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Consensus community valuation
XXXXXX
Average Intrinsic Value
XXXXXX
Undervalued by
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Valuation of $36.00
Added a month ago
  • US economy remains resilient, with a strong private sector balance sheet (the wealth 30% anyway).
  • Fed is asymmetrically dovish, kowtowing to fiscal dominance by artificially stimulating demand for US Treasurys amid explosive growth in US federal deficit.
  • Weakening USD should accelerate dollar recycling and provide China scope to support their flagging economy with stimulus.
  • US fiscal impulse and treasury's financing policy are getting increasingly positive in Q4 ahead of $700 Bn spenddown of the US TGA in Q1 2025.
  • Trump election may drive euphoria in the short term, but his policies risk stagflation in the medium term (bad for $BTC)
  • NEAR TERM RISK: Tight Democrat election win could lead to civil unrest, as Trump and MAGA unlikely to accept result. Long term, civil unrest may boost use case / adoption.


My April 2025 $BTC target: $125 K USD

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#Bear Case
Added 2 months ago

https://www.moneyandbanking.com/commentary/2024/9/15/a-national-strategy-for-bitcoin-sell-it-all-now

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#Crypto psychos???
Added 3 months ago

219b5a8ccce52c33ba18cb44ae507cd8f5b255.png


Wow - do some of us need to worry about who we are chatting with on Strawman!!!

The link here for those with an AFR subscription -

https://www.afr.com/markets/currencies/crypto-owners-are-more-likely-to-have-psychopathic-traits-study-says-20240902-p5k73c?utm_content=around_the_world&list_name=EBE726C6-38DF-4725-9BE4-5091999D8384&promote_channel=edmail&utm_campaign=the-brief&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=2024-09-02&mbnr=MjExOTY0NTg&instance=2024-09-02-12-03-AEST&jobid=30762471

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#Added to SM Index
Added 3 months ago

Apparently I'm not the only beanie baby collector :)

f8c1ba5fcdd668fd84e80a1b66ca15135fef2e.png


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#Vaneck Bitcoin ETF
Added 5 months ago

You can now get Bitcoin exposure on Strawman.

Me:

ca37e59b842f76f0874adbb2c352d723402ab3.gif


Everyone else:

ecc7533405853b93d7340d42ca25ae3d56ef56.gif

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