Total Shares = ~375m
Share Price = ~$3 /Share
Market Cap = $1125m
Cash at hand = $140m
Enterprise Value = $985m
FY21 Revenue = $192.2m ( 60% revenue from Europe, 20% from North America and remaining 20% from Australia)
( 85% of revenues are recurring)
In FY21, EML generated $48m Cash from Operating activity, based on the guidance for FY22 It will generate $53m Cash from Operating activity)
Valuation:
at $3 = EV/EBITDA ratio is ~15
In other words, If you buy EML with an Enterprise Value of $985m ( i.e $3 a Share), it generates 5.3% yield in cash in FY22 ( i.e it generate 53m of cash). EML is growing rapidly so this (in mind) is very attractive.
Is Inflation good for EML?
- EML doesn't rely on debt, it has sufficient cash
- It earns more interest on money if interest rates go up
- because of inflation, GDV should increase at a higher rate and Hence EML's revenue
Two near term issues
- Central Bank of Ireland regulation issue ( its been mainly sorted but not 100%)
- Shine Lawyers Class Action ( EML denies any liability and defending the proceedings - will wait for the outcome)
Following is Q1 FY22 Trading update
Following FY2022 Guidance
So far evidence suggests that it is growing its market share.