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Last edited 6 days ago
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#Divestment Decision
Added 2 months ago

WTC is selling Expedient Software

Expedient, which operates in Australia and NZ, was owned by E2open, and the sale appears to be a move to appease the ACCC’s competition concerns.

As per the below, Expedient was projected to contribute less than 0.4% of WTC’s FY26 revenue.

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All things considered re the events of the past year, I can see how keeping the ACCC sweet by divesting a small and apparently non-essential piece of the pie makes sense.

Discl: Held IRL

#AI
Added 2 months ago

As I continue to digest and assess the content of last week’s $WTC Investor Day, while much of the press attention has focused on the implementation of the New Commercial Model, the session that impressed me most was the discussion on AI implementation.

I’ve decided to pull out a separate straw on this, because I think it may be of interest not only to those following $WTC, but also to the wider community interested in how firms are deriving value from AI.


$WTC’s AI philosophy

WiseTech’s AI strategy is built around narrow, specialised agentic AI, deeply embedded into CargoWise workflows, rather than broad, general-purpose models. Guardrails and human-in-the-loop verification are core design principles.

$WTC is scoping many potential AI agents. However, three are already “live” and can be accessed via the new Value Packs with 100% transaction-based pricing:

  1. Document ingestion (data entry automation)
  2. ComplianceWise – Export Controls
  3. Customs Classification Assistant


Each of these was described in detail at the Investor Day and provides evidence of how $WTC’s massive proprietary dataset, combined with LLMs’ ability to structure, process and reason over text-based data, can materially reduce the high labour content in existing freight forwarding, import and export processes.

Let’s look at each in turn.


1. Document ingestion

AI-native document ingestion replaces manual data entry and OCR-based bolt-on tools.

Example impact:

  • Commercial invoice ingestion reduced from a ~5–6 minute manual task to near-zero
  • At a global freight forwarder level, ~10 million commercial invoices per year equates to ~95 human years of data entry


Accuracy is high, driven by:

  • Targeted models tuned to specific document types
  • Uncertainty explicitly flagged to human operators
  • Accuracy described as materially higher than OCR


From the Q&A discussion: accuracy is improving while labour is being removed, and this improvement is not being traded off against risk.


2. ComplianceWise – Export Controls

Across global jurisdictions, numerous controls restrict parties, locations and categories of goods.

AI agents assess export risk across:

  • Parties (denied / sanctioned lists)
  • Locations (embargoes, restricted destinations)
  • Goods and end-use (dual-use items, munitions)


The AI effectively acts as a virtual compliance officer: jurisdiction-specific, always-on, and capable of scanning all available information against known restrictions and risk factors, flagging issues for human review.

Performance achieved:

  • ~96% precision (low false positives)
  • No missed red flags relative to expert human reviewers


3. Customs Classification Assistant

A core role of freight forwarders is ensuring goods are correctly classified. This task is exceptionally complex due to:

  • The sheer number of codes
  • Non-intuitive classification structures
  • Jurisdictional differences


As a result, classification remains one of the most labour-intensive parts of the process.

$WTC’s AI agent is now able to complete ~90% of the classification work, leaving brokers to verify and submit (human in the loop).

Industry benchmarks:

  • Human-based classification accuracy ranges from as low as ~20% to ~80%
  • ~80% is typically considered a strong human benchmark


Pilot results: customers using the $WTC AI agent are reporting ~90% accuracy.

Importantly, narrow agent design and embedding regulatory data from $WTC databases (e.g. BorderWise) materially reduces the risk of AI hallucinations.

Richard White gave an illustrative example of a UPS business unit with 19 human classifiers and 1 supervisor. The AI agent is capable of performing the work of the 19 classifiers, leaving the supervisor to check and verify outputs as the only future required labour for this process.


Other AI applications

As with many enterprise software firms, $WTC is also developing AI-based customer service agents. The WiseTech agent is called ACE, supported by content from the WiseTech Academy.

Although ACE is only one month old (“a baby”, in management’s words), it is already being trained on ~20,000 historical support tickets where humans previously sent specific training materials to customers. Management estimates this could free up the equivalent of ~18 product managers currently involved in this work, allowing them to be redeployed into product development.

Finally, $WTC is also using AI internally to assist with code writing and testing.

These latter applications have quickly become ubiquitous across enterprise software, so there was little basis to assess whether $WTC is meaningfully ahead or behind peers in these areas.


Overall takeaways and management view


Richard White believes that rolling out AI agents within CargoWise and related products has the potential to reduce customer labour requirements by ~50% over two years. This is a bold claim - characteristic of RW’s visionary style - but the examples demonstrated so far lend it credibility. Time will tell.

It is difficult to overstate the complexity of freight classification and compliance. In another Investor Day session, Anthony Hardenburgh (Product Portfolio Leader, Global Trade Management) noted that across markets and products, $WTC handles ~73 million regulatory and data updates annually, all of which must be incorporated into its systems. This scale is far beyond what humans can manage alone and is precisely the type of problem suited to AI. It appears $WTC is leaning into this opportunity in earnest.

$WTC’s approach centres on carefully scoped, narrowly defined AI agents, tightly integrated into workflows. Management described a common AI agent architecture with an abstraction layer that allows A/B testing of different LLMs and rapid swapping as models improve and leap-frog each other.

Early labour reduction from AI is expected to occur primarily in lower-skill roles, many of which logistics firms have already offshored to shared-service centres. Remaining staff, employees of $WTC’s customers, will become more skilled and more valuable as supervisors of AI agents.

There was discussion around whether customers could build their own AI layers and bypass $WTC’s products. Management acknowledged this was possible and that some customers might see benefits. However, CEO Zubin emphasised that software development and workflow integration are WiseTech’s core expertise, and that embedding AI directly into CargoWise should deliver superior outcomes, because only $WTC has access to the source code and databases. That confidence seems reasonable, though real-world results will ultimately decide.


My assessment


AI adoption across large enterprise SaaS companies has become a central part of the investment thesis for my technology holdings over the past few years. The use cases showcased by $WTC are exactly the types of applications I was hoping to see, and it is encouraging that early solutions are now "live" with customers - particularly the 95% of largely small customers who have gone "live" on the new Value Packs, potentially a strong incentive for the LGFFs to follow quickly!

It will be particularly interesting to track adoption and realised benefits over the next one to two years.

This also underscores why $WTC had to move from “seat plus module” pricing to per-transaction pricing. Despite the noise surrounding the transition, there was really no alternative. Labour hours per shipment are about to be materially reduced, while shipments-per-seat should increase dramatically as these capabilities are adopted by customers. $WTC had to get ahead of that curve.

Overall, I was very impressed by the presentations, the examples, and indeed the presenters themselves. I was glad to see that $WTC are indeed doing what I expect them to be doing. It was good to learn the facts, rather than just hold the thesis!


Disc: Held

#New Pricing Model
Added 3 months ago

Just finished reading AFR article on WiseTech’s new pricing model. Early read: if you’re a customer actively using the product, you’re probably going to be paying more under the new structure.

I’m really interested to see how this plays out over the next 12–24 months. WiseTech has always had that mission-critical, sticky footprint. Once it’s in, it’s hard to rip out , so they’ve got the leverage to push pricing. But the flip side is whether customers start pushing back, especially larger ones who may suddenly see a step change in cost.

Could end up being a quiet tailwind for revenue… or spark some noise if the increases bite too hard. Worth watching!

https://archive.is/20251203070318/https://www.afr.com/technology/wisetech-dismisses-customer-concerns-over-price-increases-20251203-p5nkht

#Risks
Added 4 months ago

This is enough for me to sell out today!


WiseTech Global Ltd Update WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC;


WiseTech; the Company) provides an update that officers of the Australian Securities and Investments Commission and the Australian Federal Police attended WiseTech’s Sydney office yesterday.

They executed a search warrant requiring the production of documents regarding alleged trading in WiseTech shares by Richard White and three WiseTech employees during the period from late 2024 to early 2025.

So far as WiseTech is aware, no charges have been laid against any person and there are no allegations against the Company itself. WiseTech intends to fully cooperate with any investigation. 

#FY25 results presentation
Added 6 months ago

WTC opened lower at open,

Total revenue $778.7m ↑ 13% organically

Underlying NPAT1 $241.8m ↑ 30% on FY24

Statutory NPAT $200.7m (↑ 17%) Underlying EPS 72.8 cps (↑ 30%)

https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-wisetech-global-fy25-results-investor-presentation.8734516/

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WiseTech will issue a dividend of 7.7 cents per share.


The company's "general and administration" costs skyrocketed nearly 50%, from US$97 million to US$142 million. R&D spend was up 10% to US$185 million, though sales and marketing costs decreased 15% to US$51 million.

What is included in the FY26 guidance:

• Retention of existing CargoWise customers consistent with historical levels • Overall supply chain volumes reflecting recent trends

• New customer growth consistent with historical levels

• New product and feature launches monetized

• Contractual increases in revenue from existing customers, including those reflecting the end of temporary pricing arrangements

• Standard price increases

• Inflation in staff and other costs

• Full year effect of FY25 acquisitions and a minor reduction for non-CargoWise revenue, as a group overall, from product exits, as expected 

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Outlook >>>>>>>>>

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Voted down at open>>

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#Acquisition
stale
Added 11 months ago

90% of the air time on $WTC has unfortunately recently been on governance issues, but it good to see the team have been progressing tuck-in acquisitions to build out the platform capability and reach.

There have been 4 small acquisitions in as many months, with two very small ones in Latin America that haven't even warranted ASX announcements, but that are on the company website:


Both are tiny acqusitions focused on customs software in Latin America, extending the Cargowise footprint.

Customs processes, rules and other knowledge are highly jurisdiction-specific, and these acquisitions are about bringing the people with the knowledge in the acquired companies into $WTC, as well as their software code (which get's rewritten into Cargowise), and the customers - who become cross-sell opportunities.

This has been a hallmark of the $WTC growth strategy over many years now, and they have demonstrated a strong integration capability, as well as the ability to retain key staff. This was evidenced by some of the acquired CEOs who presented at the last investor day.

Andrew C, Vlad and the team know what they are doing here. And it is good to see that strong efforts are afoot continuing to build out Global Logistics OS despite all the noise that dominates the headlines.

#ASX Announcements
stale
Added 11 months ago

Over recent days $WTC has communicated continued progress in its work to re-establish/repair the governance organisation.

Yesterday it published the results from its Shareholder Engagement Survey

  • Shareholders want a public summary of the Board Review into Executive Chair Richard White to help rebuild market confidence. (DONE)
  • There is strong support for Richard White to remain involved, especially in product innovation and strategic growth.
  • A clear CEO succession plan is expected, with emphasis on a candidate experienced in software, product development, and WiseTech’s business.
  • Investors desire a gradual and well-managed CEO transition, ensuring continuity and innovation.
  • Board independence needs strengthening, with a call for more independent non-executive directors (NEDs), especially those with logistics and global tech experience. (See Below)
  • Shareholders want ongoing engagement with the Board and senior executives, with greater visibility of leadership beyond Investor Day events.


The Board's response is:

  • A summary of the Board Review findings was released on 19 March 2025.
  • Two new independent directors have been appointed, with a search underway for two more, including one with Audit and Risk expertise.
  • A detailed succession plan has been developed and is under review, with market updates expected soon.
  • The company will make the successful Investor Day an annual event to enhance investor access to Board members and senior leaders.


This was then followed by the announcement of two new Non-Executive Directors, as follows:

Chris Charlton:

  • Background: Over 35 years in customs and international trade; most recently Vice President – Asia Pacific Customs Brokerage at UPS.
  • Expertise: Deep experience in logistics, customs compliance, and product development.
  • Board Contribution: Will enhance logistics and product insight, particularly for CargoWise Next and other innovations.
  • Committee Role: Appointed to the People & Remuneration Committee.


Andrew Harrison

  • Background: Chartered Accountant, former investment banker, ex-CFO (Seven Group, Hanson Australia), former Chair of WiseTech and Bapcor.
  • Board Experience: Broad directorships in both public and private companies, including infrastructure, healthcare, IP, and tech sectors.
  • Board Contribution: Offers deep continuity, governance, and strategic insight from prior WiseTech leadership.
  • Committee Roles:
  • Lead Independent Director (replacing Mike Gregg)
  • Member of Audit & Risk Committee
  • Chair of People & Remuneration Committee

Next Steps

The Board is actively recruiting two additional independent directors, including one with Audit & Risk Committee experience.


My Assessment

While $WTC clearly are engaging with shareholders and addressing the governance concerns, they are very much doing on their own terms.

Andrew Harrison was Chair of $WTC from June 2005 until April 2024. His absence of 1 year form the company does not pass the common standard whereby 3 years absence is (as I understand it) considered good practice in terms of justifying the claim to be independent. For many who are concerned about strict corporate governance standards, this will not be considered good enough. I expect we will hear challenges on this from Proxy Advisors and organisations like the ASA.

With Harrison now joinging Charles Gibbon, we have the two previous Chairs on the Board who have spanned $WTC public listing history, I think. So not a strong rating for independence, but a mark of continuity that has seen shareholder value grow from $3,35 at IPO in 2016 through to over $80, only 9 years later.

Chris Charlton. This is a good move, adding to the Board someone with deep experience in the logistics industry on the customer side. Chris has spent 35 years in the logistics indutry, of which 26 were spent at UPS - a major Cargowise Customer. Importantly, Chris's experience is customs and compliance, and important area of potential growth for $WTC, given some prominnence a couple of years ago when Kuhne-Nagel signed up to the Customs & Compliance module. Of course, in a world of increasing tariffs and trade protection, this part of the $WTC offereing becomes potentially increasingly important.

So Chris is the first Director who looks like he can claim to be Independent.

At one level, while I welcome Chris' experience and skillset, I am a little underwhelmed given that he only reached divisional VP level at UPS, and I believe a company of the scale and global reach of $WTC should have a heavier hitter for a Board renewal that will set up the company for the next decade of growth. That said, when I compare Chris' industry experience, it vastly outstrips the combined experience of the four directors who have departed, none of whom had industry credentials in global logistics as far as I could see. So, on paper, Chris is a solid "tick" from me.

The Board will be well aware that they do not pass any reasonable measure of indepedence, and so the last line of the release is important to me. They intend to appoint two additional independent directors. It will be interesting to see both the credentials and the degree of independence of these next two appointments. I imagine Richard and his co-directors will be all to well aware of that.

So, good progress, but more to do. But it appears that RW and the Board are taking this all seriously.

Disc: Held

#Director's Interest Notice (x2
stale
Added 2 years ago

Transaction small % of their holdings - pay Tax?.. Why? No News.

Richard White Disposed: 208,239 Units or $18,697,690 Has balance of $10.831Billion

Name of Director Maree Isaacs Disposed: 18,519 Units or $1,662,821 ...Balance of $963.197Million

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