Company Report
Last edited 6 months ago
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Performance (51m)
16.0% pa
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#Broker/Analyst Views
Added 6 months ago

Gaurav Sodhi has just posted his update on RPM for Intelligent Investor

In short he still appears to like the stock and advocates a HOLD

Some choice snippets ...


"It's easy to see why the market threw a tantrum at RPM Global yesterday. At one stage, the stock was down 20%, all because EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation) guidance, previously expected to be $22m for the full year, was confirmed at $19m. Oh, that's before management incentives, by the way

The source of my own annoyance wasn't the numbers themselves - we didn't think they were too bad - but the slimy avoidance of clarity

Note to RPM management: your bonuses are real costs. You don't get to exclude them"


"This update doesn't warrant panic or a change in thesis. We note that RPM's share price rose about 65% in six months before today's fall. That rise probably contributed as much as today's announcement. We also note that the business was active buying its own shares yesterday amid the fall - they bought back over 1m shares in a day

With software sales still growing and falling to the bottom line, a net cash position, and software deeply embedded with miners, we're happy to HOLD"


Disc: Held in RL & SM

#Broker/Analyst Views
stale
Added 2 years ago

In anticipation of todays Deep Dive into RUL...

We could only find one Broker/Analyst research report covering RUL on Sentieo and that was one from Moelis Australia

Not that you can necessarily trust or rely on the analyst/broker reporting, but it does at least add a data point and might highlight things you didn't know


Dated 30th August 2022 it rated RUL as a Buy with a Price Target of $2.03

I can also see that Moelis only initiated coverage of RUL back on 21st July 2022 with a then price target of $1.94 (in it's initial report (a 35 page presentation))


Quoting a few lines from their more recent report their thesis summary comprises:

Profitable with strong organic growth outlook (~18% software CAGR) supported by deep up/cross-sell opportunities & new product pipeline

Well-established enterprise mining software servicing Tier 1 customer-base. Flagship 'asset maintenance' product an industry-leading solution within its niche

Recurring subscriptions growing to >50% of Group sales by FY25e. $34m net cash balance sheet with buy-back ongoing

Two peers acquired for ~16x software sales during CY22 (Deswik/Micromine) from different suitor types (OEM; software co) vs. RUL implied ~5.5x software sales