dominant

  • Heyday electrical 
  • SCEE Electrical installs 

2. Manufacturing (Trivantage) - Higher margin, less labour risk

  • Switchboards 
  • Control systems 
  • Panels 

3. Maintenance / MSA (CRITICAL) - Recurring revenue disguised inside a contractor

  • Energy Queensland (4-year) 
  • Newmont (5-year) 
  • CITIC (2-year) 

4. Multi-service bundled contracts - This is the platform model in action

Examples:

  •  Airport (Heyday + MDE) 
  • Data centres (Heyday + Trivantage + Force Fire) 

SXE is transitioning from project contractor → multi-service infrastructure platform. That should justify multiple expansion over time.

5. Emerging Trends (This is where alpha is)

Trend 1 — Data centre dominance - This is structural demand (AI / cloud)

  • Appears in almost every announcement 
  • Increasing number of packages per site 

Trend 2 — Electrification everywhere - SXE is a picks-and-shovels electrification play

Examples:

  • BESS (Collie) 
  • EV charging (BHP rail) 
  • Grid infrastructure (Energy QLD) 

Trend 3 — Cross-subsidiary integration - This is the roll-up strategy actually working in the field

Examples:

  • Heyday + MDE (airport) 
  • Heyday + Trivantage (metro) 
  • Heyday + Force Fire (DC) 

Trend 4 — Increasing contract size + bundling - Scaling is happening

  • Early: many small contracts 
  • Later: $90m–$160m bundles 

Trend 5 — Recurring revenue quietly rising - This is the key to re-rating

  • MSAs 
  • maintenance 
  • fire compliance 

6. Other Critical Observations

1. Revenue visibility is much stronger than it looks - Order book quality is higher than reported headline numbers suggest

  • repeat packages 
  • MSAs 
  • multi-phase projects 

2. Customer concentration is a feature, not a bug - This is actually high-quality concentration

  • Normally risky — but here:
  •  BHP / Rio / NEXTDC are long-duration spenders
  •  SXE is embedded in their infrastructure 

3. Labour risk is being mitigated

  • Shift toward (1) manufacturing (2) maintenance (3) bundled services 
  • Reduces exposure to wage inflation and project blowouts 

4. Force Fire is more important than it looks

  • Appears small now but (1) high margin (2) recurring compliance work (3) attaches to every building
  • This could become a hidden earnings driver

What This Means for the Investment Thesis

The market likely still sees “mid-tier electrical contractor”

But your dataset shows “integrated electrical infrastructure platform with recurring revenue and data centre leverage”

The 3 Most Important Conclusions

1. Data centres are not optional — they are core

  • Repeat packages 
  • Deepening relationships 
  • Multi-year visibility 
  • This is the primary growth engine

2. Recurring revenue is emerging (quietly) - This is what drives valuation re-rating

  • MSAs 
  • maintenance 
  • fire services 

3. The roll-up strategy is working operationally - This is the key execution proof point

  • Cross-selling visible 
  • Multi-entity delivery 
  • Increasing contract scope per client 

Bottom Line

Your dataset shows that Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited is not just winning contracts — it is embedding itself into long-duration infrastructure ecosystems and expanding scope over time

That is exactly how (1) margins expand (2) revenue becomes predictable (3) multiples re-rate 

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#SXE Deep Dive - Part 1
Last edited a month ago

Discl: Held IRL 1.24%

Here is Part 1 of my deep dive into SXE. I am doing my usual process in reverse. I opened the SXE position based on very good insights from @Bear77 + the good recent SM interview with SXE's CFO as the price was at attractive levels.

Part 1 is a reasonably detailed Business Overview, Investment Case and Risks, with input from my buddy, Chat, but tidied up to remove the "opinion"-type input. My conviction on the SXE business has risen following this exercise, and I topped up last week as a result.

Will get on to the usual financial trend charts, then a Valuation thereafter.

A. WHAT DOES SXE DO

SXE is essentially an electrical engineering contractor + specialist systems integrator. SXE is a mid-tier electrical infrastructure contractor positioned between:

  • small subcontractors
  • mega contractors (Downer / Ventia)

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SXE’s strategy is to buy specialist electrical contractors and roll them into a national platform.

B. KEY SXE CAPABILITIES

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They also work on energy transition projects such as solar farms, wind farms and electrification of infrastructure. 

C. SXE’S STRATEGY

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D. STRUCTURE OF THE GROUP

SCEE Group operates as a multi-brand electrical engineering and infrastructure services group headquartered in Perth. It was founded in 1978 and listed in 2007. 

The group now has ~1,900 employees and operates across resources, infrastructure and commercial markets. 

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E. OPERATING BUSINESSES - ACQUISITIONS

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1. SXE acquisitions tend to follow three themes:

  • Capability adjacency (electrical → communications → fire)
  • Shift toward recurring revenue (maintenance contracts)
  • Exposure to structural capex cycles:
  • data centres
  • electrification
  • Infrastructure

2. SXE’s deals follow a very consistent pattern. Typical target profile:

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This makes them easy to integrate and scale.

3. SXE is executing what private equity would call a “capability roll-up.” 

  • Instead of buying companies in the same niche, it buys companies that add adjacent electrical capabilities.
  • SXE is building what can best be described as an “electrical infrastructure platform.” The strategy is to control multiple layers of electrical systems within a project.
  • Each acquisition adds a new capability to the platform
  • SXE is gradually filling out the entire electrical infrastructure value chain.
  • Once all pieces exist, SXE can bundle multiple services into a single project. That dramatically increases revenue per project, margins, client stickiness.
  • Roll-ups work best in fragmented industries. Electrical contracting is extremely fragmented. In Australia there are thousands of small contractors, many owner-operator businesses, limited national platforms, 
  • SXE is trying to become the national consolidator.
  • This strategy is not random — it follows a repeatable pattern that many successful infrastructure consolidators use.

The stack SXE is building:

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Think of a modern infrastructure project (data centre, hospital, mine, airport).

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SXE has been acquiring businesses to fill each layer of this stack.

This model is powerful as:

  • Larger project share: Example: a hyperscale data centre. Electrical scope could include (1) power distribution (2) switchboards (3) cabling (4) fire protection (5) communications. If SXE provides 3–4 of those, revenue per project increases significantly.
  • Higher margins - Vertical integration reduces reliance on subcontractors.
  • Instead of: SXE → subcontractor → client
  • You get: SXE → client
  • Capturing more margin
  • Recurring revenue - Once systems are installed, they require inspection, testing, upgrades, compliance maintenance. This creates long-term service contracts.

4. The Next Acquisitions SXE Is Most Likely to Make

If the strategy continues, the next acquisitions will likely fill remaining capability gaps.

High-Voltage Power Specialists - This would expand into substations, grid infrastructure, renewable connections.This is a massive electrification market. Competitors here include: GenusPlus Group, UGL Limited.This would expand SXE’s exposure to renewable energy projects and grid infrastructure.

Data Centre Engineering Specialists - SXE already does electrical work for data centres.But it could buy firms that specialise in: hyperscale power systems, cooling integration and data centre commissioning. This would deepen the AI infrastructure thesis.

Data centre cooling infrastructure - Cooling is one of the largest costs in data centres. Potential capabilities mechanical services, cooling systems, HVAC for data centres. This would deepen SXE’s data centre exposure.

Renewable Energy Electrical Contractors - Australia is building solar farms, wind farms, battery storage. Electrical contractors specialising in HV connections, inverter systems, battery systems would fit perfectly.

Smart Building / Automation Firm - Buildings increasingly require IoT systems, smart energy management, automation. Buying companies that specialise in building management systems and smart infrastructure would expand SXE into digital buildings.

Maintenance Platform Businesses - Maintenance businesses generate: recurring revenue, stable margins, predictable cash flow. This is why SXE bought Force Fire. Expect more deals in electrical compliance testing, facilities maintenance, infrastructure servicing.

Industrial automation - Capabilities include PLC programming, industrial control systems, robotics integration. This is particularly relevant for mining and manufacturing projects.

Electrical maintenance specialists - Companies focused purely on long-term service contracts, facilities maintenance, compliance testing. This improves recurring revenue stability.

5. Why the Roll-Up Could Work - Several conditions make this strategy viable.

Founder-led small businesses dominate the industry. Many electrical contractors are owned by founders nearing retirement, family businesses. These are natural acquisition targets.

Customers prefer larger contractors - Large clients prefer vendors that can deliver national coverage, multiple services, safety compliance. This benefits consolidators.

SXE has proven integration ability - The group has successfully integrated Datatel, Heyday,Trivantage, MDE, Force Fire. That builds credibility with sellers.

If executed successfully, SXE becomes something closer to an electrical infrastructure services platform. Comparable companies globally include Quanta Services, EMCOR Group. These companies trade at much higher valuation multiples than traditional contractors.

6. What Could Break the Strategy

There are three main risks.

  • Integration risk - Acquisitions must retain their management teams and culture.
  • Overpaying for acquisitions - If competition for targets rises, returns could fall.
  • Construction downturn - Electrical contractors remain exposed to construction cycles.

7. Key Metrics To Confirm Roll-Up is Working

  • The best indicator is revenue per employee. As integration improves: project scope increases, margins improve, revenue per worker rises. If you see: revenue growth, stable headcount, rising margins…it means the platform model is working.
  • Acquisition cadence: Expect one acquisition every 1–2 years.
  • Revenue per client: This should rise as SXE bundles more services.
  • Recurring revenue: Maintenance and compliance services should grow.

8. Summary

What SXE is quietly building is not just an electrical contractor. It is building a national electrical infrastructure platform that can deliver multiple systems inside large projects. If management executes well, the company could transition from:

  • Contractor valuation: 10–12× earnings, to something closer to:
  • Infrastructure services platform: 15–18× earnings

That multiple expansion alone could drive significant upside.

F. MARKET SEGMENTS

SXE operates across three main markets:

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SXE management often highlights three macro tailwinds:

  • Electrification
  • Infrastructure spending
  • Data centre buildout

G. MAIN CUSTOMERS

These are usually large project owners or tier-1 builders.

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Example: SXE subsidiaries have delivered electrical works for hyperscale data centres and major infrastructure projects. 

H. MAIN COMPETITORS

SXE competes in the electrical contracting / engineering services sector.

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Competition typically occurs at the project tender level.

GenusPlus

The competitor investors often underestimate is GenusPlus.

  • GenusPlus operates in almost identical markets - electrical infrastructure, power transmission, communications networks.
  • But it has strong exposure to grid infrastructure, which is benefiting from renewable energy connections, transmission upgrades.
  • The strategic difference:

5f7984e83a993a62c8a29a98df8c38e06c2dad.png

Both companies are essentially playing the electrification megatrend but from different angles:

  • SXE → electrical systems inside projects
  • GenusPlus → power grid infrastructure

Both could benefit from the massive electrification capex cycle.

I. TOTAL ADDRESSABLE MARKET

SXE sits inside the Australian electrical engineering & infrastructure services market.

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SXE revenue today is ~$700–900M, implying ~1–1.5% share of the addressable market. This means market share expansion + acquisitions can drive growth.

J. SXE’s MOAT

Engineering contractors rarely have strong moats, but SXE has several competitive advantages:

1. Skilled labour pool

  • Electrical infrastructure requires licensed electricians and engineers.
  • Australia has a chronic shortage.
  • This creates labour supply moats.
  • Will not have difficulty recruiting labour - tier 1 company focusing on sparkies, pay top rates, best safety record, best work conditions etc
  • Barriers to entry for foreign labour
  • All of SXE’s labour is governed by a regulated EBA, accept that there will be wage gains, passed on to customer

2. Long client relationships

  • Large infrastructure clients prefer contractors with: (1) safety track record (2) scale (3) delivery history
  • Switching risk is high.

3. Multi-discipline Capability

  • SXE can deliver: (1) electrical (2) communications (3) fire (4) maintenance
  • This enables package contracts.

4. Data centre expertise

  • Through Heyday and MDE, SXE has strong exposure to: hyperscale data centres and AI infrastructure - this is a high-growth niche.
  • Many investors say “SXE benefits from data centres”. But the real reason this matters is often misunderstood.
  • Data centre revenue is growing fast - ~$20M/year historically, ~$50M FY24 and ~$120M FY25. pipeline >$500M of data centre projects being tendered. 
  • Electrical is the biggest cost component, in data centre construction. Electrical work includes tansformers, switchgear, UPS systems, power distribution, cabling - SXE specialises exactly in this area.

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SXE is well positioned as the group has multiple touchpoints on the same data centre project. Meaning SXE can capture several contracts in the same build

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5. Acquisition playbook

Management has a proven bolt-on M&A strategy.

K. TOP 10 SHAREHOLDERS

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L. INVESTMENT CASE

BULL CASE 

1. Structural Tailwinds - Electrification, Energy transition, AI data centres, Hyperscale cloud, edge computing, sovereign data requirements. These are producing a huge global data centre build cycle. SXE management says the sector is now “in an exponential growth phase.” 

2. SXE sits at the intersection of three major investment themes:

  • Electrification: grid upgrades, renewables, transport electrification
  • Infrastructure Spending - transport, defence, utilities
  • Digital Infrastructure - Hyperscale data centres, AI compute infrastructure

3. Better project mix - SXE used to be heavily exposed to mining construction, which has thinner margins. Now the mix is shifting toward infrastructure, data centres, commercial buildings.These typically have higher margins and repeat clients.

4. Vertical integration - Through acquisitions SXE now does (1) electrical installation (2) communications (3) switchboard manufacturing (4) fire systems (5) maintenance. On a large project SXE can capture multiple scopes instead of subcontracting them.

5. Growing maintenance revenue - Maintenance contracts are (1) recurring (2) higher margin and (3) lower risk. Eg Force Fire already has ~30% recurring revenue

6. Fragmented industry - consolidation opportunities

7. Recurring revenue growth - maintenance, fire compliance etc

8. Operating leverage - margin expansion as scale grows

9. Strong balance sheet - acquisitions funded from cash

10. Founder Ownership - the founder of SXE, Gianfranco Tomasi, still owns ~16% of the company, making him the largest shareholder. Total insider ownership is ~23–24% of the company. Founder ownership creates three structural advantages.

  • Long-term capital allocation - founder-led companies often focus on ROIC, avoid overly dilutive capital raises, pursue disciplined acquisitions. SXE has demonstrated this through: (1) Datatel (2016) (2) Heyday (2017) (3) Trivantage Group (2020) (4) MDE Group (2024) (5) Force Fire (2025). All were bolt-ons rather than large transformational deals.
  • Cultural continuity - electrical contracting businesses rely heavily on reputation, client trust, delivery history. Founder involvement helps maintain culture and project discipline. This is particularly important in construction contracting, where poor governance can destroy margins.
  • Alignment with shareholders - Founder ownership means the founder's wealth moves directly with the share price. That tends to encourage conservative balance sheet management, disciplined bidding, long-term strategy.

11. SXE is evolving from and electrical contractor to a diversified electrical infrastructure platform

  • The stock will likely be driven by three variables:
  • success of its acquisition strategy
  • exposure to data centre construction
  • ability to expand margins via recurring services.


BEAR CASE

  • Project risk - fixed-price contracts can lose money
  • Cyclical exposure - mining capex cycles
  • Labour inflation
  • Low barriers to entry - many regional contractors

M. RISKS

1. The biggest risk is project contracting risk. Electrical contractors often operate on fixed-price contracts. If a project runs into labour shortages, material cost inflation, design changes, delays, the contractor absorbs the cost.

SXE has the ability to pass on material cost inflation

2. Construction cycle - Commercial construction can slow sharply. Example: post-COVID commercial office construction fell.

3. Labour constraints

  • The business is labour intensive, requiring skilled electricians. Australia has severe shortages.
  • Labour shortage is not an issue for SXE as it is a Tier-1 electrical company and pays top dollar - it has no difficulty attracting and retaining electricians

4. M&A Execution Risk - SXE’s strategy relies on M&A.Bad acquisitions could destroy returns.

5. SXE Could Become a Takeover Target

SXE sits in a very interesting strategic position in Australian infrastructure services. It is large enough to be meaningful, small enough to be acquired.

The most logical acquirers are larger infrastructure contractors. Examples include: Ventia Services Group, Downer EDI, UGL Limited. These companies often buy specialist subcontractors to expand capability.

SXE is attractive as it has

  • National electrical capability - SXE provides: electrical, communications, fire systems, maintenance across resources, infrastructure and commercial sectors. Tat makes it a strategic capability platform.
  • Data centre exposure - Electrical contractors with data centre expertise are becoming valuable due to hyperscale cloud expansion, AI infrastructure buildouts. Large contractors lacking this expertise might buy a specialist.
  • Fragmented industry - Australia’s electrical contracting industry is highly fragmented, which makes consolidation attractive. SXE is already acting as a mini-consolidator.


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#Updated SXE Chart
Added 2 months ago

Discl: Held 1.19% IRL

Took a 2nd bite of SXE today at 2.81, averaging down from my initial opening position at 2.91.

  • $2.77 looks to be shaping up as a short-term base - this is also the 50% retracement level from the previous up move
  • If this breaks, $2.59 would be my next entry point - this level has seen some action going back to Nov 2025, it is also, very coincidentally, the 61.8% retracement level
  • Next down is $2.43, which should provide stronger support from (1) previous support going back to Dec 2025 (2) uptrend line which goes back to June 2025 and (3) it will be close to the long term 200 Simple Moving Average line, usually a good support area

Am liking the improving risk reward position!

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#Opening Thesis, Chart Review
Added 2 months ago

Discl: Held IRL 0.61%

I also opened a starter position on SXE today, pre-deep dive research, to take advantage of the drop in the price in the last 2 days. The technical picture is not as ideal as GNG, but there has been a decent 50% retracement since the 19 Feb 2026 high and I really liked the story after listening to the latest SXE SM interview.

Key points, which form my start point thesis:

  1. Data Centre picks and shovel’s play - this is no longer an if demand, but a here-and-now demand
  2. Severe shortage of sparkies - there just isn’t enough sparkies to fulfill all the demand out there today
  3. Supply of sparkies is an industry issue, but not a SXE issue, as they are seen as the top tier employer in the sparky world
  4. Minimal exposure to the mining sector
  5. Nice balance sheet, lots of cash, but to be fair, the CFO says some degree of cash funding is required to fund operations.
  6. Nice growth share price since Jan 2025, ascending straight 30 deg line to the right - much like DBI, GNG, XRF!

Will progressively move this to a 2.5% position over time. 

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#HY26 results
Last edited 3 months ago

I should have paid more attention to Southern Cross Electrical after our chat with the CFO last year (shares more than doubled since then).

Good to see that they finally settled that nasty Westconnex legal mess. It dragged them into a statutory loss but if you look past the drama the actual operations are doing pretty damn good. EBITDA jumped >30% and they bumped their fy guidance to at least $72m.

Also worth pointing out that they’re still sitting on a monster pile of cash ($58m in cash with zero debt), and they’re paying out a 2.5c fully franked interim div in April.

Results preso is here

I've reached out to them to line up a follow up meeting with the CFO

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#ASX Announcements
Added 5 months ago

Unfortunately this is a major hit to short term revenue, profit etc but it’s a one off and a buying opportunity in my book… added today


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Valuation of $2.25
stale
Added 9 months ago

Scroll down - latest update is at the bottom.

11-Apr-2024: I reckon that Southern Cross Electrical Engineering (SCEE, SXE.asx) will likely head on up to around $1.40 or higher based on the strong momentum their SP is demonstrating currently.

Mining Services has been an "on-the-nose" sector (unloved) for a couple of years now but that seems to be changing - have a look at this:

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That's from the 13th March investor presentation by Macmahon Holdings (MAH) at the recent Euroz Hartleys Conference on Rottnest Island (just off the coast from Perth in WA) (see here: MAH-Investor-Presentation---Euroz-Hartleys-Rottnest-Conference.PDF) where they are highlighting the large variance in valuations attributed by the market to both capital light mining and engineering services companies and to capital intensive mining and engineering services companies, and as well as within those two groups, as they say below the table, the materially higher multiples that the capital light group on the left are trading on compared to the capital intensive group on the right.

On the right, there are mining contractors who do the actual mining (contract miners) like MAH and NWH (NRW Holdings), there are mining equipment suppliers like Austin Engineering (ANG) and Emeco (EHL), and drilling contractors like Perenti (PRN, formerly Ausdrill) and Mitchell Services (MSV). NRW also have an engineering and construction arm, but that's not important for this discussion.

On the left side of that slide we have various capital light contractors, many of whom are essentially labour hire companies who specialise in particular areas, so SXE provide electricians and electrical services, Mader (MAD) provide fitters and mechanics for heavy duty earthmoving equipment like Cat, Komatsu and Liebherr gear in earthmoving and mining, Service Stream (SSM) mostly provide trained telecommunications technicians or people from other professional disciplines, and Monadelphous provide labour hire (my brother has worked for them) and also provide engineering and construction services to the mining, infrastructure, energy and other sectors. There are also engineering and construction firms that mostly derive income from engineering, design and project management (GNG, SRG) and facilities management firms that provide services to keep various facilities and assets operational and maintained like Ventia (VNT) and Downer (DOW). GNG's (GR Engineering's) Upstream PS division also provide similar services to the energy sector. The common thing about this group is that they are all companies that are heavy on people and light on equipment, so "capital light".

By contrast, the group on the right side are reliant on a lot of heavy equipment such as earthmoving gear, mining equipment and drilling rigs.

However, the thing to note is the range of PEs from the more fully priced companies towards the top of the left side list down to the low PE companies on the bottom left and pretty much all of the companies on the right list (the Capital Intensive companies) who are all on single digit PEs.

What they (Macmahon) are clearly suggesting is that the mining and engineering services companies classed as Capital Intensive are CHEAP at this point in time.

And I think they were right.

And the ones on the bottom of the left side were cheap also, particularly GNG, SRG, DOW and SXE, although I have issues with Downer based mostly on their management so won't be holding DOW shares any time soon.

Have a look at the recent share price movement with MAH and SXE:

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The charts go up to today's closing price, and I've also highlighted the share prices they were at on 13-Mar-2024, being the day that MAH presented that slide at the Rottnest Island Conference. Could be coincidence, but they've risen nicely in the 4 weeks since then. Not everyone listed on that slide has done that, but those two have.

There were other factors at play clearly, some of which I'll discuss below.

I have held both MAH and SXE previously, both here and in real money portfolios, and I don't currently hold either of them, except here where I added a small SXE position today - which I will probably add to.

Another thing worth noting is that SXE were added to the Aussie All Ords Index on March 18th; MAH were already in it and did not get added to or removed from any index in March.

Latest Announcement from SXE: Data-Centre-and-Resources-awards-over-$70m.PDF [20-March-2024]

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Source: (25) SCEE Electrical: Posts | LinkedIn

Latest presentation from SXE: SCEE-(SXE)-Investor-Roadshow-Presentation-March-2024.PDF [18-March-2024]

Both of those (the announcement and the roadshow presentation) would have contributed to SXE's positive SP movement in recent weeks.

Website: https://www.scee.com.au/

SCEE: Leaders in Electrical, Instrumentation, Communications and Maintenance Services

About SXE: https://www.scee.com.au/who-we-are/#about

Investor Page: https://www.scee.com.au/investors/investor-centre/

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Past Project examples:

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SCEE Group | RUDATA SYD053 DATA CENTRE


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SCEE Group | BROOKFIELD PLACE SYDNEY


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SCEE Group | WESTERN SYDNEY AIRPORT


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SCEE Group | NATIONAL SERVICE AND MAINTENANCE CONTRACT


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SCEE Group | ATLASSIAN HQ


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SCEE Group | BRISBANE METRO FLASH CHARGING FACILITIES


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SCEE Group | EDL AGNEW GOLD MINE RENEWABLE HYBRID POWER STATION


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SCEE Group | WESTCONNEX M4 EAST PROJECT


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SCEE Group | KEMERTON LITHIUM PROCESSING PLANT


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SCEE Group | GUDAI DARRI MINE [Rio Tinto]


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SCEE Group | CHEVRON WHEATSTONE LNG


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SCEE Group | RAAF BASE TINDAL


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SCEE Group | WESTMEAD HOSPITAL CASB


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SCEE Group | NORTHLINK STAGE II


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SCEE Group | PITT ST METRO


Yeah, hopefully you get the idea. They've been around for a while. They've done a lot in that time. They're a decent company that appears to be getting an overdue positive re-rating by the market currently. And most people have probably never heard of them.


24-Nov-2024: Update:

Marked as stale. Reviewed. They're doing better than I expected. Raising price target to $1.96. Should report well in Feb, might go higher on new contract win announcements between now and then.

I like the way they have diversified away from mining services. That's a real positive if we have a "down" period in 2025 on the back of China weakness flowing through to lower commodity prices feeding into a depressed Australian mining sector.

SXE still have mining sector exposure, but not nearly as much as they did 5 years ago, and that's good, in my opinion. I'm not sure that the market fully understands the evolution of this business and the excellent execution that their management have delivered over the past couple of years, especially the past year.

They've had a positive rerating recently, but I think they can run further.


24-Aug-2025: Update:

This one was marked as stale again - I'm back in SXE here on SM - having bought back in after digesting their results, which I'll share my thoughts on below. I'm not in SXE in real life however due to all of my investable capital being tied up in other (hopefully better) companies, but SXE have reported very well and I think they should get a positive re-rating on the back of their report and outlook - they do not look expensive; But they do look like dependable wealth winners for their investors.

This is another one that I would hold in my SMSF if I had more capital to invest. Actually I wouldn't because my SMSF is currently limited to ASX300 companies and SXE is in the All Ords but not the ASX300 yet - give them a few more years and I reckon they will be - I would instead hold them in my other portfolio outisde my super that holds companies like LYL and GNG (and previously EGL, DUR & SRG), buy that's full of LYL, GNG and GOR right now.

Firstly - SCEE's (SXE's) share price trends well, both up and down, currently in a decent uptrend during this calendar year:

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But they're not at the top of that rising channel right now - interestingly they rose +3.1% (+6 cents) on Tuesday (19th) leading into their results release on Wednesday August 20th, then dropped -1.5 cps on the day, another -11 cents on Thursday (-5.56%) another cent on Friday to finish the week down -4.1% (-8 cents) @ $1.86.

I believe they've been sold down on a slightly lower current order book (-4.9% vs pcp) and a slightly lower gross margin and EBIT margins (with a flat NPAT margin) and lower growth guidance for the current FY than for FY25 - still good profit growth, just not the outstanding growth that we got in FY25.

Two points on that: (1) These companies keep adding to their order books as the year progresses, so there's scope for guidance upgrades, which are always a lot nicer than guidance downgrades, and (2) Thorney (TIGA/TOP) is their second largest shareholder (SCEE's founder Frank Tomasi is #1) and Alex Waislitz at Thorney is a fairly unpredictable character and could be selling down - which would certainly be on brand for him - he usually loads up on companies that are going backwards and either reduces exposure or sells out of companies that are poised for good growth or who are continuing to execute well.

And the results last Wednesday were good:

Full year results announcement (6 pages)

Investor presentation - FY25 results (32 pages)

Annual Report to shareholders (94 pages)

Appendix 4E (2 pages)

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It's going to be hard to maintain that sort of momentum, and we know that SXE management are conservative, preferring to underpromise and overdeliver, especially their CFO, Chris Douglass who we have had on here with Andrew not too long ago; Chris was also previously SCEE's Interim Managing Director and CEO, currently their CFO, so it's notable that despite some minor margin compression at the Gross Margin and EBIT/EBITDA levels, and a flat NPAT margin of 4% (same as FY24), as well as an order book that is -4.9% lower than it was a year ago, they're still giving guidance for further decent profit (EBITDA) growth this FY:

"The group is anticipating further growth in FY26 with EBITDA in the range of $65m-68m, growing 18 to 24% on FY25 EBITDA. "

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So what's to like?

A heap actually.

Firstly there's their inside ownership a.k.a. "skin in the game".

Next, there's their industry positioning - electrical contractors - but no longer just to the mining and energy sectors - now a major player in infrstructure including data centres, hospitals, transport infrastructure, shopping centres, it's a long list.

There's also the fact that they have zero debt, and a nice pile of cash relative to their low market cap:

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Next we have a very strong Balance Sheet, growing Earnings that are supporting increasing Dividends (returns to shareholders), and competent and conservative manegement that are aware of the dangers of being too reliant on one or two sectors, so have been busy diversifying into other sectors (from almost entirely mining and energy a few years back), mostly via smart and strategic acquisitions where they never seem to overpay, and they have an excellent track record of gaining immediate benefits from those acquisitions - it's smart growth via M&A rather than growth for the sake of growth - they are building a bigger, better and more resilient company that will be able to withstand downturns in different industries or sectors.

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I'll stop there, as there are 32 pages in the Presso in addition to the 6 page announcement, plus another 94 pages in their Annual Report (also released on Wednesday, link below), so hopefully I've given the main broad outline of why I think they're an investable company and currently one of my 20 best investment ideas - just outside my top 14 that I actually hold in real money portfolios - I've been an SXE shareholder IRL before and done well out of them, and I'm sure I will be again. Great company.

Sources: Full year results announcement (6 pages)

Investor presentation - FY25 results (32 pages)

Annual Report to shareholders (94 pages)

Appendix 4E (2 pages)

...with some additions from me (mostly in blue, orange and green).

And I've got some SXE back in my SM portfolio again now - not a ticker code best suited for dyslexics - but otherwise not much there to complain about.

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Disclosure: Holding (here).

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#Force Fire (FFH) Acquisition
stale
Last edited one year ago

31-March-2025: Seems to be the day for announcing acquisitions - both SXE and EGL today.

SCEE (SXE): Acquisition-of-Force-Fire-Holdings.PDF

Also: Investor Presentation - Acquisition of Force Fire Holdings.PDF

Last week in his meeting with us, SCEE's CFO Chris Douglass said they are definitely acquisitive and looking to expand their capabilities through further acquisitions. He wasn't fibbing. Obviously they were all set to announce today's acquisition, but Chris couldn't give us any details of that last week (due to ASX continuous disclosure obligations) but he gave us plenty of strong hints.

Acquisition of Force Fire Holdings: Highlights:

  • SCEE to acquire Force Fire Holdings, a leading New South Wales and Queensland based provider of fire safety solutions to the commercial and industrial sectors
  • Initial upfront consideration of $36.3m and a total consideration of up to $53.5m for delivering EBIT growth targets in FY26 and FY27
  • Fire sector is a natural adjacency to SCEE’s current capabilities
  • Further growth in maintenance and recurring style works which account for circa 30% of Force Fire’s revenue
  • Transaction to be funded through SCEE’s existing cash reserves
  • Forecasting EBIT contribution of at least $10m for FY26 and beyond 

Again, like EGL's acquisition of Advanced Boilers and Combustion (also announced today), this acquisition of FFH by SCEE (SXE) is to be paid using their own cash, so no dilution through additional shares being issued or any debt involved. Chris made it clear to us last week that as long as he's their CFO, they would always be in a net cash position. He does not like debt.

In SXE's case they had $100m+ of net cash at December 31, however this acquisition will only use $36.3m of that, with up to $17.2m in deferred consideration to be paid if FFH deliver on EBIT growth targets in the following two financial years.

Chris made it clear last week that SXE run each business unit as a standalone business and they like to keep existing management in place and incentivised to continue to grow that business even after it becomes part of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering (SXE). The terms of this acquisition are certainly consistent with that.

It is also once again a complimentary bolt-on for SXE, expanding further on their capabilities through another adjacent area that also involves electricians, their core business focus.

Remember that Chris said that they look at around 200 opportunities each year and only do a deal on about one every two years, on average, although I did get the idea from Chris that the frequency might increase in the near term.

It certainly shows the power of saying "No" most of the time. When they have actually said Yes and done a deal in prior years, those deals have all been good ones that have enabled SCEE (SXE) to grow at a good clip and provide increasingly good TSRs for their shareholders. This one looks like another one in the same vein.

EPS accretive (of course): The transaction is forecast to result in at least 18% EPS accretion on a FY25 pro forma basis. The impact to SCEE is anticipated to be broadly neutral in FY25 as Force Fire’s contribution in FY25 will be offset by the transaction costs. Their contribution in FY26 is forecast to be at least $10m EBIT.


Disc: Holding both here and IRL.


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Looks good. And the market likes it - on a day in which most companies are being sold down, EGL has been up as high as 26.5 cps this morning, and SXE has been up to $1.66/share, both are currently lower than that now, but both are still well up for the day.

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#CFO Interview
Added one year ago

I quite enjoyed the chat today with Chris Douglas, CFO at Southern Cross Electrical Engineering.

I must admit, going in I wasnt that interested -- a people business that serves a variety of cyclical industries, and which has used acquisitions to fuel growth..? Not my typical cup of tea. But Chris made some really good points, and it's clear that per share metrics have been steadily improving over a long period of time.

Anyway, a few notes while it is still fresh:

  • The most important quality SXE can deliver to customers is reliability. Cost, is a secondary factor for their clients, who need SXE to come in after huge investments have been made, and for which any delays could be extremely costsly
  • Clients include big names like Rio, BHP, Woolies, Coles, Multiplex, etc. with very long standing relationships
  • Most of the 2000+ staff are full-time employees on Enterprise Bargaining Agreements (EBAs), well-paid, and looked after. EBAs are negotiated regularly and they seem to charge on a cost+ basis.
  • They don’t struggle to find or keep staff — being a reliable employer gives them a big edge, especially with the nationwide shortage of sparkies.
  • Labour and material costs have gone up 20–40% post-COVID, but SXE can pass these on because their contracts are priced just before they start.
  • About $200m of revenue is recurring — includes long-term maintenance, rollouts for supermarkets, ongoing work for miners, and framework agreements.
  • Data centers now make up about $100m in annual revenue — competitive market but growing strongly.
  • Other tailwinds include hospital and airport projects, renewables, batteries, and general electrification needs.
  • There’s also a growing focus on critical infrastructure and redundancy (e.g., substations), which could drive more work.
  • The company has grown by acquiring quality businesses in adjacent areas (comms, security, manufacturing) and keeping their management teams.
  • They're careful and selective — only acquire every few years, but have $50m cash available (outside of working capital requirements) and up to $200m firepower if needed.
  • Balance sheet is very strong — ~$95m net cash and no debt.
  • They maintain a cash buffer for stability and flexibility, but also because they are eyeing off more acquisitions.
  • Dividend has grown steadily and won’t be cut unless absolutely necessary.
  • Customer concentration is worth considering -- about half of revenue comes from a handful of big players. BUT they are very established, low risk customers.
  • Australia’s electrical standards and licensing rules create a natural barrier to overseas competition.
  • Long-term shortage of electricians actually plays in their favour, especially since they’re a top-tier employer.
  • Final point from Chris: electricity use is only going up, which means more work for electricians — and that’s great for SXE.


Based on FY guidance, the business is on a 5.5x EV/EBITDA (I use that multiple as the large cash balance and no debt is worth accounting for, and the company has provided FY EBITDA guidance) and offer a 4.7% yield, fully franked (6.9% grossed up). Doesnt strike me as that demanding. Actually, it seems quite cheap *if* SCEE can sustain even modest growth.

Of course, it's worth remembering that services business can experience a sudden and significant drop in work, and with a lot of expensive sparkies on the payroll, that can take a knife to profits. Yes, they are diversified in terms of industry exposure and geography, but it's something to be mindful of.

I'm sure I missed a bunch of stuff, but you can watch the full interview on the meetings page.

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#Financials
stale
Last edited one year ago

Southern Cross Electrical Engineering announced half year results today.

  • Record half year revenue $397.4m, up 55.5% on PCP


  • Record half year EBITDA of $27.1m up 58.5%, record half year EBIT of $23.2m up 73.7% and record half year NPAT of $16.2m up 67.8% on PCP


  • Fully franked 2.5 cps interim dividend declared, up 150% on prior interim dividend


  • Reiterating FY25 EBITDA guidance of at least $53m with expectations of further growth beyond


Looks good to me. What surprised me the most was cash of $114.8m, no debt, against market cap of circa $400m.

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#More work
stale
Added one year ago

More Good news


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##KABOOM!
stale
Added 2 years ago

Three key matters stand out for me as to WHY this announcement qualifies as ‘material’ & potential catalysts for the recent price increases..

1.     SCEE has been awarded ‘balance of plant’ contract

2.      Whilst the Collie project will be largely complete in 2025, there is clearly more projects to come over the NEXT 5 years.

3.     Strong tie up with Synergy, WA’s largest energy supplier and closely related to the WA government and their ambitious decarbonisation plans.

It should be noted that this (the Collie project) is the 3rd project by Synergy with the previous two (known as KBESS1 & KBESS2) going to Power Electronics who bill themselves the #1 world leader in manufacture of solar inverters etc. Apparently a company which started in Spain but is now hugely USA based.  So, big feather in the SXE cap to unseat such a large contender. BTW, the Collie project is 10 times the size of the other two projects.

The WA government is investing over $3bn in new wind farms & battery storage systems with the intention of fully closing two coal-based mines – Collie (Oct 2027 retirement date) and Muja C & D (retirement dates to be April 2025 & Oct 2029 respectively). These retirement dates would suggest at least another large battery storage project. Both these coal mines are operated by Synergy.

Conclusion: Good link between WA government – Synergy & SXE = proven expertise to handle big projects which other states might note!

So, expertise on batteries to store renewable energy sources, data centres and an already existing stream of recurring income = KABOOM!

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#FY22 AGM & Outlook
stale
Added 4 years ago

SXE delivered its AGM report today [31/10/22] and it's largely a regurgitation of the entirety of the presentation as delivered for the FY22 results on 31st of August 2022.

 The only adjustments to the presentations between the dates referred to above are to acknowledge the winning of the Atlassian project of $35+m plus and the Brisbane Metro EV charging project of $10+m

 They added one new slide which might indicate a growing thread to make 7th pillar to the diversity of this business – that of ‘Decarbonisation’ and they are chasing business in the areas of battery, solar and wind projects together with green buildings (Atlassian project win) and electric vehicle charging systems (Brisbane Metro EV infrastructure win). Additionally in this space they are in a perfect position to offer decarbonisation solutions to their resource clients.   

 They have reaffirmed FY23 outlook of EBITDA in the range of $36m to $38m which I have extrapolated through to an FY23 EPS of 6.9c (v 6.1c for FY21) and a ff dividend of 5.5c

 Certainly, worth a consideration @ a SP of 67.5c as the ff dividend will be generate a grossed-up return of 11.6%

 My only concern is their order book which is expected to potentially flatten as they finish a number of WA resource projects in FY23. But they are resourceful and on slide 18 they did state “Atlassian HQ building contract announced in September with further awards anticipated soon

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#Market Update
stale
Added 4 years ago

SCEE today announced that it expects a record half of revenue in H21 FY22 anticipated and furthermore updated their FY22 full-year forecast to revenues of circa $550m, EBITDA of over $34M.

WA border opening up and minimum Covid downtime losses are where management provided the most colour.

I like the inside ownership, conservative management, and easy-to-understand nature of this business (the electronic "picks and shoveles" of the mining/infrastructure sectors).

I hold inside my SMSF so the Fully Franked yield (~10% trailing) is great for super long term wealth creation IMO.


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Valuation of $0.830
stale
Added 4 years ago

FY22 eps now likely at 6c with 7.5% growth for 5 years 3% terminal and 12% discount = 83c

MS has moved its IV up from 91c to 96c in last 2 weeks.

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#1HFY22 Results
stale
Added 4 years ago

SCEE is an electrical contractor diversified across 3 sectors - resources, commercial and infrastructure. Its growth strategy is to deepen its presence in these sectors with an emphasis on targeting maintenance & recurring earnings.

 Its recent (Dec 2020) successful acquisition of Trivantage has substantially increased exposure to service & maintenance style work which gives it a growing stream of continuously steady income. All of the above, plus its focus on opportunities in the global decarbonisation arena, will drive future growth.

 It’s a well run company which has transparency in its reporting and no mumbo jumbo, voodoo accounting jargon deigned to ‘smokescreen reality’.

 It’s not going to be a growth star, more a steady Eddie. 1HFY22 results showed good growth  on the top (+86%) and bottom (+48%) lines. And 2H promises even better results. Based on 1H results and the companies reconfirmed outlook, my expectations are that FY22 will see eps around 5.7c with a dividend paid of 4.5 to 5c ff (a gross yield of 12.5% on a SP of 57c). Not too shabby when compared to a boring CBA deposit savings account paying diddly squat.       

 Of course, risk and reward are always associated and here SXE is well situated. It has $49m in cash and no debt. Plus, it has a current order book of $550m which is a full years revenue and this is growing. Assuming the resources sector across the board does not fall out of bed and given its growing bank of predictable maintenance style income, the risks are minimal.   

 Disclosure: I hold in RL for the grossed up dividends which I think/hope will be consistent going forward.

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#H1 FY2021 Results
stale
Last edited 5 years ago

24-Feb-2021:  Half Year Results Announcement   plus   Investor Presentation - Half Year Results   and   Appendix 4D and Interim Financial Report

I hold SCEE (ASX:SXE) shares.  This was a poor H1 report, and they were sold down -3.6% today to 53.5 cps, after being down as low as 49 cps (-11.7%) earlier in the day at the height of the pessimism.  The saving grace was that they have guided for a MUCH stronger second half.  If they achieve that guidance, I would expect a strong positive re-rate.  I guess we'll see in August.  Meanwhile, there are a number of larger contract wins that they could announce between now and then that get start that ball rolling.

Highlights

  • Revenue of $135.4m down 27% on prior 6 months impacted by later than anticipated award and execution of major resources projects
  • EBITDA of $9.7m down 9%, EBIT of $7.3m down 9% and NPAT of $4.5m down 15% on prior 6 months
  • Coronavirus continues to have impacts on productivity
  • Acquisition of Trivantage Group completed in period
  • Expecting significantly expanded H2 with works carried over from H1 and Trivantage contribution
  • Targeting full year revenues of $420m
  • Balance sheet remains strong with net cash of $53.3m and no debt
  • Record order book of $500m

Outlook

  • Order Book
    • The Group continues to win work across its core markets. Significant awards during the half year included the Rio Tinto Gudai-Darri project ($65m) and circa $40m of commercial and datacentre projects in Sydney and Canberra.
    • The Group now has a record order book of $500m, including a $60m contribution from the acquisition of Trivantage, with secured works well balanced across SCEE’s three sectors.
    • There are currently over $700m of submitted tenders with clients pending decision and strong visibility of the Group’s opportunity pipeline.
  • Markets
    • Resources
      • Resources activity has rebounded since the low levels of FY20. The pipeline is expected to continue to grow as commodity prices remain high. Significant opportunities are emerging in iron ore, lithium, and renewables developments alongside resources projects.
      • Current ongoing works at the Kemerton Lithium Plant, Rio Tinto Gudai-Darri and Rio Tinto Gove projects will be strong revenue contributors in the second half.
      • We continue to perform minor works projects at various Rio Tinto and BHP sites and at Sino Iron and Boddington Gold.
    • Commercial
      • The Commercial sector remains the largest component of the order book. Wynyard Place and the Ribbon Project are expected to be the largest revenue generators in the sector in the second half of the year.
      • The medium-term outlook for the sector remains strong as developments commence around new infrastructure hubs.
    • Infrastructure
      • Infrastructure will be a less significant contributor in FY21 as the WestConnex, RAAF Tindal and Westmead Hospital projects are largely completed. However, peak activity in the sector is still to come with significant investment sanctioned and electrical work generally later in cycle.
      • Works on the Pitt Street Metro project will ramp up in FY22 and we are bidding further opportunities on Sydney Metro and continue to target other hospital, transport and defence opportunities.
  • Full year expectations
    • A significantly expanded second half is expected as work carried over from H1 is delivered and the Trivantage contribution is added to the Group. Full year revenues of $420m are targeted.

Strategy

SCEE primarily sees itself as an electrical and associated services contractor diversified across the resources, commercial and infrastructure sectors.

Our growth strategy falls in two parts:

  • To continue to deepen our presence and broaden our geographic diversity in those sectors, noting the strong outlooks for resources and infrastructure; and
  • To grow our services, maintenance and recurring earnings offerings to complement our construction capabilities.

We will achieve this through both organic initiatives and by continuing to actively pursue acquisition opportunities.

CEO Comment

Commenting on the results, SCEE’s CEO Graeme Dunn said “the first half of the year has seen us significantly expand the Group’s capabilities and geographical presence through the acquisition of the Trivantage Group. The combination of this acquisition and a record order book means we are confident of delivering a much stronger second half result. Going forward, with a resurgent resources sector and strong infrastructure pipeline, we are well placed to execute our growth strategy.”

--- end of excerpt --- [I hold SXE shares.] --- click on the links at the top for more ---

The chart below is part of the Macromonitor series on Transport Infrastructure Construction, and it is updated each year; this one was updated in January 2021 (last month).  In their presentation (link above) SCEE (SXE) mention that there is an infrastructure construction activity "peak" coming.  What I have noticed is there is always an activity peak in these charts, and it is always about 2 to 3 years ahead of wherever we are today, and there is always a sharp drop off in activity after that (as can be seen on the chart below).  In my experience, every time these Macromonitor charts are updated (which is annually) that peak has moved back another year, which suggests that the drop off is simply because we lack visibility of projects that far into the future; the projects are coming, we just can't see them yet.  That's why the peak does not appear closer on this year's chart than it did on last year's chart, or the year before, or the year before.  It is always 2 to 3 years out into the future, and it may stay that far out for another 5 or 10 years.  That's my experience anyway.  For what it's worth.

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#Trivantage Acquisition
stale
Last edited 6 years ago

18-Nov-2020:  Strategic Acquisition   plus   Investor Presentation - Acquisition of Trivantage

Highlights

SCEE to acquire Trivantage for an enterprise value of up to $53.5m*:

  • Trivantage is a specialised electrical services group with over 50 years operational experience of providing complex electrical solutions across Australia
  • Trivantage is primarily a services oriented business characterised by a strong degree of recurring and maintenance work
  • Acquisition is a milestone in SCEE’s strategy to enhance its service and maintenance capabilities and grow into adjacent and complementary sectors and new geographies
  • Trivantage is budgeted to achieve FY21 revenue of circa $130m and normalised EBIT of $10.8m**, delivering enhanced scale and double digit EPS accretion for FY21F for SCEE on a pro forma basis*** 
  • Following the acquisition, the combined SCEE group is expected to generate revenue of circa $500m on a pro forma FY21F basis
  • Anticipate strong operational synergies and considerable cross-selling opportunities
  • Acquisition consideration structured to ensure ongoing alignment and acquisition success. Initial consideration is payable via $25.0m in cash on completion, and a further $10.0m cash and $5.5m in SCEE shares payable after achievement and confirmation of Trivantage FY21 targets. Further cash components will be payable subject to achieving performance hurdles in FY22 and FY23
  • SCEE to maintain a strong balance sheet with flexibility to pursue further growth opportunities
  • Trivantage management to remain in business
  • Paul Chisholm (significant shareholder and Chairman of Trivantage) to be invited to join SCEE Board

Overview

Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited (“SCEE”, ASX:SXE) today announced that it has executed a Share Purchase Agreement to acquire 100% of Trivantage Holdings Pty Ltd (“Trivantage”) from the current shareholders of Trivantage for an enterprise value of up to $53.5m on a debt free basis. Completion is expected to occur in mid-December 2020.

With over 50 years of operational experience, Trivantage is a leading provider of specialised electrical services across a range of sectors. Trivantage is characterised by a large degree of recurring service and maintenance work with a relatively low risk contracting profile. Headquartered in Melbourne, Trivantage has approximately 400 employees Australia-wide with offices in Victoria, Western Australia, Queensland, New South Wales, South Australia and Tasmania.

Notes:

  1. (*) Refer Appendix for detailed transaction terms, including nature and timing of acquisition consideration
  2. (**) On a full year basis and excludes potential synergies, transaction and integration costs
  3. (***) Before synergies, transaction costs, integration costs and amortisation of customer related intangibles

--- click on the first link at the top for the full announcement including the appendix referred to in Note 1 above --- 

--- The second link (at the top) is to a presentation that SXE have released today concerning this acquisition ---

[I hold SXE shares.  I like this acquisition.  Double digit earnings accretive in FY21.  Even more recurring revenue for SCEE (SXE) - there's plenty to like about this.]

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#Substantial Shareholders
stale
Last edited 6 years ago

On Tuesday- 16th April 2019 - Thorney Investment Group Australia (TIGA, ASX: TOP) increased their shareholding in SXE from 12.83% to 14.15%.  Westoz Funds Management (WIC) still hold 5.4%, and Colonial First State still hold 8%.  The founder of the company, Frank Tomasi also still holds 20% of the shares on issue.  Between TIGA, WIC, Colonial & Tomasi, that's 47.55% of the shares taken care of, leaving the remaining 52.45% as the free float (i.e. not held by substantial holders).

Disclosure:  While not exactly a substantial holder, I do own shares in Southern Cross Electrical Engineering.  SRG & SXE look remarkably cheap among their peer group - I hold them both.

Update (16-Oct-2020):  The latest substantial shareholder numbers in SXE are:

  1. With 18.9%, Frank Tomasi
  2. With 18.53%, TIGA/Thorney Investment Group Australia/ASX:TOP
  3. With 8.5%, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.
  4. With 6.12%, Perennial Value Management Limited
  5. With 5.4%, Westoz Funds Management Pty Ltd

Those 5 holders together now own 57.45% of Southern Cross Electrical Engineering (SCEE, ASX: SXE), so the free float (available shares less substantial shareholders) has now reduced from 52.45% (see above) to 42.55%. 

Over the same 18 month period, SXE's SP (share price) has reduced from around 55c to now being around 45c, so the market capitalisation (market cap) is now around 18% lower as well.

[I still hold SXE shares.  I see significant upside from here, and it shouldn't take longer than a year or two for a serious positive market re-rate of SXE, IMO.  Management are doing an excellent job.  They're just not in a favoured sector at this point, so there is no positivity around the company.  Unloved and unappreciated.  My sort of company really.]

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Valuation of $0.800
stale
Added 6 years ago
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#Industry/competitors
stale
Added 6 years ago

11-June-2020:  Decmil Subcontract Update

This highlights the pitfalls of being a subcontractor when the company you have been subcontracted by are rather sub-par (as Decmil - DCG - clearly are).  I note this work was performed a couple of years ago, and that Southern Cross Electrical Engineering (SCEE, ASX: SXE) have a business model that has evolved somewhat from then.  I believe SXE are a better company now - with better risk management.  That's why I hold SXE shares.  I also note that SXE have said, "SCEE remains committed to pursuing its substantive claims and is confident as to its entitlement. SCEE does not believe that this matter will have a material impact on the financial performance of the company for the year ending 30 June 2020 or any subsequent financial years.”

In other words, the eventual outcome of this to SCEE (SXE) is not going to be particularly material.  It was a pretty small contract, and the money owed to them by DCG (according to SXE) is not a particularly large sum in the overall scheme of things.

Decmil's announcement (09-June-2020):  DCG: Adjudication Update

Disclosure:  I hold SXE shares, but do NOT hold DCG shares.

I note that the S&P Index rebalance announcement today mentioned that both SXE and DCG are going to be removed from the All Ords Index on June 22nd (in 10 days' time).

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#New Contracts
stale
Added 6 years ago

05-May-2020:  Contract Awards and Coronavirus Update

Sounds like business as usual mostly for SXE and that they are well positioned to capitalise on opportunities regarding increased infrastructure spending.  Over $50m in net cash (no debt).  Disclosure:  I hold SXE shares.

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#New Contracts
stale
Added 6 years ago

19-Dec-2019:  Contract Awards

Highlights

  • Over $35m of projects won across the SCEE group
  • Awards in the resources, commercial, health and telecommunications and data centre sectors 

Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited (“SCEE”) is pleased to announce that it has secured a number of new contracts with a total value of over $35m across the commercial, resources, health infrastructure and telecommunications sectors. 
 
Resources 
 
SCEE has been awarded the following resources projects: 

  • Talison Lithium Australia Pty Ltd has awarded SCEE a contract to install, erect, test and commission the primary and secondary equipment for an electrical infrastructure upgrade at the Greenbushes lithium mine in southern Western Australia. The works involve an electrical load increase from 25MVA to 60MVA installed capacity and are expected to be completed over the first half of 2020. 
  • Energy Resources of Australia Pty Ltd (“ERA”) has awarded SCEE a Master Services Agreement to provide electrical and instrumentation services at the Ranger Mine in Jabiru, Northern Territory. SCEE will provide ongoing support to ERA’s operations and assist with mine closure works for an initial term of two years and ERA has the option for a further two 12-month extensions.  

 
Commercial 
 
SCEE’s East Coast-based subsidiary Heyday has been awarded the following commercial projects: 

  • Shape Australia Pty Ltd has awarded Heyday the electrical fit-out of 14 floors of government office accommodation at 231 Elizabeth Street, Sydney. The new office accommodation will provide 21,600m2 of floor space for use by employees of Transport for NSW, and the Departments of Premier & Cabinet, of Finance, Services & Innovation and of Justice. The building fit-out is being managed by Property New South Wales on behalf of the government agencies. Heyday’s scope of work includes the distribution switchboards, cable support systems, specialist lighting and small power, communication services, security and access control systems and is expected to be completed over the first half of 2020.  
  • In Canberra, Heyday has been awarded a contract by Geocon Constructors (ACT) Pty Ltd on the City – 7 Development Project. The development comprises three buildings encompassing 544 apartments and 10 retail tenancies. The scope of works is for the design and construction of lighting, communication services, security and access control systems and is expected to be completed in early 2021. 
  • Also in the ACT, Heyday has secured a contract from Icon for work on the Parade Project which is part of Icon and JW Land’s mixed-use C5 Development in Barton. The development comprises 242 apartments, a 65-room hotel and eight retail tenancies. Heyday’s scope of work includes lighting, communication services, security and access control systems and is expected to be completed by the end of 2020. 

 
Health infrastructure 
 
SCEE’s subsidiary Datatel has entered into an agreement with Health Support Services in Western Australia for the provision of breakdown repair, planned maintenance and minor works activities and projects as required to the East Metropolitan, North Metropolitan and South Metropolitan Health Services. The agreement is a panel arrangement for an initial period of three years with options to extend the term for up to a further eight years. 
 
Telecommunications and data centres 
 
Heyday has been awarded a further stage of works by J. Hutchinson Pty Ltd at the RUData SYD53 data centre at Eastern Creek in Sydney’s western suburbs. This scope includes the full fit-out of an additional 1,000m2 of data hall space with Heyday’s scope including HV and LV reticulation, switchboards, UPS and generator systems and lighting and small power. The work is expected to be completed in the first half of 2020. 
 
Datatel has secured new and extensions to existing term contracts to perform customer connection works on the NBN, Optus and Telstra networks. 
 
Comment 
 
Commenting on the awards, SCEE Managing Director Graeme Dunn said “I am pleased to be able to announce these new awards which demonstrate SCEE’s capabilities across a broad range of sectors and geographies.” 

-------------------

Disclosure:  I hold SXE shares.

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