As NAN approaches its half year results on 22 February, I was researching reasons to top up or not pre-result.
I jumped on shortman and discovered almost 10% of shares are shorted, and that had increased since NAN flagged its revenue hit due to change of business model.
NAN has pre-warned the market that half year results will be impacted (more details in other straws!) and assuming "Mr Market" knows best, then based on the volume traded around the 08 February and the change in price, that has been factored into the share price (ie was $5.05, and is now $4.71).
Yet... shorts are up, implying the expectation that "Mr Market" will react again on results day (22 February) and drive the price lower, and stay lower once combined with other macro-market factors (inflation, threat of war, tech sell off, etc).
If I was to anchor to price:
- The March 2020 covid low was $4.61
- The most recent low was $4.50
I hold IRL and am looking to top up. I think the short-sightedness of Mr Market will occur, and NAN will dip again on report day. I will wait until pre-close on the 22 February or pre-open the 23 February.