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Market Cap $103.7m at share price $0.24

Board Bio's
Ivan Gustavino - Non-Executive Chair
Ivan Gustavino joined Kinatico (formerly CVCheck) as non-executive director and chair in August 2018. Ivan has over 25 years of history in technology companies, including vast experience in leading, advising and investing in high growth technology businesses.
Ivan brings extensive experience in deal making and advising technology investors and businesses at board level on a range of matters including business strategy, growth and M&A transactions. He is a recognised leader in software technology entrepreneurship in Australia and a highly regarded authority in business strategy, corporate transactions and in the marketing of emerging technologies.
Ivan has a Bachelor of Business (Information Processing) from Curtin University of Technology.
Jon Birman - Non-Executive Director
Jon Birman has a wealth of experience including previously having been the inaugural Chief Executive Officer of UGL Resources Pty Ltd. As CEO of UGL Resources, he helped grow the business from inception to $1 billion in revenues. Jon’s experience and entrepreneurship brings depth and complimentary skills to Kinatico’s current board members.
Jon has a Bachelor of Arts (Politics & Industrial Relations) from the University of Western Australia.
Georg Chmiel - Non-Executive Director
Mr. Chmiel brings three decades of experience in rapidly growing, disruptive online businesses and holds a unique combination of experience and skills in technology businesses, international enterprises, and boards of ASX-listed companies. Throughout his career, he has been instrumental in significantly growing shareholder value. Mr. Chmiel is currently co-founder and chair of Juwai-IQI, Asia’s leading PropTech group, and Chair of Spacetalk (ASX:SPA), a global technology provider of secure communication solutions for families. He is also a non-executive director of ASX-listed FinTech companies Butn and Centrepoint Alliance.
Mr. Chmiel is also a Senior Advisor to BrioHR, ASEAN’s leading HRTech platform, and a member of the advisory board to MadeComfy, a tech company in the Australian short-term rental market.
Kinatico looks like an interesting, fast growing SaaS business and the 1H26 results look impressive. However, it appears the market was expecting more with the share price down 9% today (14/01/26). This looks like a good business to own, but at what price? It currently trades on 100 times FY25 earnings and 45 times analyst earnings forecasts for FY26. It stays on my watchlist until I can work out what it’s worth.
Highlights
Leading Australian “Know Your People” RegTech company, Kinatico Limited (ASX: KYP) (Company or Kinatico) is pleased to provide the following unaudited flash results for the first half of the 2026 financial year.
Kinatico CEO Michael Ivanchenko said: "Annualised SaaS revenue has grown 42% to $19.7m, with SaaS now representing 58% of quarterly revenue. This is clear evidence of the success of our strategy.
At the same time, we have launched our new solution, Kinatico Compliance continues to resonate with SMEs and also large enterprise. The combination of the ongoing operational performance and the addition of our new solution gives confidence that we are well positioned for continued momentum. Disciplined execution, while remaining cash accretive reflects the operational leverage emerging in the business. To the Kinatico team—thank you for your continued commitment to our customers and delivery of our common goals. These results are yours."
Not held
Much like Stakk yesterday, the Kinatico story is about a business pivoting away from its original model to leverage its tech investment in a new way. The key difference is that Kinatico is further along in this journey and has already demonstrated early success.
Michael appeared to have a very level-headed approach, ranging from making tough decisions and applying sensible capital allocation frameworks to envisioning the business's long-term future. He frankly admitted to early missteps and acknowledged (unprompted) past errors regarding over-promising and under-delivering. It was also clear that the focus is squarely on solving customer pain points in the most user-friendly manner possible.
He also offered a very practical perspective on AI and its specific application to the business, devoid of the usual fluff or hype.
The business seems to be in a strong position, with a right-sized cost base capable of significant scaling; Michael believes the current cost structure could sustain double the current revenue. They boast a healthy balance sheet, positive operating cash flow, and extremely sticky customers. While it is early days for the SaaS model, churn sits at 0% so far.
He used the phrase "the overnight success that's been 18 years in the making," which I liked (I use a version of it regularly!), but the point was that they seem to have reached a stage where they possess a commercially ready product set, are self-sustaining with plenty of runway, and now simply need to execute on the operational front.
Shares are trading at ~7x recurring revenue, which isn't excessive provided they can sustain recurring revenue growth and further unlock their operating leverage.
I'm going to add a small watching position.
You can interrogate the transcript here: Kinetico Transcript.pdf
Here are some AI generated notes from the meeting:
Corporate Evolution and Strategic Pivot
Business Model and Sales
Operational Efficiency and Financials
Technology and AI
Growth Targets and Expansion
Thanks Andrew - good interview. Appreciated you doing that. I hold IRL and here, and that confirmed my thesis - I think there is a lot of operating leverage to come and if he can keep Capex to that number - it could get pretty interesting returns wise. Given we're only talking $130m market cap and with no borrowings, cash in the bank and growing topline with (hopefully) widening margins, I think it's one to watch. Thanks again for doing that...what a great platform this is!
Discl: Not Held
SUMMARY
Financial position is very impressive
TAKEAWAYS
The key questions for me now are (1) how is this growth going to be sustained to justify the current PE multiple (2) how long will the current growth run for before it plateaus
The current 124x PE feels very expensive against the backdrop of (1) not a clear monopoly/semi-monopoly (2) uncertain longer-term growth opportunities (3) sterling growth in the last 3 years
REVENUE
Revenue is growing
The legacy transactional Criminal History check is flatlining, Other Checks are in decline
Exponential Growth has come from the Workforce Compliance SAAS products since the BPT acquisition and its subsequent enhancement/re-branding - the market is clearly rewarding KYP for this

Growth is exclusively in Australia - NZ has been completely flat in the last 5 years, despite the workforce compliance products

PROFITABILITY
Nice inflection to profitability, EBITDA, NPAT and EPS


BALANCE SHEET AND CASH
Discl: Not Held
Went through KYP’s major announcements going back to FY2021 to get a better understanding of how the company, and its strategy and execution thereof has evolved since.
SUMMARY
MY TAKEAWAYS
DETAIL
This diagram from the FY2022 AGM Presentation was helpful.

Feb 2021 - Bright People Technologies Acquisition
2 modules:

Nov 2021 -CGI Strategy
The “CGI Strategy” was presented by the then-new CEO Michael Ivanchenko in Nov 2021.


Mid CY 2022 - Thinking on Growth



I can see how this is valuable in an ANZ scenario - these are basic requirements that would mostly be done manually or not at all for smaller business.
The "unique advantages" did not inspire any confidence of KYP's ability to expand overseas, particularly against stong global incumbents in the US, UK and Europe. I felt the exact opposite ie. that overseas expansion in these markets were really a non-starter, with current capability.
FY23 and FY24
Silence on international expansion, heavy focus on building out and maturing the workforce compliance solution and adding value to KYP's SAAS product.
25 Oct 2024 - Kinatico Compliance announced
6 Mar 2025 - Compliance X is announced, focus is back on ANZ

6 Oct 2025 - FY25 AGM


Discl: Not Held IRL and in SM
Part 3 - Competitors, Domestically and Globally
In summary, at this point, my thinking on KYP:
Need to peel the KYP announcements to confirm or debunk this continued scepticism.
Would appreciate any input/feedback from anyone who has followed KYP more closey and for longer as I am unsure if I am off course with my thinking thus far ...
DOMESTIC COMPETITORS
Kinatico sits in the workforce-compliance / compliance-management / RegTech niche. competitors fall into three groups: specialist workforce/credentialing platforms; broader compliance/GRC vendors; and general workforce/HR platforms with compliance modules. Representative competitors (examples with sources):
(Industry listings and competitor aggregates also show Kinatico compared to Rapid Global, Nakisa, Redzone and others in third-party directories.)
COMPETITOR FEATURE MATRIX (TOP 6)

Takeaway from Matrix
CLOSE OVERSEAS COMPETITORS
Below is a focused list of non-Australia / New Zealand companies that offer products comparable to Kinatico (workforce compliance, contractor pre-qualification, credential verification, ID/KYC, background screening, mobilisation/logistics). For each I give the primary country (HQ) and a one-line note on the comparable product area.

Key Notes
COMPETITOR MAP BY VERTICAL
Go-to-market competitor map by vertical and who dominates which vertical.

Vertical Competitor Map Takeaways
CHAT’s “ADVICE” ON WHERE KYP CAN REALISTICALLY WIN INTERNATIONALLY
Adding this for completeness - not placing any reliance on these “suggestions”
MY TAKEAWAYS
Domestically
International
QUESTIONS TO ASK
Q6. What is KYP’s thinking and plans around international expansion? In what space, region?
Part 2 on TAM. Trickier to assess!
PRACTICAL TAM (1st PASS OF CHAT)
Estimates vary by how you define the market (pure workforce-credentialing vs. compliance software vs. whole RegTech market). authoritative market research firms provide different figures; below I list a clean, sourced range and how to interpret it:
1) Workforce / workforce-compliance software (narrow segment) — one specialist estimate puts the global Workforce Compliance Management Software market at ~US$2.4–2.5 billion (2024) with double-digit growth (CAGR ~12%+). This is the most directly comparable segment to Kinatico’s product. Dataintelo
2) Compliance management software (wider category) — multiple sources show a broader Compliance Software market in the tens of billions (USD) range: e.g. Mordor / Verified Market Research / The Business Research Company report values spanning ~US$33–60 billion depending on the exact scope and year. These figures cover GRC, regulatory reporting, policy management and other enterprise compliance functions — larger than Kinatico’s immediate niche but addressable over time if the company expands features.
3) RegTech (largest umbrella) — RegTech market estimates commonly range from ~US$17B (2023) up to >US$70B by 2030 depending on the research house and definitions (RegTech includes identity, KYC/AML, regulatory reporting, compliance automation). If Kinatico expands into adjacent RegTech services (identity verification, screening, automated regulatory checks), it could target a slice of that broader RegTech TAM.
Bottom line (practical TAM for Kinatico right now):
If you stretch to all compliance software / RegTech opportunities (adjacent services, vertical expansion), the addressable market expands to tens of billions USD over the next 5–10 years. (Use the larger RegTech / compliance software reports for strategic upside.)
CHAT’S GDP-BASED METHOLODLOGY TO CALCULATE KYP’s ANZ TAM (2nd PASS)
Including this for completeness and a data point - can’t say I am bought into it as I expect TAM’s to be a bit more specific, generally
Data Points
Global workforce compliance management software market (narrow segment): US$2.47 billion (2024), projected high double-digit growth (DataIntelo market estimate). Dataintelo
Australia GDP (2023) ≈ US$1.728 trillion. Macrotrends
New Zealand GDP (2024) ≈ US$260.2 billion. Trading Economics
World GDP (2023) ~ US$100 trillion (used to compute country share). Macrotrends
Baseline Approach (Proportional to GDP)
A simple, commonly used, way to estimate a country/region slice of a global software market is to allocate by economic size (GDP), adjusted for adoption intensity. Using that:
Australia + NZ combined GDP ≈ 1.728T + 0.260T = ~US$1.99 trillion. Macrotrends+1
Share of world GDP ≈ 1.99T / 100T ≈ 1.99%. Macrotrends
Apply that share to the global workforce compliance market (US$2.47B):
ANZ TAM ≈ US$2.47B × 1.99% ≈ US$49.1 million.
Result (baseline): ~US$49M for the specific workforce-compliance / credentialing software market in Australia + New Zealand today.
Adjusted Baseline
Higher per-capita digital adoption in ANZ: Australia and NZ are mature, high-tech adopters with strong regulatory compliance needs in mining/healthcare/construction, so per-GDP spend on RegTech could be above global average. Adjusting up (×1.5–2.5) gives an upper practical TAM of roughly US$75–125M. (This captures higher software penetration, industry concentration and local demand for workforce credentialing.)
Lower bound: if you instead use the broader compliance software market (tens of billions), and then narrow by the fraction that is workforce credentialing, the ANZ slice of that could be larger — but that drifts away from Kinatico’s immediate product set into adjacent markets. See VerifiedMarketResearch / Mordor for larger compliance market context.
Final GDP-Based TAM
Conservative / baseline (GDP share): ~US$49M (approx).
Practical / adoption-adjusted upper bound: ~US$75–125M (to reflect higher per-capita software spend and industry concentration in ANZ).
KYP’S VIEW ON TAM FROM FEB 25 RESULTS PRESENTATION

Customers / scale: Kinatico states it serves ~1 million individuals and >30,000 businesses across Australia & New Zealand (public investor content)
TAKEAWAYS
QUESTIONS
Q5: What does the KYP TAM comprise off? Reg Tech (broader) or Workforce Compliance (narrower). Is that a global or ANZ only TAM, and the Serviceable Obtainable Market of ~60-70% of TAM is thus against the ANZ market only?
Started a deep dive on KYP ahead of next week's meeting. I found doing this deep dive ahead of a SM meeting extremely helpful with RTH. Pre-meeting, I was clear what I needed to see/hear before I decisively entered (as was the case with RTH) or I pull the pin and move on. I also found doing this deep dive in logical chunks, over a few days, very helpful, to gradually build understanding of the story which in turns builds (or kills) conviction.
I used inputs from my buddy, Chat, but have asked the questions in multiple ways to see if I get the same answers. I then synthesised and summarised the inputs. Questions that I had, I have/will add to the KYP Slido.
Further context is that in my past life, I had to work out how to deal with the issue of managing Reg Tech compliance within a SAP SuccessFactors/SAP HR back end, so I do have some appreciation of the technical integration challenges of bolting on something like KYP to an existing ERP. This is key to point out as most of my doubts/commentary centre around the robustness of the KYP product and how ready/capable/scalable it truly is, outside of ANZ.
With that context, here is Part 1: KYP's Products.
1. KINATICO COMPLIANCE (SaaS)
This is the core SaaS workforce-compliance / credential-management platform. Key features:
So in short: a platform to manage workforce credentialing, compliance, verification, ongoing monitoring, with dashboards, mobile app and integrations.
2. COMPLIANCEX
Although less fully detailed, this is described as the “new platform” version / upgraded workflow engine for Kinatico. Key notes:
Here’s a timeline-style table summarising what Kinatico Ltd (ASX: KYP) has publicly disclosed about the development and rollout of their “ComplianceX” platform — what features they plan, when they said they’ll deliver them, and how that maps to what we know so far. Some dates are exact, others are inferred from announcements.

Deployment Plans
3. CVCHECK SCREENING & Verification Services
This is the legacy / foundational business of Kinatico. Highlights:
4. Additional modules / vertical-specific offerings


Notes/Caveats
TARGET INDUSTRIES
As mentioned above, Kinatico clearly targets multiple industry verticals and offers tailored compliance workflows for them. Based on “Who We Serve” on their website:
USE CASES
KEY TAKEAWAYS
AREAS TO FOCUS ON/QUESTIONS AT THIS POINT
Q1. International expansion - what is KYP’s capability to achieve this and plans thereof? Ambition is one thing, capability is quite another, especially when there are existing RegTech providers overseas (subject of next deep dive part).
The commentary says ComplianceX was built with international expansion in mind - this may be nothing more than ensuring that there is country code field to enable the adding of diferent countries to either a module or an industry vertical sub-module, or both. I think of how XRO has struggled to gain significant traction outside of ANZ.
Q2. What edge does KYP bring that other RegTech in foreign jurisdictions not have for customers to switchover to KYP such that KYP can "rule the RegTech" world? I ask this thinking about my other holdings: RTH in horse racing data, SDR in small hotels/revenue management AIM in enterprise captioning/translating, C79 in PhotonAssay, EOS in kinetic anti-drone - these are all companies with a product that is global. I do not include XRO in this list because, like KYP, XRO needs very specific tailoring of its product for each jurisdiction that it enters.
Q3. Does KYP have the financial ability to undertake foreign M&A, balance sheet-wise? Have not looked at the financials yet, but there was commentary about $10m cash, no debt - that does not feel like much of a war chest for any M&A without an associated capital raising, which given how far the price has come, looks like a distinct possibility. Given RegTech complexities, rather than focused on the revenue opportunity an M&A presents, I would be more focused on investment requirements, why and how customers will transition over to a KYP bolt-on.
Q4. Spend of $3.5m to develop ComplianceX (number needs to be validated), feels very, very light for a "strategic asset" - raises questions on the extent of this product - was it a platform rebuild (ala CAT, which revamped its platform for scale) or was it a quick cosmetic integration/makeover of the hodge podge of solutions, to make it look seamless. Goes back to the "what is the moat" question as well.
Post a valuation or endorse another member's valuation.