Company Report
Last edited 3 weeks ago
PerformanceCommunity EngagementCommunity Endorsement
ranked
#36
Performance (32m)
-15.4% pa
Followed by
64
Straws
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#Management
stale
Added 7 months ago

All the directors of the troubled PFS Card Services subsidiary have resigned. Not often you see that, though in this case it's likely a good thing.

#ASX Announcements
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Last edited 8 months ago

That nobody has mused on the results and subsequent rip in EML today is a sad commentary on this former-market-and-Strawman-darling turned giant turd.

Shares are up as the beats on the headline numbers are sizable relative to the top-end of the guidance provided (revenue and "underlying" EBITDA).

The statutory loss is huge largely due to the impairment of goodwill on both PFS and Sentinel, showing what poor capital allocation decisions those were, but the market seems to be overlooking it.

Technically, while it is encouraging that these sizable gains have been locked for the day, there is plenty of overhead resistance yet to come given all the trapped buyers who were repeatedly copping it last year with disappointment after disappointment, and management upheaval.

#ASX Announcements
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Added one year ago

I guess investors are stoked that the news isn't worse, and that the regulator isn't revoking PFS's license altogether, but today's reaction still seems overly optimistic. Not that I'm complaining - my piddly holding is that teeny bit more consequential in my portfolio now.

#ASX Announcements
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Added one year ago

Alta Fox has come out with an announcement explaining their sell down, and stating that they won't be selling any more shares and are committed to holding EML "long-term".

Some reassurance for the troubled company and its shareholders.

#ASX Announcements
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Added one year ago

Unfortunately, the trading halt seems to be related to a letter they received regarding PFS Ireland from the Central Bank of Ireland.

Given how hairy the issues at this subsidiary have been, I would be very surprised if it was good news.

#ASX Announcements
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Last edited one year ago

Alta Fox filed further increase to 10.24% today. I wonder what their endgame is. Unusual for them to take an interest in such a small concern Down Under.

#Management
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Last edited 2 years ago

With the amount of negative surprises thrust upon suffering shareholders over the past couple of years, coupled with a wildly volatile share price performance, the bull case is hanging by a thread here. Insider selling prior to these events is not helping either.

The only positive is this is becoming a more attractive takeover candidate after today's large drawdown, but that is cold comfort to longer-term holders who have been underwater at various junctures over the past few years.

#Valuation
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Added 3 years ago

Even if the PCS acquisition is written-off completely (worst case scenario), the shares are trading somewhere close to the fair value for the rest of the company after yet another drop on Friday.

The market will not like such a dire outcome immediately, but ultimately there is value looking out long-term - a decent risk/reward proposition.