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Austco Healthcare Limited (ASX: AHC) updated Valuation based on H126 Results.
Revenue
Total 1H26 revenue was $48.2 million, an increase of $11.3 million, or 30.7%, compared to 1H25.
Software and SMA revenues increased 9% to $5.0 million over the pcp. They comprise 18.2% ($8.6 million) of Austco’s Unfilled Contracted Revenue, highlighting the growing importance of recurring revenue to the Group’s long-term earnings profile.
Gross Margins on revenues
In 1H26, gross margin improved to 52.2% from 51.1%, a strong outcome given that 1H26 includes a full contribution from the newly acquired G&S Technologies, which has a lower gross margin.
The improvement demonstrates the operating leverage of the business model, with increasing revenues and a slight increase in gross margin percentages translating to a 34% increase in gross margin dollars over the prior comparative period.
Indirect Cost Base
Overhead expenses increased 23.6% to $16.9 million (excluding Interest and D&A) in 1H26, primarily reflecting the inclusion of acquired businesses. Importantly, overhead growth of 23.6% was well below revenue growth of 30.7%, demonstrating the Group’s disciplined cost management and the increasing scalability of the business. Investment in Research and Development continued, with no material M&A transaction costs incurred in the period.
EBITDA
EBITDA of $8.3 million in 1H26 was up 60.1% from $5.2 million in 1H25, driven by strong revenue growth and improving operating leverage.
EBITDA margins continued to improve, increasing from 14.0% in 1H25 to 17.1% in 1H26, an expansion of 310 basis points. This demonstrates the benefits of scale, disciplined cost control, and the increasing contribution from higher margin acquired businesses.
Net Profit Before Tax
Net Profit Before Tax grew 62.1% to $6.3 million, up from $3.9 million in 1H25. This performance highlights the underlying operating leverage of the Group’s business model, with revenue growth continuing to translate into accelerated profit growth.
Net Profit After Tax
Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) for 1H26 was $4.7 million, up 61.7% from $2.9 million in the prior comparative period. Basic e.p.s increased to 1.283 cents from 0.808 cents in 1H25.
Unfilled Contracted Revenue
Austco’s Unfilled Contracted Revenue (UCR) stands at $47.2 million at 16 February 2026, a level maintained consistently since August 2024 despite record revenues being delivered. North America represents $24.2 million of the UCR book, ANZ $16.2 million, Asia $4.8 million and Europe $2.1 million.
UCRs represent confirmed contracted orders from customers that have not yet been fulfilled and, as such, no revenue has been recognised. The sustained level of UCRs highlights the continued strength of new sales wins across the Group.
Healthcare tech provider and Strawman Community favourite $AHC posted their 1H FY26 yesterday. I've been watching this one ever since it was put on my radarscreen by several of the most illustrious StrawPeople, and have in recent weeks opened an initial position following its fall below my "buy" price of $0.35. (RL 4%, although I'm yet to add on SM).
As this is my first coverage of $AHC, my reason for lurking for so long is that I wanted to get a better feeling for how it's M&A strategy is playing out, as I tend to be reluctant when firm's use M&A because i) it muddies the waters of the historical numbers, so I can't see the underlying "economic engine" and ii) well, because I don't like M&A unless I get confident that management know what they are doing. Other than that $AHC is in my sweetspot, combining healthcare and tech, and so I've taken an initial bite.
@MangroveJack has already given the headlines, however, because the impressive headline result includes organic and inorganic contributions, I've decided to have a go at pulling things apart in some future detail.
In a break from my usual structure, I drop 3 charts - to give a sense of half-on-half variations and overall trends. Then I'll record my analysis.
My valuation will follow in a few days, however, from my work so far, its looking broadly in line with @Hogajo ($0.45) and @Wini ($0.50) at my p50%, although my range is a bit wider.
As I said, while I have been following this one for a few years, this is my first write up, so I'm very keen for any feedback from those StrawPeople who have a better understanding of this microcap.



Summary
Austco Healthcare delivered a record performance in 1H FY26, combining acquisitions and organic growth to drive revenue up 30.7% to $48.2 million and net profit after tax up 61.7% to $4.7 million.
The company look like it might be demonstrating some operating leverage, expanding EBITDA margins to 17.1% while holding %GM within the range of the last few years.
The result gives an initial positive indication of its strategy to vertically integrate ANZ reseller businesses without diluting profitability.
With a debt-free balance sheet holding $15.2 million in cash and a substantial order backlog of $47.2 million, Austco has solidified its financial position while maintaining strong visibility on future earnings.
As fas as I can discern, acquisitions are currently the primary engine of this growth, and it will be important to see what the organic "engine" looks like from here over the coming periods.
Today's result seems to reduce my view of the risk that low-margin installation revenue would dilute Group quality; instead, Austco seems to be capture more of the value chain margin.
With the UCR flattening, future growth will likely require either new M&A targets in other regions (North America/Europe) or a re-acceleration of pure organic software sales to drive the next leg of expansion. Personally, I hope we get to see some of the latter first, although, the results are encouraging, indicating that management are adept at identifying the right acquisitions, keeping them appropriately sized and then executing well.
My Detailed Assessment
1. Revenue Growth: Inorganic Drivers dominate
Revenue rose 30.7% to $48.2 million.
This follows a 40% jump in FY25 full-year revenue. The growth trajectory remains steep, but the composition has shifted.
Organic vs. Inorganic: While the company cites "continued organic growth," particularly in North America, the primary driver appears to be the full-period contribution of recent acquisitions (Teknocorp, Amentco, and G&S Technologies).
2. Margins and Operating Leverage: The Key Success Story
The most critical positive in this result is the expansion of margins despite the integration of typically lower-margin reseller businesses.
3. Earnings Quality and Cash Flow
4. Forward Visibility
Unfilled Contracted Revenue (UCR): Stood at $47.2million. While substantial, this has essentially plateaued since August 2024 ($50.3 million) and June 2025 ($53.8 million). A flat or slightly declining UCR in a high-growth environment suggests that while the company is executing delivery (converting order book to revenue) efficiently, the rate of new organic wins may be stabilizing rather than accelerating. The order book is being consumed as fast as it is being replenished. This is something that will be important to monitor over the next coupld of 6-month periods.
Overall, a nice result. And although the market agreed with the SP up 18+% today, this movement has to be considered in the context of the pullback over the last 3-4 months.
Disc: Held (RL 4%)
Austco results out after the bell, looks good:
• Revenue from customers up 30.7% to $48.2 million
• EBITDA margin increased from 14.0% to 17.1%
• EBITDA grew 60.1% to $8.3 million
• Net Profit Before Tax up 62.1% to $6.3 million
• Unfilled Contracted Revenue of $47.2 million provides visibility into future earnings
• Debt-free with $15.2 million cash on balance sheet
Things to note, this is the first time the order book dropped, but still very high, and sales are lumpy and after it growing so much I was expecting this to move around.
Asia had some timing issues and Europe was flat on revenue.
1Q26 trading update at the AGM with $23.2m revenue and $4.2m EBITDA. Historically there has been a ~45/55 revenue and ~40/60 EBITDA split between 1H/2H putting them on track for ~$105-110m revenue and $19-20m EBITDA.
~$4m D&A and normalised tax rates means $11-12m NPAT or ~3.3c. 50c price target would be 15x earnings, a fair multiple for the growth on offer.
Some pretty impressive headline numbers from AHC's 1Q26 trading update at the AGM this morning.
Revenue of $23.2m up 51% and a record EBITDA margin of 18.1% (compared to 17.8% in 2H25). It's tough to pin down exactly where organic growth is landing, but management have provided a full year target of 10-14% and the EBITDA margin expansion provides confidence that acquisitions aren't just providing empty calories.
There were a couple of questions at the AGM about board shareholdings and the potential to pay a dividend again, but compared to some other recent AGM's it's fair to say AHC shareholders are content with how things are travelling right now. After being forced to survive through Covid (which larger peer HIL couldn't achieve), AHC is thriving now.
Austco released a trading update today to coincide with their AGM later this morning. Overall impression is it was what you would want to see, which is to say, solid. They didn't break down the organic/inorganic split, which would have been nice, but did reconfirm targeted 10-14% organic growth for FY26. Highlights included:
• Revenue of $23.2 million, up 51% on the pcp, which includes both organic and inorganic growth.
• EBITDA of $4.2 million, representing 18.1% EBITDA margin, up from 16.0% at FY25 year-end.
• Order book of $54.6 million at 23 October 2025.
Here's how the order book has tracked over the past six years:

Overall it continues to deliver at or above what I need it to in order to justify continuing to hold. I've been lightening some positions that have gotten a bit frothy in recent months but Austco is not one of them.
[Held]
Great trading update by Austco, continues to perform

Good to see some actual Performance Rights with Hurdles. Not common in the shares I hold down in this part of the market cap world.

AHC closed 2.5c up on Friday to break through 40c and close at 41c. It had been threatening to do so for a while. Might this indicate a positive update will be released very soon?
Sure, it's a growth-by-acquisition story, but at least they are acquiring into an industry with structural growth tailwinds.
Net Profit After Tax lower: $5,933Mill (16.2%)
Net Debt/ Equity is ok so has liquidity here .. We looking for the these acquisitions to be integrated, sustainable.
https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-appendix-4e-fy25-financial-statements.8731195/




Unfilled Contracted Revenue Recent large contract wins in North America and growth in most other regions across the group have contributed to the continued growth of Austco’s Unfilled Contracted Revenue (UCR). Our UCR book now stands at $53.8 million at 13 August 2025. This includes a net $6.3 million from the recently acquired G&S, being their UCR less orders they had open with Austco NZ.
Cash and Working Capital Position Cash on hand was $14.5m at 30 June 2025, up from $13.6 million at June 2024. Cash generated from operating activities of $13.48 million reflected underlying profitability and allowed for the investment into further businesses (G&S acquired in May 2025) without the need for debt or raising capital. Despite working capital increasing as a result of acquiring G&S, the Group is well placed to fund future contingent consideration obligations without the need for liquidity events, if it chooses to do so.

Return (inc div) 1yr: 71.43% 3yr: 50.53% pa 5yr: 38.36% pa

Updated calculation 12th Aug. 2025
My valuation Calculation from 3 weeks ago Just to clarify the projected Share Price $0.504 ( say an eps growth 12% pa)
The Intrinsic Value shown in your Google Sheet ($0.38) is the estimated true worth of AHC’s shares based on your forecasted financials and valuation assumptions.

https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-austco-healthcare-trading-update-and-guidance-upgrade.8677109/
think, AHC should be able to scale up the model: support for over 5,000 healthcare facilities worldwide.

Unfilled Contracted Revenue Unfilled contracted revenue currently stands at $55.8 million, up from $50.2 million reported in February 2025. The increase reflects the addition of G&S Technologies to the Group since the last update, as well as continued strong operational performance, including a record revenue delivery of $13.2 million (unaudited) in June 2025. Amentco Earn-Out Adjustment The earn-out period for the acquisition of Amentco concluded on 30 June 2025.
Based on the strong performance of Amentco, Austco now expects a final earn-out payment of approximately $8.4 million, exceeding the previously accrued amount of $5.9 million. Under accounting standards, the incremental $2.5 million must be expensed through the income statement rather than adjusted through goodwill. While this will reduce statutory net profit as at 30 June 2025, it has no impact on EBITDA.
Austco retains the option to settle up to 50% of the $8.4 million earn-out in Austco shares, with the balance in cash. A decision on the option to settle is expected following on or around the release of the audited Full Year Results.
CEO Commentary Commenting on the performance, Clayton Astles, CEO of Austco, said: “FY25 was a transformative year for Austco. We delivered strong double-digit growth, successfully integrated acquisitions, and executed our strategy with discipline. Our ability to fund acquisitions through operating cashflow while maintaining a strong balance sheet reflects the resilience and scalability of our business model. With robust contracted revenue and momentum across key markets, we enter FY26 with confidence.”
The Company expects to release its audited Full Year Results and Appendix 4E on 26 August 2025. Authorised for release by the Board of Austco Healthcare Limited.
Austco Healthcare Limited (AHC) is an international provider of healthcare communication solutions, including nurse call systems, mobile communications, and clinical workflow management. Founded in Australia, the company has expanded its presence globally, with subsidiaries in six countries and support for over 5,000 healthcare facilities worldwide. Austco's competitive advantage lies in its advanced IP-based nurse call systems,
Chart shows a great trend here:
Return (inc div) 1yr: 81.40% 3yr: 54.60% pa 5yr: 40.97% pa

Can AHC announcements be found at https://hotcopper.com.au/asx/ahc/?keywords=AHC ? 1/ For example 14th May 2025 - Toronto Western Hostpital
Yes — HotCopper does list AHC’s ASX announcements, including the one from 14 May 2025 regarding the Toronto Western Hospital contract.
Yes, you can find AHC company announcements on the HotCopper site — including the 14 May 2025 announcement about the Toronto Western Hospital contract. It’s a convenient repository that mirrors, in near real-time, the ASX releases.

The likely outlook for AHC - no company-issued forward guidance!
I couldn’t find any company-issued, forward-looking guidance for FY 2026 from Austco Healthcare (ASX: AHC)—no specific projections for EPS growth, revenue targets, or contract estimates are disclosed publicly at this time.
Austco has provided detailed FY 2025 guidance in its ASX announcement dated 23 July 2025:
These figures provide insight into Austco’s near-term expectations but stop short of detailing FY 2026.
YearEPS GrowthRevenue GrowthContracts (Pipeline)FY 2025Not disclosedGuided: +37–41% (AUD 80–82 m)Pipeline: AUD 55.8 mFY 2026———Analyst Avg.~18.9% p.a.~14.3% p.a. (multi-year)—
If you're seeking FY 2026 guidance, you may want to monitor these channels:
Austco’s revenue took off thanks to two main factors:
Sources list a range of competitors depending on perspective:
According to MarketScreener, John Bennetts holds ~15.63% of Austco’s shares, making him the largest individual shareholderMarketScreener. I couldn’t find more detail on his background or motivations for his stake.
Robert Edward Grey is Austco’s long-time founder (founded in 1986) and has held executive and board roles. As of a 2024 update, he owns ~14.51% and is no longer in an executive roleMarketScreenerMarketScreener UAE EmiratesTracxn. The share reductions may reflect typical founder portfolio diversification or liquidity needs, though no explicit rationale was found.
This phrasing likely distinguishes recognized sales from existing contracts still to be fulfilled (“unfilled contracted orders”)—which stood at a record AUD 50 million as of FY24austcohealthcare.com+1. It clarifies actual billing versus future revenue potential.
Austco’s strategy appears to intentionally target resellers with established regional reach. Acquisitions like Teknocorp and Amentco not only added revenue but also embedded Austco’s offerings deeper in their networks—allowing revenue synergies while maintaining reseller autonomyListcorp+1austcohealthcare.com. While reseller loyalty might not be exclusive, Austco seems focused on aligning them through integration and software upsell opportunities.
The net profit margin of roughly 12% in FY24 was up from ~5.4% in FY23—reflecting a strong combination of organic growth, M&A gains, operating leverage, and tax benefits from recognizing previously unrecognized tax lossesYahoo Financeaustcohealthcare.comListcorp. There’s no clear indication it hinges on a single contract.
QuestionSummary1. Revenue growthOrganic markets + two acquisitions2. CompetitorsIdentified across Craft, CB Insights, Tracxn; includes both med-tech startups & large EMR players3. John BennettsLargest shareholder (~15.6%), little else publicly known4. Robert GreyFounder, former director; now holds ~14.5%, likely managing personal stake5. “Revenue from customers” termDifferentiates recognized income from future contract pipeline6. Reseller acquisition strategyExtends reach and integration without demanding exclusivity7. Margin improvementDriven by scale gains, deal integration, and tax accounting — not a single contract win
Disc: S.M
I've just posted a valuation for Austco. Overall it looks strong. But I'm relatively new to this company. So I have a few questions for the Austco old-timers and wise folks like @Wini, @Noddy74, @raymon68, @lyndonator, etc.
at 23rd July 2025 good results.
todays Price Share Price $0.38 + 14.9%
Noted; Net Profit is double digits and growing positively.
*1 year Valuation Intrinsic $0.31 you pay w' average $0.37

Valuation before the 23rd July announcement:

Valuation after the 23rd July 2025 announcement:
If the EPS grows at 12%pa ( as per previous year)

Then 3 years: EPS growth 12%pa guess 2028 Intrinsic value ~ $0.38
The AHC share could be North of this at $0.48
Holder: RL
Austco today announcing the acquisition of NZ-based call system solutions provider and Austco reseller, G&S Technologies. I don't know about others but I find it very difficult to play armchair quarterback on acquisitions. There are just too many factors, like working capital pegs and balance sheet health, that are completely unknown unless you're in the tent. However, what we can say based on what's available to us:

Only slight quibble is that they didn't take the opportunity to update on the order book but I'm nit picking.
[Held]
06/09/2024
So, updating based on their FY24 results:
Assume that 2025 revenue from Amentco and Technocorp was the same as the pre-purchase estimates for 2024 ($13m and $9m respectively) and the underlying business grows at 10%
=> 2025 Revenue: $76m
assume a GP margin of 53% and Opex of $30m (increasing 20% YoY)
=> 2025 EBT: $10m
360m Shares and a 12X P/EBT
=> 2025 Share price: $0.33
A much simpler valuation than I usually do, but why complicate things if you don't have to. This is still pretty conservative so Austco share seems very reasonable to me and I have be buying steadily.
Previous
Using similar approach but allowing for the increase in share count from the recent capital raise
Assuming 2024 revenue is 4/3 Q1-Q3 = $48m
Growing revenue at 9% to => 2029 Revenue: $74m
Assuming a 6% CAGR in Opex,
and a 55% gross margin => 2029 EBT: $12m
Starting with 360m shares (around a 20% increase from the recent cap raise),
and growing them 1% per year => 2029 share count: 374m
P/EBT of 12 => 2029 share price: 0.37
Discount at 10% => 2024 share price: 0.23
So no change to valuation.
Note: I have not really increased revenue projections due to the purchase of Amentco (basically assumed this was essential for the 9% growth) and have probably downplayed the contributions from Teknocorp (as Q1-Q3 only had 4 months of revenue from them). So I'd suggest this is very conservative.
Maybe I am anchoring too much to it's current share price but I'd like to see a few more quarters, maybe another year, of execution from them before I get more bullish on my valuation.
Assuming 2023 revenue is 2 x 20231H = $41m
I'm going to assume Austco delivers (at least partially) on their potential and will grow revenues 9% a year to 2027 =>
2027 Revenue: $58m
Assuming a 6% CAGR in Opex, and a 55% gross margin =>
2027 EBT: $9m
Using a 12 EBT multiple, and assuming 310m shares in 2027 =>
2027 share price: 0.34
discounted at 10% =>
2023 share price: 0.23
Provided AustCo get it done I think this is a pretty conservative valuation with plenty of upside to both their growth potential and market multiple.
I will be adding further to my position in Austco - and monitoring their execution.
DISC: Held
Austco released its full year results announcing Revenue of 58.2m, NPAT of 7.1m (tax offset by the last of its loses) and an order back log of 50m.
Is a re-rating on the cards?
https://austcohealthcare.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/29AUG24_media-release.pdf
Austco puts out out their hand for a capital raise
Bell Potter are the underwriters.

Bell Potter also did the raise for Clarity Pharmaceuticals and only 33% took the offer.
I think this could head the same way. Extra 15m shares for retail OR Bell Potter has to buy up to 10m shares (going by the 33% using Clarity and an example) if retail do not take the offer.
I know comparing Clarity Pharmaceuticals and Austco is not an apples to apples comparison but I'm making the point that that retail right now doesn't have the stomach to tip money into the begging bowl unless there is very clear upside and synergies.
Sold on the pop on the morning
[not held].
Found a bear case while scrolling through my feed
Tauranga Investments - Feb 2024 update
It is a bit old as it was published before the Q3 update but does highlight the challenges faced by AHC one being less cash as a result of acquisitions, revenue growth versus software costs and now the trading halt pending capital raise.
[held]
@LifeCapital and @BendigoInvesto covered this, so I won't back over what they've written. Except to say that I was scratching my head at this result. The numbers just looked too good, and I couldn't get them anywhere near to adding up until I re-read almost to the bottom of their trading update:

Talk about burying the lead - a 5.6% increase in GM is huge! Much higher than anything they've done for at least 10 years. What is that? Is that Technocorp? I'd thought of Technocorp as strategically important, but of lower quality than the existing business. That isn't borne out by the numbers though:

So Teknocorp appears to be holding its own and then some. But the underlying business appears to have had a standout quarter as well. While I thought the 1H numbers were fair-to-good, I had expected a lot more given the growth in order book and commentary around impacts of COVID impacts easing. Q3 appears to have made up for that.
It's just as dangerous to extrapolate a good quarter as it is a bad one, but I'll do it anyway cause I'm a slow learner. Although they disclose NPAT, I'll focus on EBITDA because their tax is all over the shop. They are run-rating at almost $10 million EBITDA, which is an EV/EBITDA ratio under 6. Add a record order book and I'm a happy holder.


Nice, company continues to deliver.
Further acquistion should add to bottom line if costs can remain low.
All important for small caps.
Share count @ June 2020: 284 188 951
Share count @ December 2023: 290 790 167
Share count growth: 0.8% pa.
What do they do?
Ausco develop software and hardware relating to healthcare communications systems, primarily nurse call and real time patient tracking systems, as well as re-sell and market complimentary systems.
They are also Systems integrators (nurse call and PTS installation contractors), through acquisitions, giving them sales channels into various geographic markets. It has achieved this primarily through acquisition, and is part of a strategy to enhance their direct sales channels in Australia, where systems integrators tend to have the customer relationships.
Financials
The business experienced significant disruption throughout FY 2021 due to COVID-19. Since then, revenue CAGR is 18%

Gross margins have remained relatively flat over the past 3 years at around 52%.
Profit margins have been in the range of 2-7%, noting the business has been profitable over the past 3 years.
Since H1 2022, software and software services revenue CAGR is 28% over the past 2 years, and is now 21% of total revenue. AHC has been developing its Nurse call and clinical comms platform Tacera,
Sales Pipeline: Sales pipeline has more than doubled to $44.4 million over the past 12 months, leading into H2. AHC revenue streams are seasonal, with H2 traditionally being the stronger half. The sales pipeline has benefited from the following recent acquisitions:

Share Price Performance
Share price has been in an upward trend since early 2019.

Valuation
Austco Healthcare Ltd is trading on a trailing PER of 24.5. However, given the strong pipeline into a seasonally stronger H2, I would estimate the forward PER is around 20, which appears to be reasonable value, assuming it can continue to grow at around 10-15% pa.
Ownership
The largest owners are:
The board is a lean one, with just 4 members
MD, Clayton Astles owns 1.1% of the company, and Brendan Maher (CFO) 0.85% . Other directors holdings of around $100-200k each.
AHC has some solid institutional investors, with reasonable inside ownership
Management Incentives
Short term incentives are based on pre-defined profitability, gross margins, and revenue financial targets. Non-financial are product development, process improvements, and Leadership and team contribution.
Summary
AHC strategy of rolling up integrators and re-sellers in Australia at about 3.5x EBITDA will juice revenue and hopefully profits over the next few years. The call option is it the re-sellers / integrators enable AHC to get their sticky Tacera platform on sites around the country. Once these systems are in, they are difficult to replace.
Presently, sales orders are exceeding the H1 2024 revenue run rate, indicating a strong H2 is ahead of us.
DISC - HELD
Austco has announced a $3.8 million contract win across two hospitals in Singapore.

They have also announced this has taken their order book to $40.7 million, up from the $38.7 million announced at the AGM last month. They've been on a bit of tear this year having more than doubled the order book since February this year.
Zooming out a bit the order book has been steadily rising since late 2019, apart from some COVID and supply chain impacts through 2022 and early 2023.

Nice to see at least one of my holdings kicking ass and taking names. I still think it flies under the radar a bit considering its history of profitable, non-dilutive growth. @Strawman have we spoken with Clayton?
Austco has come out with a roadshow presentation today, with lots of funky graphs and "buy me" arguments. Not a lot new, although they did disclose sales orders were up again from last month's record high to $37.2m - so they're filling the funnel faster than they can drain it. (Ignore the 'Revenue from customers' tag - revenue it ain't).

Austco is one of my more comfortable holdings. They disclose often enough to make you feel wanted, without getting all over-promotional. When they make investments in product or people they set realistic expectations about how long it will take to get a payback from the investment. They certainly appear to be in that zone of getting a return of previous investment right now though.
If I were being hyper-critical I'd say the CEO is very well compensated for a company of this size. However, Clayton appears to be getting the job done so I'll not quibble while that remains the case. It's arguably not a screaming bargain but if they keep growing at the rate they are it will look cheap soon enough. Happy to hold.
Bull Case:
- $7m in cash and no debt
- Strong product offering: They seem to know their market, so have a good level of optionalty while also not trying to be "all things to all people" and as such watering down their core competency.
- Strong sales momentum coming out of Covid and catching up on the backlog of sales orders
- Great gross margins (for software plus hardware business) of 50+%
Things to watch:
- Continued sales momentum - increasing revenue and sales orders
- Software and SMA revenues as a % of revenue - ideally I'd like this to increase, but ultimately as long as the gross margins stay high it is not that important. It would be nice if they started reporting on actual recurring revenue as well.
Pop in share price after AGM update


Would have been good if they had a slide that tracks their progress against competitors. Otherwise lots of content to take away and digest.
Still have watch position
[held]
Maybe I'm a bit picky but biggest concern is the lack of shares traded on AHC. Trading of shares seems very illiquid and is difficult to get a sense of what the market thinks about this company.
Another concern is there are other bigger players competing for the same pie including Phillips.
Despite this, I took a small starter after reading some of the previous straws by Noddy74 and Wini (must have taken weeks to finally get some shares), but then bumped my partial fill back down a bit while I do more research into the competitive landscape. Not keen on making a full position yet.
[held]
Austco snuck in a price sensitive investor presentation this morning, which was an interesting decision given they released results less than two weeks ago (sans presentation). It came two days after a competitor, Hills Limited (HIL.ASX) announced they had been successful in bidding for the New Footscray Hospital tender in Melbourne. I'm not saying it was because of that. I'll leave that to others.
Largely it replicated what they they had already released with some swanky graphics added. It did give a little more detail about the growth investment being made in each region. One nice little new tidbit it shared was an increase in the order book to a record $24.7m. That's $2m higher than they had disclosed at the end of August and is probably what justified it being price sensitive.

[Held]
Essentially what you have here is a profitable, dividend-paying, growing, tech company in the Healthcare sector - they just need lithium and they've won Buzzword Bingo. All of that comes for bargain basement price of just $33m market cap.
Revenues are growing in the mid-teens but their margins have been under pressure - like every one else - from higher product costs and supply availability issues. However, they have largely offset the impact with more software revenue (higher margin) and sale of higher margin products.
It will be interesting what FY23 will bring with several offsetting impacts to weigh up. The company has flagged an investment in sales in FY22, but call out long sales cycles means the benefit of this won't be realized until FY24 onwards. Additionally we'll need to back out COVID assistance grants over the past two years.
Offsetting this is a strong order book and improved hospital access post normalization of COVID (get well soon Chagsy), which is being reflected in growing revenues. Normally we'd like to see order books growing over time but I think at this stage of COVID recovery it's a bullish signal that the order book appears to have peaked as it suggests normalization of access is real. This, plus the fact their revenue is growing much faster than the run off of the book, means it doesn't unduly concern me the order book may now be reverting to a more normal setting before it starts to grow again (it has grown to $22.7m since year end).

One thing I like about this company is they seem pretty straight forward and conservative. They call out issues they're seeing even if they may not be apparent from the numbers as there are offsetting 'good guys' or are yet to be reflected in the financials. They keep adjustments to a minimum and where they do use them it's to back out the impact of one-off grants and gains, rather than back out costs.
They raised capital in 2019 to invest in sales capacity and growth. What was pleasing is when COVID hit they didn't deploy it for this use or any other. They just sat on it. Now they're coming out the other side they can invest for growth at a time when a lot of other companies are bunkering down and trying to strip costs out.
Their future opportunity is to move into patient monitoring, including post-discharge, and patient engagement, including entertainment and food. This may require acquisitions with competition already heavily invested in this tech.
The declaration of a dividend is a moderately bullish signal for me. I'm not sure the last time they paid one but I don't think they have for at least 6-7 years.
Overall, I expect them to continue to steadily grow the top line with this accelerating in FY24 and beyond as growth initiatives being spent today bear fruit. It may be difficult to grow the bottom line at the same rate in the short term with ongoing margin pressures and investment in sales capacity. However, that operating leverage will come in time.
Based off a fairly conservative DCF.
[Held here and IRL - both underwater, which puts them in plenty of good company]
Just realised I have had this report on private for 3 months. Think it still holds, will review the result in coming weeks and update.
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Simple valuation approx A$60m, or 20cps
Overall I think Austco represents good value at 10cps. Risk to the downside is mostly temporary market sentiment in my mind. Their position in a defensive, slow moving industry and strong balance sheet should see them through any market sentiment or supply chain disruption issues. If growth can be achieved - and there are some signs with good contract wins and pipeline and increasing software revenue - then there is good upside potential and likely eventually become a dividend payer.
What I like:
High NTA (5.5cps about half cash have inventory/assets) offers downside protection for a profitable company (ie. no cash burn)
No debt - downside protection in event of extended market or economic downturn
Growth plan with shift to software, investment in sales and potentially investment, global footprint in growing & defensive industry (healthcare)
What I don't like:
Low ownership from board and CEO. No longer founder led although he still holds a bunch of shares.
No recent, proven track record of executing on growth strategy.
Could they be out-competed by a larger organisation who spend a lot of money on comms tech and stumble into the hospital industry.
Model assumptions for valuation @ A$60m:
limited revenue growth and margins in 22/23 - conservative assumption due to supply chain issues
starting to grow thereafter and doubling revenue by 2030 as hospitals invest more in systems and software - more bullish assumption as they have had minimal growth last 5 years
NPAT margins of about 10%, supported by transition to software weighting, limited by requirements to re-invest over time in technology - they're a little under this presently after removing govt grants
Discount rate 10%
The latest investor preso (see here) warns shareholders of supply chain issues -- increased raw materials and transport costs, semiconductor shortages -- and says that management expect these pressure to last for the remainder of FY22, and possibly beyond.
This will impact margins, and has prompted the company to build up inventory. The business will also be investing in added sales resources. With $7m in cash, they are also on the lookout for acquisitions, particularly in Europe and the US.
Will be interesting to see how sustained these supply chain issues are, and whether there is much capacity to increases prices (i suspect not)
I think there's good scope for sales growth as they prosecute their record order book, but with ongoing investment and added costs it'll make profit growth more difficult.

Not a great deal of insight provided in terms of FY22 trading or outlook. Main takeaways for me were:
Austco copped a first strike against their remuneration report in FY20 but this was passed comfortably this time around. The re-election of director Brett Burns was the most contentious with 22.69% voting against. Claude Walker chipped in with a question to Brett Burns to detail one opportunity and one risk to the business. To his credit he did answer it, although I wouldn't say I was left any more enlightened about Austco after doing so. Given the stage the business is at and the stated strategic direction of the business I think an acquisition in FY22 is probable.
[Held]
Austco has won a $3.3m contract to supply its Tacera Nurse call platform to Khoo Teck Puat Hospital -- a 795 bed hospital in Singapore (as a side note, Singapore has one of the worlds leading healthcare systems. Certainly in the top 5 globally).
ASX announcement here
The deal is a significant one, representing ~10% of last years total revenue.
Further, the hospital belongs to the Yishun Health Network -- and it is Yishun that the contract is with. This network encompases many other healthcrae institutions in Singapore, so although it wasnt mentioned, I assume there's potential for the contract to be extended to other facilities if all goes well.